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Burnley vs Wolves prediction

Burnley vs Wolves prediction for the Championship on 16 Oct 2026: Wolves or draw (67%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Championship · Regular Season - 11
BurnleyWolves
1 - 2Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 1-1
Turf Moor, Burnley

Match events

BurnleyWolves
  1. Goal: Jamie VardyAssist: Jacob Bruun Larsen20'
  2. 39'Goal: Fer LópezAssist: Sean Neave

HT 1-1

  1. 61'Substitution: Jean-Ricner BellegardeOff: Mateus Mane
  2. Substitution: Jamie VardyOff: Armando Broja61'
  3. Substitution: Jacob Bruun LarsenOff: Dastan Satpaev61'
  4. Yellow card: Reo HatateFoul63'
  5. 70'Yellow card: Sean NeaveFoul
  6. 71'Substitution: Thomas DoyleOff: Fer López
  7. 72'Substitution: Sean NeaveOff: Tawanda Chirewa
  8. 72'Goal: Tawanda ChirewaAssist: Mateus Mane
  9. Substitution: Reo HatateOff: Marcus Edwards75'
  10. 87'Substitution: Ghislain KonanOff: Ladislav Krejčí
  11. 87'Substitution: Rafiki Said AhamadaOff: Hugo Bueno
  12. Substitution: Ugo RaghouberOff: Max Alleyne87'
  13. Yellow card: Kyle WalkerFoul90'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Wolves or draw

Bet365 1.36

67%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Burnley33%
Fair odds 3.03
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Wolves41%
Fair odds 2.44

Match statistics

  • 46%Possession54%
  • 1.04Expected goals (xG)1.76
  • 15Total shots20
  • 4Shots on target8
  • 6Shots off target9
  • 5Blocked shots3
  • 8Shots inside the box12
  • 3Corners6
  • 7Offsides0
  • 13Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves3
  • 413Passes477
  • 341Accurate passes415

Line-ups

Burnley

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 37G. CoudertG
  2. 2K. WalkerD
  3. 18H. EkdalD
  4. 44IgorD
  5. 23Lucas PiresD
  6. 3Max AlleyneM
  7. 5R. HatateM
  8. 19L. RamazaniM
  9. 29J. LaurentM
  10. 7J. Bruun LarsenM
  11. 9J. VardyF

Substitutes

  1. 27A. BrojaF
  2. 30L. CastellF
  3. 10M. EdwardsF
  4. 17A. HountondjiF
  5. 8U. RaghouberM
  6. 14C. RobertsD
  7. 12D. SatpaevF
  8. 22O. SonneD
  9. 1M. WeißG

Coach: N. Hayen

Wolves

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1José SáG
  2. 38J. TchatchouaD
  3. 34N. DjigaD
  4. 24Toti GomesD
  5. 33G. KonanD
  6. 5M. MunetsiM
  7. 7AndréM
  8. 27J. BellegardeM
  9. 28Fer LópezM
  10. 19R. SaïdM
  11. 14S. NeaveF

Substitutes

  1. 2K. TrippierD
  2. 15Y. MosqueraD
  3. 13João VirgíniaG
  4. 36M. ManeF
  5. 37L. KrejčíD
  6. 8J. JamesM
  7. 20T. DoyleM
  8. 23T. ChirewaF
  9. 3Hugo BuenoD

Coach: César Peixoto

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.55
0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
1.5 goalsOver79.0%Under21.0%
2.5 goalsOver56.1%Under43.9%
3.5 goalsOver33.7%Under66.3%
4.5 goalsOver17.3%Under82.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BurnleyWolves
100%Form0%
67%Attack33%
60%Defence40%
50%Head to head50%
47%Expected goals53%
45%Overall55%

Last matches

Newest first
Burnley0W 1D 0L · last 1
DBurnley vs Charlton13 Oct 2026 · Championship2-2
Wolves0W 0D 1L · last 1
LWolves vs Bolton13 Oct 2026 · Championship1-3

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham137
5Fer LópezWolves126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBurnleyWolves
Played11
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01
Goals for (avg)21
Goals against (avg)23
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.51/11/1
BTTS – yes1/11/1

Match preview

Burnley host Wolves in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) at Turf Moor, Burnley, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Wolves slight favourites, giving Burnley a 33% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 41% for Wolves. Our tip is: Wolves or draw.

Burnley have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Wolves have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Turf Moor, Burnley

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Burnley vs Wolves?

Burnley vs Wolves kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Burnley vs Wolves in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Burnley and Wolves in the table?

Burnley are 22nd and Wolves are 3rd in the Championship.

Who will win Burnley vs Wolves?

Our prediction is Wolves or draw. Win probabilities: Burnley 33%, draw 26%, Wolves 41%.

Will both teams score in Burnley vs Wolves?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Burnley vs Wolves?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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