Premier League · Regular Season - 7
Match events
Manchester United- 17'Yellow card: Bruno FernandesFoul
- Yellow card: Gabriel GudmundssonFoul19'
- 35'Goal: Bryan MbeumoAssist: Youri Tielemans
- 45'Substitution: Noussair MazraouiOff: Lisandro Martínez
HT 0-1
- Goal: Dominic Calvert-LewinAssist: Tarik Muharemovic51'
- 74'Substitution: Carlos BalebaOff: Mason Mount
- Substitution: Noah OkaforOff: Lukas Nmecha74'
- Substitution: Ao TanakaOff: Sean Longstaff81'
- 84'Substitution: Youri TielemansOff: Matheus Cunha
- 90+2'Yellow card: Andrey SantosArgument
- Yellow card: Ethan AmpaduFoul90+2'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.20
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 62%Possession38%
- 1.00Expected goals (xG)0.93
- 12Total shots13
- 5Shots on target3
- 6Shots off target5
- 1Blocked shots5
- 10Shots inside the box6
- 2Corners3
- 2Offsides3
- 16Fouls5
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves3
- 530Passes345
- 443Accurate passes257
Line-ups
Leeds
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1J. TraffordG
- 24J. JustinD
- 30N. ElvediD
- 5T. MuharemovićD
- 2J. BogleM
- 4E. AmpaduM
- 22A. TanakaM
- 3G. GudmundssonM
- 18A. StachM
- 19N. OkaforM
- 9D. Calvert-LewinF
Substitutes
- 10H. WilsonF
- 11B. AaronsonM
- 14L. NmechaF
- 23J. BahoyaF
- 16M. ZettererG
- 26M. BardD
- 15J. BijolD
- 44I. GruevM
- 8S. LongstaffM
Coach: D. Farke
Manchester United
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1S. LammensG
- 15L. YoroD
- 5H. MaguireD
- 6Lisandro MartínezD
- 2Diogo DalotD
- 17Andrey SantosM
- 20C. BalebaM
- 16A. DialloM
- 18Y. TielemansM
- 8Bruno FernandesM
- 19B. MbeumoF
Substitutes
- 4M. de LigtD
- 3N. MazraouiD
- 41H. AmassD
- 7M. MountM
- 31S. LaceyF
- 10Matheus CunhaF
- 9M. RashfordF
- 12K. DarlowG
- 11J. ZirkzeeF
Coach: M. Carrick
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.38Half time / full time result. 1 = Leeds, X = draw, 2 = Manchester United.
Asian handicap applied to Leeds.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstLeeds0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Manchester United0W 0D 1L · last 1Premier League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 10 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  A. IsakLiverpool | 7 | 6 |
| 3 |  João PedroChelsea | 6 | 5 |
| 4 |  M. RogersChelsea | 9 | 5 |
| 5 |  M. TavernierBournemouth | 9 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Leeds | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/0 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/0 | 0/1 |
Match preview
Leeds host Manchester United in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) at Elland Road, Leeds, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Leeds slight favourites, giving Leeds a 41% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 34% for Manchester United. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Manchester United have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Premier League
- Date
- Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Venue
- Elland Road, Leeds
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Leeds vs Manchester United?
Leeds vs Manchester United kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Leeds vs Manchester United in?
The match is in the England Premier League.
Where are Leeds and Manchester United in the table?
Leeds are 11th and Manchester United are 17th in the Premier League.
Who will win Leeds vs Manchester United?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Leeds 41%, draw 25%, Manchester United 34%.
Will both teams score in Leeds vs Manchester United?
We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leeds vs Manchester United?
We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.