Serie A · Regular Season - 7
Match events
Como- 14'Substitution: Trevoh ChalobahOff: Jacobo Ramón
- 28'Yellow card: Álex ValleFoul
- 32'Goal: Mattia LiberaliAssist: Maxence Caqueret
- 36'Goal: Nico PazAssist: Álex Valle
- 39'Yellow card: Nico PazFoul
- Goal: Marin Pongračić42'
- 45'Substitution: Kaiki BrunoOff: Álex Valle
- 45+3'Yellow card: Jacobo RamónFoul
- VAR: Marin PongračićGoal cancelledVAR45+4'
HT 1-2
- 56'Goal: Anastasios DouvikasAssist: Nico Paz
- 61'Substitution: Nico PazOff: Maximo Perrone
- Substitution: Pedro GoncalvesOff: Wilfried Gnonto63'
- Substitution: Víctor Valdepeñas TalaveraOff: Viery64'
- Yellow card: Cher NdourFoul68'
- Yellow card: Franco MastantuonoDissent69'
- Substitution: Marco BrescianiniOff: Franco Mastantuono69'
- Substitution: Domilson DodoOff: Álex Jiménez69'
- Substitution: Cher NdourOff: Beto79'
- 83'Substitution: Mattia LiberaliOff: Willy Kambwala
- 83'Substitution: Lucas Da CunhaOff: Samuele Ricci
Our verdict
Como or draw
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-3
Win probability
Match statistics
- 46%Possession54%
- 2.08Expected goals (xG)1.84
- 19Total shots16
- 7Shots on target8
- 7Shots off target5
- 5Blocked shots3
- 10Shots inside the box11
- 11Corners5
- 4Offsides0
- 12Fouls12
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 5Goalkeeper saves5
- 438Passes522
- 383Accurate passes459
Line-ups
Fiorentina
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 43David de GeaG
- 20Álex JiménezD
- 3R. DrăgușinD
- 5M. PongračićD
- 33VieryD
- 27C. NdourM
- 44N. FagioliM
- 30Franco MastantuonoM
- 28PoteM
- 25A. NjieM
- 32Mateo PellegrinoF
Substitutes
- 23BetoF
- 4M. BrescianiniM
- 53O. ChristensenG
- 2DodôD
- 29W. GnontoF
- 42C. Inao OulaïM
- 17João MárioD
- 19L. LezzeriniG
- 21ValdeD
- 74Arnis AdemiD
- 72B. MazzeoF
- 73Antonio PirròM
Coach: P. Vanoli
Como
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ButezG
- 28I. SmolčićD
- 99T. ChalobahD
- 2M. KempfD
- 3Álex ValleD
- 6Luis MillaM
- 7L. da CunhaM
- 30M. LiberaliM
- 10N. PazM
- 8M. CaqueretM
- 9T. DouvikasF
Substitutes
- 16KaikiD
- 53Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
- 15A. LahdoM
- 5M. PerroneM
- 4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
- 21S. RicciM
- 17Jesús RodríguezF
- 97Robert SánchezG
- 18E. GoldanigaD
- 22M. VigoritoG
- 20M. BaturinaM
- 42J. AddaiF
- 13A. DossenaD
- 27Yan CoutoD
Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.18 – 1.68Half time / full time result. 1 = Fiorentina, X = draw, 2 = Como.
Asian handicap applied to Fiorentina.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstFiorentina0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Como0W 0D 1L · last 1Serie A table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +16 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 25 | LWWWW |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 24 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 | WWWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 | WWDWL |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 14 | LWDLW |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 | WWWLW |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 | WWWLW |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 13 | LLLLD |
| 13 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | DLLLD |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -14 | 3 | LLLWL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gustavo VarelaMonza | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  D. MalenAS Roma | 9 | 8 |
| 3 |  A. RaimondoFrosinone | 9 | 8 |
| 4 |  N. KrstovićAtalanta | 9 | 6 |
| 5 |  A. RabiotAC Milan | 8 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Fiorentina | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/0 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/0 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/0 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/0 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Fiorentina host Como in the Serie A (Regular Season - 7) at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Como slight favourites, giving Fiorentina a 26% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 48% for Como. Our tip is: Como or draw.
Como have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Italy Serie A
- Date
- Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Venue
- Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Fiorentina vs Como?
Fiorentina vs Como kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Fiorentina vs Como in?
The match is in the Italy Serie A.
Where are Fiorentina and Como in the table?
Fiorentina are 17th and Como are 4th in the Serie A.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?
Our prediction is Como or draw. Win probabilities: Fiorentina 26%, draw 26%, Como 48%.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Como?
We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fiorentina vs Como?
We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.