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Sporting CP vs Lask Linz prediction

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz prediction for the Champions League on 21 Oct 2026: Sporting CP to win (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday21October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Champions League · League Stage - 3
Sporting CPLask Linz
2 - 3Full time · Wed 21 OctHT 1-1
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Match events

Sporting CPLask Linz
  1. Penalty goal: Luis Suárez (pen)5'
  2. 15'Goal: Christoph LangAssist: Kasper Jorgensen
  3. 33'Yellow card: Christoph LangFoul
  4. 45'Yellow card: Sascha HorvathFoul

HT 1-1

  1. 52'Substitution: Lukas JungwirthOff: Tobias Schützenauer
  2. 63'Goal: Sasa KalajdzicAssist: Robert Ljubicic
  3. Yellow card: Issa DoumbiaDissent64'
  4. Yellow card: João SimõesDissent65'
  5. 65'Substitution: Sascha HorvathOff: Alessandro Schöpf
  6. 65'Substitution: Christoph LangOff: Samuel Adeniran
  7. Substitution: Flávio GonçalvesOff: João Simões67'
  8. 68'Goal: Krystof DanekAssist: Samuel Adeniran
  9. 72'Yellow card: Sasa KalajdzicFoul
  10. Substitution: Luís GuilhermeOff: Geny Catamo79'
  11. Substitution: Nestory IrankundaOff: Jesse Derry79'
  12. Substitution: Issa DoumbiaOff: Fotis Ioannidis80'
  13. 83'Substitution: Sasa KalajdzicOff: Moses Usor
  14. 83'Substitution: Kasper JorgensenOff: Florian Flecker
  15. Goal: Luis Suárez89'
  16. 89'Yellow card: Tobias SchützenauerDissent
  17. 90+1'Yellow card: Krystof DanekTime Wasting

Our verdict

1 ✗

Sporting CP to win

Bet365 1.20

74%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-3

Expected goals3.7

Win probability

1 · Sporting CP74%
Fair odds 1.35
X · Draw16%
Fair odds 6.25
2 · Lask Linz10%
Fair odds 10.00

Match statistics

  • 62%Possession38%
  • 3.28Expected goals (xG)1.14
  • 16Total shots11
  • 4Shots on target7
  • 7Shots off target2
  • 5Blocked shots2
  • 10Shots inside the box9
  • 7Corners4
  • 3Offsides3
  • 10Fouls22
  • 2Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves2
  • 571Passes354
  • 507Accurate passes292

Line-ups

Sporting CP

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 30KaiqueG
  2. 22Iván FresnedaD
  3. 72Eduardo QuaresmaD
  4. 25Gonçalo InácioD
  5. 20M. AraújoD
  6. 8João SimõesM
  7. 5Sergi AltimiraM
  8. 77I. DoumbiaM
  9. 10Geny CatamoF
  10. 97L. SuárezF
  11. 19N. IrankundaF

Substitutes

  1. 1Rui SilvaG
  2. 55Ibrahima BaD
  3. 28J. DerryF
  4. 58Flávio GonçalvesF
  5. 9Rafael Ferreira NelF
  6. 7F. IoannidisF
  7. 21Pedro LimaM
  8. 31Luis GuilhermeF
  9. 4S. AndersenM
  10. 13G. VagiannidisD
  11. 73Eduardo FelicíssimoM
  12. 50Rodrigo DiasD

Coach: Rui Borges

Lask Linz

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1L. JungwirthG
  2. 4X. MbuyambaD
  3. 43AlemãoD
  4. 16A. AndradeD
  5. 20K. JørgensenM
  6. 10R. LjubičićM
  7. 30S. HorvathM
  8. 25Y. DibangoM
  9. 9K. DaněkF
  10. 11S. KalajdzicF
  11. 27C. LangF

Substitutes

  1. 21M. VerhaegheD
  2. 7S. AdeniranF
  3. 6M. BogardeD
  4. 23Daniel ElfadliM
  5. 29F. FleckerF
  6. 3M. FreckletonD
  7. 45N. KaneF
  8. 39Christof KatzmayrG
  9. 18A. SchöpfM
  10. 33T. SchützenauerG
  11. 8M. UsorF

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.73 – 0.95
0.5 goalsOver97.5%Under2.5%
1.5 goalsOver88.2%Under11.8%
2.5 goalsOver71.1%Under28.9%
3.5 goalsOver50.2%Under49.8%
4.5 goalsOver30.9%Under69.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Sporting CPLask Linz
50%Form50%
36%Attack64%
94%Defence6%
50%Head to head50%
74%Expected goals26%
88%Overall12%

Last matches

Newest first
Sporting CP1W 0D 0L · last 1
WLens vs Sporting CP13 Oct 2026 · Champions League0-2
Lask Linz1W 0D 1L · last 2
WAustria Lustenau vs Lask Linz17 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga0-4LLask Linz vs Liverpool14 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-6

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSporting CPLask Linz
Played12
Wins11
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)23.5
Goals against (avg)03
Clean sheets11
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/12/2
Over 2.50/12/2
Over 3.50/12/2
BTTS – yes0/11/2

Match preview

Sporting CP host Lask Linz in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) at Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sporting CP clear favourites, giving Sporting CP a 74% chance of winning, 16% for the draw and 10% for Lask Linz. Our tip is: Sporting CP to win.

Sporting CP have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Lask Linz have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 71% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sporting CP vs Lask Linz in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are Sporting CP and Lask Linz in the table?

Sporting CP are 12th and Lask Linz are 24th in the Champions League.

Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Our prediction is Sporting CP to win. Win probabilities: Sporting CP 74%, draw 16%, Lask Linz 10%.

Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

We estimate a 71% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Wed 21 Oct

FTLille 2-4 GalatasarayOver 1.5 ✓FTComo 4-1 Manchester United12 ✓FTAston Villa 3-1 Viking1 ✓FTReal Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig1 ✓FTInter 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk1 ✓FTReal Betis 1-0 Feyenoord1 ✓FTClub Brugge KV 3-0 Lens12 ✓FTBayern München 2-2 Arsenal12 ✗

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