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Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction

Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction for the Champions League on 21 Oct 2026: Inter to win (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday21October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Champions League · League Stage - 3
InterShakhtar Donetsk
1 - 0Full time · Wed 21 OctHT 0-0
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan

Match events

InterShakhtar Donetsk
  1. 32'Substitution: Egor NazarynaOff: Pedrinho
  2. 36'Yellow card: Oleg OcheretkoFoul

HT 0-0

  1. Yellow card: Marcus ThuramArgument54'
  2. Substitution: Hakan ÇalhanoğluOff: Piotr Zieliński59'
  3. Substitution: Djed SpenceOff: Andy Diouf59'
  4. Substitution: Federico DimarcoOff: Yann Bisseck59'
  5. Yellow card: Alessandro BastoniArgument66'
  6. 68'Yellow card: Marlon GomesDissent
  7. Red card: Alessandro Bastoni68'
  8. Yellow card: Petar SučićFoul72'
  9. 72'Substitution: Oleg OcheretkoOff: Isaque
  10. 72'Substitution: Gleiker MendozaOff: Newerton
  11. 72'Substitution: Lassina TraoreOff: Kauã Elias
  12. Substitution: Petar SučićOff: Luis Henrique73'
  13. Substitution: Ange-Yoan BonnyOff: Henrikh Mkhitaryan75'
  14. Goal: Carlos AugustoAssist: Henrikh Mkhitaryan77'
  15. 83'Substitution: AlissonOff: Bruno Braga Ramos

Our verdict

1 ✓

Inter to win

Bet365 1.20

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals3.8

Win probability

1 · Inter74%
Fair odds 1.35
X · Draw15%
Fair odds 6.67
2 · Shakhtar Donetsk11%
Fair odds 9.09

Match statistics

  • 45%Possession55%
  • 1.09Expected goals (xG)0.61
  • 13Total shots12
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 6Shots off target3
  • 2Blocked shots5
  • 8Shots inside the box6
  • 5Corners4
  • 2Offsides2
  • 9Fouls10
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves4
  • 424Passes533
  • 369Accurate passes484

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Josep MartínezG
  2. 25M. AkanjiD
  3. 95A. BastoniD
  4. 30Carlos AugustoD
  5. 99D. SpenceM
  6. 23N. BarellaM
  7. 20H. ÇalhanoğluM
  8. 8P. SučićM
  9. 32F. DimarcoM
  10. 9M. ThuramF
  11. 14A. BonnyF

Substitutes

  1. 7P. ZielińskiM
  2. 5A. StankovićM
  3. 49I. ProvedelG
  4. 48M. MosconiF
  5. 22H. MkhitaryanM
  6. 11Luis HenriqueF
  7. 94F. EspositoF
  8. 17A. DioufM
  9. 12R. Di GennaroG
  10. 46L. BovioD
  11. 31Y. BisseckD
  12. 45F. StanteD

Coach: C. Chivu

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 31D. RiznykG
  2. 17Vinícius TobiasD
  3. 5V. BondarD
  4. 22M. MatvienkoD
  5. 13PedrinhoD
  6. 27O. OcheretkoM
  7. 30Alisson SantanaM
  8. 10PedrinhoM
  9. 6Marlon GomesM
  10. 77G. MendozaM
  11. 9Kauã EliasF

Substitutes

  1. 23K. FesyunG
  2. 2L. TraoréF
  3. 25Gabriel CarvalhoF
  4. 18A. GhramD
  5. 14IsaqueM
  6. 20O. KaravaevM
  7. 8D. KryskivM
  8. 49Luca MeirellesF
  9. 37Lucas FerreiraM
  10. 29E. NazarynaM
  11. 11NewerttonM
  12. 99BruninhoM

Coach: A. Turan

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.78 – 1.00
0.5 goalsOver97.7%Under2.3%
1.5 goalsOver89.1%Under10.9%
2.5 goalsOver72.8%Under27.2%
3.5 goalsOver52.2%Under47.8%
4.5 goalsOver32.8%Under67.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

InterShakhtar Donetsk
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
29%Defence71%
50%Head to head50%
74%Expected goals26%
87%Overall13%

Last matches

Newest first
Inter1W 0D 1L · last 2
WBologna vs Inter17 Oct 2026 · Serie A1-3LInter vs Club Brugge KV13 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-4
Shakhtar Donetsk1W 0D 0L · last 1
WShakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC14 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-1

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatInterShakhtar Donetsk
Played21
Wins11
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)33
Goals against (avg)2.51
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/21/1
Over 2.52/21/1
Over 3.52/21/1
BTTS – yes2/21/1

Match preview

Inter host Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Inter clear favourites, giving Inter a 74% chance of winning, 15% for the draw and 11% for Shakhtar Donetsk. Our tip is: Inter to win.

Inter have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Shakhtar Donetsk have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 73% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk in the table?

Inter are 20th and Shakhtar Donetsk are 17th in the Champions League.

Who will win Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our prediction is Inter to win. Win probabilities: Inter 74%, draw 15%, Shakhtar Donetsk 11%.

Will both teams score in Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

We estimate a 73% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Wed 21 Oct

FTLille 2-4 GalatasarayOver 1.5 ✓FTComo 4-1 Manchester United12 ✓FTAston Villa 3-1 Viking1 ✓FTReal Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig1 ✓FTReal Betis 1-0 Feyenoord1 ✓FTSporting CP 2-3 Lask Linz1 ✗FTClub Brugge KV 3-0 Lens12 ✓FTBayern München 2-2 Arsenal12 ✗

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