Premier League · Regular Season - 7
Match events
Crystal Palace- Own goal: Jaydee Canvot (og)4'
- Goal: Diego GomezAssist: Olivier Boscagli7'
- Goal: Yasin AyariAssist: Charalampos Kostoulas10'
- Yellow card: Pascal GroßFoul29'
- 45'Substitution: Quinten TimberOff: Dwight McNeil
HT 3-0
- Goal: Charalampos Kostoulas49'
- 51'Yellow card: Daichi KamadaFoul
- 53'Substitution: Honest AhanorOff: Jefferson Lerma
- 61'Substitution: Jörgen Strand LarsenOff: Jean-Philippe Mateta
- 61'Substitution: Eddie NketiahOff: Yeremy Pino
- Yellow card: Chema AndrésFoul64'
- Substitution: Charalampos KostoulasOff: Georginio Rutter71'
- Substitution: Pascal GroßOff: Jack Hinshelwood71'
- 81'Substitution: Daichi KamadaOff: Will Hughes
- Substitution: Olivier BoscagliOff: Jaouen Hadjam81'
- Substitution: Yasin AyariOff: Malick Yalcouyé81'
- Goal: Jack Hinshelwood84'
- Substitution: Lewis DunkOff: Michael Svoboda90'
Our verdict
Brighton to win
Bet365 1.50
✓ This tip was correct · final score 5-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 57%Possession43%
- 2.02Expected goals (xG)0.77
- 17Total shots5
- 9Shots on target1
- 4Shots off target3
- 4Blocked shots1
- 8Shots inside the box4
- 8Corners5
- 2Offsides2
- 13Fouls11
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves5
- 516Passes384
- 440Accurate passes301
Line-ups
Brighton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. VerbruggenG
- 24F. KadıoğluD
- 44L. VuškovićD
- 5L. DunkD
- 21O. BoscagliD
- 13P. GroßM
- 14José María Andrés BaixauliM
- 25D. GómezM
- 26Y. AyariM
- 29M. De CuyperM
- 19C. KostoulasF
Substitutes
- 35M. YalcouyéM
- 33M. O'RileyM
- 15I. OsmanF
- 10G. RutterF
- 8J. HinshelwoodM
- 30M. SvobodaD
- 20CostinhaD
- 3J. HadjamD
- 23J. SteeleG
Coach: F. Hürzeler
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 44W. BenítezG
- 6J. CanvotD
- 26C. RichardsD
- 21H. AhanorD
- 25A. KhalailiM
- 20A. WhartonM
- 23Q. TimberM
- 3T. MitchellM
- 18D. KamadaM
- 10Yeremy PinoM
- 22J. Strand LarsenF
Substitutes
- 9E. NketiahF
- 7I. SarrF
- 14J. MatetaF
- 24D. OsorioM
- 11D. McNeilF
- 19W. HughesM
- 8J. LermaM
- 30Óscar MinguezaD
- 31R. MatthewsG
Coach: P. Sage
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.06 – 0.98Half time / full time result. 1 = Brighton, X = draw, 2 = Crystal Palace.
Asian handicap applied to Brighton.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstBrighton1W 0D 0L · last 1Crystal Palace0W 0D 1L · last 1Premier League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 10 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  A. IsakLiverpool | 7 | 6 |
| 3 |  João PedroChelsea | 6 | 5 |
| 4 |  M. RogersChelsea | 9 | 5 |
| 5 |  M. TavernierBournemouth | 9 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Brighton | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 4 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Brighton host Crystal Palace in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) at American Express Stadium, Falmer, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Brighton favourites, giving Brighton a 62% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 17% for Crystal Palace. Our tip is: Brighton to win.
Brighton have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Crystal Palace have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Premier League
- Date
- Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Venue
- American Express Stadium, Falmer
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Brighton vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Brighton vs Crystal Palace in?
The match is in the England Premier League.
Where are Brighton and Crystal Palace in the table?
Brighton are 3rd and Crystal Palace are 18th in the Premier League.
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Our prediction is Brighton to win. Win probabilities: Brighton 62%, draw 21%, Crystal Palace 17%.
Will both teams score in Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.