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Viking vs Fredrikstad prediction

Viking vs Fredrikstad prediction for the Eliteserien on 17 Oct 2026: Viking to win (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
VikingFredrikstadNo recent games
3 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-2
SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger

Match events

VikingFredrikstad
  1. Goal: Simen Kvia EgeskogAssist: Peter Christiansen7'
  2. 27'Goal: Bryan FiabemaAssist: Gabriel Wesseh
  3. Yellow card: Joe BellFoul36'
  4. 40'Goal: Gabriel WessehAssist: Daniel Eid
  5. Substitution: Joe BellOff: Henrik Bjørdal45'
  6. Substitution: Niklas FuglestadOff: Zlatko Tripić45'

HT 1-2

  1. Yellow card: Vetle AuklendFoul46'
  2. Goal: Peter ChristiansenAssist: Simen Kvia Egeskog56'
  3. Goal: Peter ChristiansenAssist: Vetle Auklend57'
  4. Substitution: Henrik FalchenerOff: Jesper Daland58'
  5. 58'Substitution: jakub jezierskiOff: Henrik Langaas Skogvold
  6. 66'Substitution: Gabriel WessehOff: Fanuel Ghebreyohannes
  7. 66'Yellow card: Sondre SørløkkFoul
  8. Substitution: Herman HaugenOff: Vetle Auklend70'
  9. 74'Yellow card: Daniel EidFoul
  10. 80'Substitution: Sondre SørløkkOff: Benjamin Thoresen Faraas
  11. 80'Substitution: Samuel HolmOff: Johannes Andres Hummelvoll-Nunez
  12. 80'Substitution: Solomon OwusuOff: Leonard Owusu
  13. Substitution: Peter ChristiansenOff: Jakob Segadal Hansen89'
  14. Yellow card: Erik BotheimFoul90+3'

Our verdict

1 ✓

Viking to win

Bet365 1.27

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2

Expected goals3.6

Win probability

1 · Viking74%
Fair odds 1.35
X · Draw16%
Fair odds 6.25
2 · Fredrikstad10%
Fair odds 10.00

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 1.70Expected goals (xG)0.48
  • 11Total shots8
  • 4Shots on target2
  • 6Shots off target4
  • 1Blocked shots2
  • 9Shots inside the box2
  • 6Corners0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 15Fouls11
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves2
  • 432Passes590
  • 345Accurate passes506

Line-ups

Viking

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1A. ØstbøG
  2. 5H. HeggheimD
  3. 6G. StensnessD
  4. 25H. FalchenerD
  5. 24Vetle AuklendD
  6. 29T. MoiM
  7. 8J. BellM
  8. 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
  9. 23N. FuglestadF
  10. 22E. BotheimF
  11. 20P. ChristiansenF

Substitutes

  1. 17E. BasseyD
  2. 30Ľ. BelkoG
  3. 16H. BjørdalM
  4. 19A. CosicF
  5. 27J. DalandD
  6. 33J. HansenM
  7. 2H. HaugenD
  8. 11R. PostemaF
  9. 10Z. TripićF

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Fredrikstad

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 77M. BørsheimG
  2. 38I. AmundsenD
  3. 4F. HolméD
  4. 28S. OwusuD
  5. 16D. EidM
  6. 6S. Leach HolmM
  7. 21J. JezierskiM
  8. 13S. SørløkkM
  9. 29G. WessehF
  10. 18B. FiabemaF
  11. 11L. WestF

Substitutes

  1. 30J. TorkildsenG
  2. 23H. SkogvoldF
  3. 5S. RafnD
  4. 24L. OwusuM
  5. 10J. Hummelvoll-NuñezF
  6. 9S. LaghzaouiM
  7. 19F. GhebreyohannesD
  8. 12U. FredriksenD
  9. 7B. ThoresenF

Coach: Casper Röjkjaer

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.67 – 0.94
0.5 goalsOver97.3%Under2.7%
1.5 goalsOver87.5%Under12.5%
2.5 goalsOver69.9%Under30.1%
3.5 goalsOver48.7%Under51.3%
4.5 goalsOver29.5%Under70.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

VikingFredrikstad
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
6%Defence94%
50%Head to head50%
74%Expected goals26%
88%Overall12%

Last matches

Newest first
Viking0W 1D 0L · last 1
DViking vs Bayern München13 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-3
Fredrikstad0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eliteserien table

Eliteserien table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
11Fredrikstad25-1529
12Sandefjord25-827
13Ham-Kam25-1827
14Aalesund25-1424
15Kristiansund BK25-2223
16Start25-2919
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eliteserien top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Amin ChiakhaRosenborg2417
2P. ChristiansenViking2415
3A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt2213
4L. AlvheimKristiansund BK2312
5K. LonebuMolde2112

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatVikingFredrikstad
Played10
Wins00
Draws10
Losses00
Goals for (avg)30
Goals against (avg)30
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.51/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

Viking host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 24) at SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Viking clear favourites, giving Viking a 74% chance of winning, 16% for the draw and 10% for Fredrikstad. Our tip is: Viking to win.

Viking have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Norway Eliteserien
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Viking vs Fredrikstad?

Viking vs Fredrikstad kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Viking vs Fredrikstad in?

The match is in the Norway Eliteserien.

Where are Viking and Fredrikstad in the table?

Viking are 1st and Fredrikstad are 11th in the Eliteserien.

Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?

Our prediction is Viking to win. Win probabilities: Viking 74%, draw 16%, Fredrikstad 10%.

Will both teams score in Viking vs Fredrikstad?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Viking vs Fredrikstad?

We estimate a 70% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eliteserien on Sat 17 Oct

FTHam-Kam 0-2 Bodo/Glimt2 ✓FTKristiansund BK 1-4 Aalesund1X ✗

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