Betika Must Be Won Jackpot at a glance
| Fact | Details |
|---|---|
| Run by | Betika (Kenya) |
| Games | 15, mostly weekend matches from Europe's top leagues |
| Price | KES 49 per line |
| Doubles and triples | Double chance on up to 6 games (up to 64 lines, KES 3,136) |
| Prizes below the jackpot | 13 or 14 correct out of 15 |
| Top prize | KES 50 million, shared equally by the winners, and it must be won by the 8th week |
| When | Weekly over Saturday and Sunday; entries close before the first kick-off |
| Draw on the coupon | X (home win 1, draw X, away win 2) |
How the Must Be Won Jackpot works
Each week Betika picks 15 matches, usually from the Premier League, LaLiga, the Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1 over Saturday and Sunday. You predict 1, X or 2 for each, at KES 49 a line. All 15 right wins the KES 50 million prize, shared equally between everyone who gets there. 13 or 14 right wins a consolation bonus.
Why "must be won"
The prize doesn't roll over for ever. Betika counts the weeks of each cycle, and the prize has to be won by the eighth week at the latest, so it can't grow without end. How it is awarded in week 8 is set in Betika's terms. The card shows which week of the cycle you're in, so check it before you play.
Game Pass tokens
Betika rewards players who enter week after week. Two consecutive weeks earn one Game Pass token, four weeks earn two and six weeks earn three (three at most). How tokens can be used is set out in Betika's Game Pass rules, and every count resets once the jackpot is won.
Your real chances
Jackpot games are chosen to be close, so even good picks miss often. The table works out your chances exactly for different levels of skill. Read across the 50% row: that's someone whose every pick is a coin flip between the two likeliest results, which is already better than most players.
| Your picks are right… | All 15 right | 13+ right (any prize) |
|---|---|---|
| A blind guess (33%) | 1 in 14,348,907 | 0.0031% (1 in 31,816) |
| 40% per pick | 1 in 931,323 | 0.028% (1 in 3,585) |
| 50% per pick | 1 in 32,768 | 0.37% (1 in 271) |
| 55% per pick | 1 in 7,844 | 1.07% (1 in 94) |
| 60% per pick (very strong) | 1 in 2,127 | 2.71% (1 in 37) |
The chance of each prize tier
The chance of finishing on exactly each number of correct picks. Most of the realistic money is in the lower tiers, which is why the bonuses matter more than the headline prize.
| Correct | At 50% per pick | At 60% per pick |
|---|---|---|
| 15 of 15 (jackpot) | 0.0031% | 0.047% |
| 14 of 15 | 0.046% | 0.47% |
| 13 of 15 | 0.32% | 2.19% |
What doubles and triples cost
Every double doubles the number of lines and every triple triples it. Here is what each ticket costs at KES 49 a line, and how much it improves your chance.
| Ticket | Lines | Cost | Chance of all 15 right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Singles only | 1 | KES 49 | 1 in 32,768 |
| 1 double | 2 | KES 98 | 1 in 20,480 |
| 2 doubles | 4 | KES 196 | 1 in 12,800 |
| 3 doubles | 8 | KES 392 | 1 in 8,000 |
| 5 doubles | 32 | KES 1,568 | 1 in 3,125 |
| 1 triple | 3 | KES 147 | 1 in 16,384 |
| 3 triples | 27 | KES 1,323 | 1 in 4,096 |
| 2 doubles + 1 triple | 12 | KES 588 | 1 in 6,400 |
| 3 doubles + 2 triples | 72 | KES 3,528 | 1 in 2,000 |
Chances in this table assume each single is right 50% of the time and each double 80%. Work out your own ticket with the jackpot calculator.
How to approach the Must Be Won Jackpot
Use our picks as a starting point, not an answer. Every game on this week's card has our chance for each result and a suggested pick. Where no result reaches 45%, we suggest a double on the two likeliest. You can change any of them; just know which ones are close calls.
Up to six doubles, so choose them carefully. Six doubles make 64 lines and cost KES 3,136. The best use of a double is a game where the favourite is below about 45%; on a game with a 60% favourite, a double adds little.
Count the weeks. Week 8 is different because the prize has to go out that week at the latest. If you plan a bigger ticket, the last week of a cycle can be the one to use it on.
Play for 13 and 14. At 50% per pick, about 1 ticket in 270 reaches 13 or more correct, against 1 in 32,768 for all 15. The bonuses are where most of the realistic money is.
Rules worth knowing
- 15 games, 1X2, with double chance on up to 6 games. Each double doubles the lines; 64 lines is the most on one ticket.
- The prize is shared between everyone with 15/15 and must be won by the 8th week of a cycle.
- Bonuses are paid for 13 and 14 correct.
- Results count after 90 minutes plus added time.
- Postponed or cancelled matches are settled under Betika's terms. Read them before you play.
- Tax. Kenyan winnings tax is deducted before payout.