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Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden prediction

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden prediction for the 2. Bundesliga on 25 Oct 2026: Holstein Kiel or draw (67%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
3 - 0Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 1-0
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Match events

Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
  1. 2'Yellow card: Simon StraudiFoul
  2. Goal: Giorgi KvilitaiaAssist: Phil Harres9'
  3. Yellow card: Kasper DavidsenFoul37'
  4. Substitution: Kasper DavidsenOff: Ikem Ugoh45'

HT 1-0

  1. Substitution: Giorgi KvilitaiaOff: Faride·Alidou57'
  2. Yellow card: David ZecFoul61'
  3. Yellow card: Leon ParduziDissent62'
  4. 63'Missed penalty: Niklas Hauptmann
  5. Yellow card: Jonas MeffertPersistent Infringement64'
  6. Yellow card: Adrian KapralikFoul66'
  7. 72'Substitution: Patrice ČovićOff: Kaan Inanoglu
  8. Substitution: Adrian KapralikOff: Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen73'
  9. Goal: Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen73'
  10. 84'Substitution: Niklas HauptmannOff: Jakob Lemmer
  11. 84'Substitution: Vincent VermeijOff: Nils Fröling
  12. Goal: Phil HarresAssist: Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen85'
  13. Substitution: Gyan de RegtOff: Till Wiese88'
  14. Substitution: Phil HarresOff: Mark Richter Montserrat88'
  15. 90+3'Substitution: Ben BobzienOff: Christoph Daferner

Our verdict

1X ✓

Holstein Kiel or draw

Bet365 1.40

67%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-0

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Holstein Kiel42%
Fair odds 2.38
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Dynamo Dresden33%
Fair odds 3.03

Match statistics

  • 37%Possession63%
  • 1.47Expected goals (xG)2.07
  • 15Total shots13
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 8Shots off target4
  • 3Blocked shots5
  • 12Shots inside the box9
  • 5Corners10
  • 0Offsides4
  • 11Fouls5
  • 5Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves1
  • 336Passes586
  • 250Accurate passes487

Line-ups

Holstein Kiel

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1T. WeinerG
  2. 32H. SekineD
  3. 5N. MadsenD
  4. 26D. ZecD
  5. 40Leon ParduziD
  6. 20A. KaprálikM
  7. 28J. MeffertM
  8. 15K. DavidsenM
  9. 11G. de RegtM
  10. 19P. HarresF
  11. 9G. KvilitaiaF

Substitutes

  1. 30T. TasdelenM
  2. 10J. TherkelsenM
  3. 47J. TolkinD
  4. 27I. UgohM
  5. 43T. WieseM
  6. 41Lio RothenhagenG
  7. 44Mark Richter MonserratF
  8. 13I. NekićD
  9. 17F. AlidouF

Coach: T. Walter

Dynamo Dresden

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 22L. GrillG
  2. 32J. SternerD
  3. 6N. RappD
  4. 42F. MullerD
  5. 44S. StraudiD
  6. 18R. WagnerM
  7. 21T. RaschlM
  8. 24P. ČovićM
  9. 27N. HauptmannM
  10. 20B. BobzienM
  11. 9V. VermeijF

Substitutes

  1. 16N. FrölingF
  2. 8L. HerrmannM
  3. 11K. InanogluF
  4. 10J. LemmerM
  5. 17A. MuhamedbegovićD
  6. 34T. NeiningerD
  7. 19A. RossipalD
  8. 1T. SchreiberG
  9. 33C. DafernerF

Coach: Thomas Stamm

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.42
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.1%Under18.9%
2.5 goalsOver59.2%Under40.8%
3.5 goalsOver36.8%Under63.2%
4.5 goalsOver19.7%Under80.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
25%Form75%
0%Attack100%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
56%Overall44%

Last matches

Newest first
Holstein Kiel0W 1D 0L · last 1
DHolstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC16 Oct 2026 · 2. Bundesliga0-0
Dynamo Dresden1W 0D 0L · last 1
WDynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg18 Oct 2026 · 2. Bundesliga2-0

2. Bundesliga table

2. Bundesliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
2VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
31. FC Nürnberg9+918
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli9+212
9VfL Osnabrück10-311
10VfL Bochum10-311
11Karlsruher SC10-811
12Energie Cottbus10-210
13Eintracht Braunschweig10-210
14SpVgg Greuther Fürth9-49
15SV Darmstadt 9810-109
16Holstein Kiel9-18
17Dynamo Dresden9-78
18Hannover 969-78
See full table ›

Top scorers

2. Bundesliga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1M. Zoma1. FC Nürnberg87
2J. GrodowskiArminia Bielefeld107
3F. KlausSpVgg Greuther Fürth97
4E. Iyoha1. FC Magdeburg96
5J. ButlerEnergie Cottbus95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatHolstein KielDynamo Dresden
Played11
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets11
Failed to score10
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/10/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/10/1

Match preview

Holstein Kiel host Dynamo Dresden in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 9) at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 13:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Holstein Kiel slight favourites, giving Holstein Kiel a 42% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 33% for Dynamo Dresden. Our tip is: Holstein Kiel or draw.

Holstein Kiel have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Dynamo Dresden have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 62% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany 2. Bundesliga
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
Venue
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 13:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden in?

The match is in the Germany 2. Bundesliga.

Where are Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden in the table?

Holstein Kiel are 16th and Dynamo Dresden are 17th in the 2. Bundesliga.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Our prediction is Holstein Kiel or draw. Win probabilities: Holstein Kiel 42%, draw 25%, Dynamo Dresden 33%.

Will both teams score in Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

We estimate a 62% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More 2. Bundesliga on Sun 25 Oct

FTEintracht Braunschweig 2-0 Hannover 96X2 ✗FTVfL Osnabrück 3-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth1X ✓

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