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Como vs Manchester United prediction

Como vs Manchester United prediction for the Champions League on 21 Oct 2026: Como or Manchester United (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday21October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Champions League · League Stage - 3
ComoManchester United
4 - 1Full time · Wed 21 OctHT 1-0
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

Match events

ComoManchester United
  1. Goal: Nico PazAssist: Lucas Da Cunha2'
  2. 25'Yellow card: Andrey SantosFoul
  3. 45'Substitution: Amad DialloOff: Matheus Cunha
  4. 45'Substitution: Carlos BalebaOff: Andrey Santos

HT 1-0

  1. Goal: Anastasios DouvikasAssist: Nico Paz49'
  2. 50'Yellow card: Carlos BalebaFoul
  3. Goal: Nico Paz57'
  4. Substitution: Martin BaturinaOff: Maxence Caqueret64'
  5. 67'Substitution: Joshua ZirkzeeOff: Bruno Fernandes
  6. Substitution: Lucas Da CunhaOff: Kaiki Bruno69'
  7. Goal: Jacobo RamónAssist: Kaiki Bruno76'
  8. 79'Substitution: Matthijs De LigtOff: Harry Amass
  9. Substitution: Maximo PerroneOff: Alberto Dossena80'
  10. Substitution: Nico PazOff: Samuele Ricci80'
  11. Substitution: Ivan SmolcicOff: Yan Couto80'
  12. Yellow card: Marc-Oliver KempfFoul84'
  13. 86'Substitution: Bryan MbeumoOff: Shea Lacey
  14. 86'Yellow card: Shea LaceyFoul
  15. 90+1'Goal: Joshua ZirkzeeAssist: Amad Diallo

Our verdict

12 ✓

Como or Manchester United

Bet365 1.25

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-1

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Como45%
Fair odds 2.22
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Manchester United30%
Fair odds 3.33

Match statistics

  • 55%Possession45%
  • 2.19Expected goals (xG)1.05
  • 11Total shots13
  • 8Shots on target4
  • 3Shots off target6
  • 0Blocked shots3
  • 8Shots inside the box5
  • 1Corners4
  • 2Offsides1
  • 10Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves4
  • 675Passes545
  • 600Accurate passes473

Line-ups

Como

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. ButezG
  2. 27Yan CoutoD
  3. 4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
  4. 2M. KempfD
  5. 3Álex ValleD
  6. 5M. PerroneM
  7. 6Luis MillaM
  8. 7L. da CunhaM
  9. 10N. PazM
  10. 20M. BaturinaM
  11. 9T. DouvikasF

Substitutes

  1. 28I. SmolčićD
  2. 97Robert SánchezG
  3. 21S. RicciM
  4. 30M. LiberaliM
  5. 16KaikiD
  6. 12Lorenzo Luigi GinelliG
  7. 13A. DossenaD
  8. 8M. CaqueretM

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Manchester United

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1S. LammensG
  2. 2Diogo DalotD
  3. 4M. de LigtD
  4. 5H. MaguireD
  5. 3N. MazraouiD
  6. 7M. MountM
  7. 17Andrey SantosM
  8. 19B. MbeumoM
  9. 18Y. TielemansM
  10. 10Matheus CunhaM
  11. 8Bruno FernandesF

Substitutes

  1. 16A. DialloF
  2. 41H. AmassD
  3. 57Daniel ArmerD
  4. 20C. BalebaM
  5. 12K. DarlowG
  6. 38J. FletcherM
  7. 39T. FletcherM
  8. 22T. HeatonG
  9. 56J. KamasonD
  10. 31S. LaceyF
  11. 27T. ThompsonF
  12. 11J. ZirkzeeF

Coach: M. Carrick

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.35
0.5 goalsOver95.2%Under4.8%
1.5 goalsOver80.5%Under19.5%
2.5 goalsOver58.3%Under41.7%
3.5 goalsOver35.9%Under64.1%
4.5 goalsOver19.0%Under81.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ComoManchester United
75%Form25%
83%Attack17%
43%Defence57%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
60%Overall40%

Last matches

Newest first
Como1W 0D 1L · last 2
WFiorentina vs Como18 Oct 2026 · Serie A1-3LFeyenoord vs Como14 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-2
Manchester United0W 1D 1L · last 2
DLeeds vs Manchester United18 Oct 2026 · Premier League1-1LAtletico Madrid vs Manchester United13 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-0

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatComoManchester United
Played22
Wins10
Draws01
Losses11
Goals for (avg)2.50.5
Goals against (avg)21.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/20/2
Over 3.52/20/2
BTTS – yes2/21/2

Match preview

Como host Manchester United in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Como slight favourites, giving Como a 45% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 30% for Manchester United. Our tip is: Como or Manchester United.

Como have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Manchester United have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Como vs Manchester United?

Como vs Manchester United kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Como vs Manchester United in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are Como and Manchester United in the table?

Como are 9th and Manchester United are 21st in the Champions League.

Who will win Como vs Manchester United?

Our prediction is Como or Manchester United. Win probabilities: Como 45%, draw 25%, Manchester United 30%.

Will both teams score in Como vs Manchester United?

We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Como vs Manchester United?

We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Wed 21 Oct

FTLille 2-4 GalatasarayOver 1.5 ✓FTAston Villa 3-1 Viking1 ✓FTReal Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig1 ✓FTInter 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk1 ✓FTReal Betis 1-0 Feyenoord1 ✓FTSporting CP 2-3 Lask Linz1 ✗FTClub Brugge KV 3-0 Lens12 ✓FTBayern München 2-2 Arsenal12 ✗

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