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Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC prediction

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC prediction for the 2. Bundesliga on 16 Oct 2026: Hertha BSC or draw (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
Holstein KielNo recent gamesHertha BSCNo recent games
0 - 0Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 0-0
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Match events

Holstein KielHertha BSC
  1. 34'Yellow card: Deyovaisio ZeefuikFoul
  2. Yellow card: Sebastian SchonlauFoul38'

HT 0-0

  1. Substitution: Sebastian SchonlauOff: David Zec50'
  2. Substitution: Till WieseOff: Ikem Ugoh64'
  3. Substitution: Guillermo BalziOff: Gyan de Regt64'
  4. Yellow card: David ZecFoul68'
  5. 69'Substitution: Sebastian GronningOff: Jan Luca Schuler
  6. 69'Substitution: Julian EitschbergerOff: Mads Valentin Pedersen
  7. 76'Substitution: Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonOff: Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
  8. Substitution: Adrian KapralikOff: Mark Richter Montserrat82'
  9. Substitution: Jonas Torrissen TherkelsenOff: Giorgi Kvilitaia82'
  10. 89'Substitution: Oluwaseun AdewumiOff: Soufian gouram
  11. 90'Yellow card: Paul SeguinFoul

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Hertha BSC or draw

Bet365 1.40

65%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-0

Expected goals3.4

Win probability

1 · Holstein Kiel35%
Fair odds 2.86
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Hertha BSC41%
Fair odds 2.44

Match statistics

  • 44%Possession56%
  • 0.61Expected goals (xG)1.43
  • 6Total shots13
  • 3Shots on target6
  • 2Shots off target4
  • 1Blocked shots3
  • 4Shots inside the box9
  • 1Corners7
  • 2Offsides2
  • 17Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves3
  • 350Passes445
  • 270Accurate passes352

Line-ups

Holstein Kiel

4-5-1

Starting XI

  1. 1T. WeinerG
  2. 32H. SekineD
  3. 5N. MadsenD
  4. 4S. SchonlauD
  5. 40Leon ParduziD
  6. 20A. KaprálikM
  7. 8G. BalziM
  8. 28J. MeffertM
  9. 43T. WieseM
  10. 10J. TherkelsenM
  11. 19P. HarresF

Substitutes

  1. 17F. AlidouF
  2. 11G. de RegtF
  3. 9G. KvilitaiaF
  4. 13I. NekićD
  5. 44Mark Richter MonserratF
  6. 41Lio RothenhagenG
  7. 47J. TolkinD
  8. 27I. UgohM
  9. 26D. ZecD

Coach: T. Walter

Hertha BSC

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 35M. GersbeckG
  2. 2J. EitschbergerD
  3. 44L. GechterD
  4. 27N. KolbeD
  5. 42D. ZeefuikD
  6. 30P. SeguinM
  7. 8K. SessaM
  8. 19O. AdewumiM
  9. 23J. ÞorsteinssonM
  10. 7J. BrekaloM
  11. 17S. GrønningF

Substitutes

  1. 22M. PedersenD
  2. 18L. SchulerF
  3. 47Selim TelibM
  4. 28Jelani Isi NdiF
  5. 41P. KlemensD
  6. 13Konstantin HeideG
  7. 33S. GouramM
  8. 43T. GollerG
  9. 20Farid Alfa-RuprechtF

Coach: S. Leitl

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.74
0.5 goalsOver96.5%Under3.5%
1.5 goalsOver84.9%Under15.1%
2.5 goalsOver65.2%Under34.8%
3.5 goalsOver43.3%Under56.7%
4.5 goalsOver24.8%Under75.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Holstein KielHertha BSC
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
48%Expected goals52%
46%Overall54%

Last matches

Newest first
Holstein Kiel0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Hertha BSC0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

2. Bundesliga table

2. Bundesliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
11VfL Bochum10-311
12Hannover 9610-611
13Karlsruher SC10-811
14Energie Cottbus10-210
15Eintracht Braunschweig10-210
16SV Darmstadt 9810-109
17Holstein Kiel10-28
18Dynamo Dresden10-88
See full table ›

Top scorers

2. Bundesliga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1M. Zoma1. FC Nürnberg87
2J. GrodowskiArminia Bielefeld107
3F. KlausSpVgg Greuther Fürth107
4E. Iyoha1. FC Magdeburg106
5P. Scobel1. FC Nürnberg105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatHolstein KielHertha BSC
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Holstein Kiel host Hertha BSC in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8) at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 17:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Hertha BSC slight favourites, giving Holstein Kiel a 35% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 41% for Hertha BSC. Our tip is: Hertha BSC or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 67% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany 2. Bundesliga
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 17:30 WAT
Venue
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 17:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC in?

The match is in the Germany 2. Bundesliga.

Where are Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC in the table?

Holstein Kiel are 17th and Hertha BSC are 1st in the 2. Bundesliga.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?

Our prediction is Hertha BSC or draw. Win probabilities: Holstein Kiel 35%, draw 24%, Hertha BSC 41%.

Will both teams score in Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?

We estimate a 67% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?

We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More 2. Bundesliga on Fri 16 Oct

FTEnergie Cottbus 1-1 1. FC NürnbergX2 ✓

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