Betika Midweek Jackpot at a glance
| Fact | Details |
|---|---|
| Run by | Betika (Kenya) |
| Games | 15 |
| Price | KES 15 per line |
| Doubles and triples | Doubles on up to 5 games (up to 32 lines, KES 480) |
| Prizes below the jackpot | 12, 13 or 14 correct out of 15 |
| Top prize | A set KES 15 million, shared equally by everyone with 15/15 |
| When | Weekly, midweek; closes just before the first kick-off |
| Draw on the coupon | X (home win 1, draw X, away win 2) |
How the Betika Midweek Jackpot works
Betika picks 15 matches each week. You predict home win, draw or away win for every game, at KES 15 a line. Get all 15 right and you share the KES 15 million prize equally with any other winners. Get 12, 13 or 14 right and you share that tier's bonus, which depends on how many people land it.
Unlike a rolling jackpot, the top prize here doesn't grow when nobody wins. That makes the arithmetic simple: the prize is the same every week, so the only thing that changes your expected share is how many other people hit it. Busy weeks with obvious favourites produce more winners and smaller shares.
Your real chances
Jackpot games are chosen to be close, so even good picks miss often. The table works out your chances exactly for different levels of skill. Read across the 50% row: that's someone whose every pick is a coin flip between the two likeliest results, which is already better than most players.
| Your picks are right… | All 15 right | 12+ right (any prize) |
|---|---|---|
| A blind guess (33%) | 1 in 14,348,907 | 0.029% (1 in 3,507) |
| 40% per pick | 1 in 931,323 | 0.19% (1 in 519) |
| 50% per pick | 1 in 32,768 | 1.76% (1 in 57) |
| 55% per pick | 1 in 7,844 | 4.24% (1 in 24) |
| 60% per pick (very strong) | 1 in 2,127 | 9.05% (1 in 11) |
The chance of each prize tier
The chance of finishing on exactly each number of correct picks. Most of the realistic money is in the lower tiers, which is why the bonuses matter more than the headline prize.
| Correct | At 50% per pick | At 60% per pick |
|---|---|---|
| 15 of 15 (jackpot) | 0.0031% | 0.047% |
| 14 of 15 | 0.046% | 0.47% |
| 13 of 15 | 0.32% | 2.19% |
| 12 of 15 | 1.39% | 6.34% |
What doubles and triples cost
Every double doubles the number of lines and every triple triples it. Here is what each ticket costs at KES 15 a line, and how much it improves your chance.
| Ticket | Lines | Cost | Chance of all 15 right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Singles only | 1 | KES 15 | 1 in 32,768 |
| 1 double | 2 | KES 30 | 1 in 20,480 |
| 2 doubles | 4 | KES 60 | 1 in 12,800 |
| 3 doubles | 8 | KES 120 | 1 in 8,000 |
| 5 doubles | 32 | KES 480 | 1 in 3,125 |
| 1 triple | 3 | KES 45 | 1 in 16,384 |
| 3 triples | 27 | KES 405 | 1 in 4,096 |
| 2 doubles + 1 triple | 12 | KES 180 | 1 in 6,400 |
| 3 doubles + 2 triples | 72 | KES 1,080 | 1 in 2,000 |
Chances in this table assume each single is right 50% of the time and each double 80%. Work out your own ticket with the jackpot calculator.
How to approach the Betika Midweek Jackpot
The low stake is the attraction, not the odds. At KES 15 a line, 15 games still means 1 in 32,768 for a perfect card even at 50% per pick. Plan for bonuses and treat the full prize as a bonus on top.
Use all five doubles carefully. Five doubles cost KES 480 for 32 lines. On a 15-game card, the best five doubles are the five games whose favourite is weakest. Check each one on our predictions pages, where every match shows home, draw and away chances.
Don't double favourites. If one team has a 70% chance, a double adds little and costs as much as any other double. Save doubles for games where two results are close.
Think about shares. Because the prize is set, ten winners in one week means KES 1.5 million each. Picks that differ from the crowd on genuinely close games are what give you a bigger share when they come in.
Rules worth knowing
- 15 games, one result each (or two with a double). Bets can't be cancelled or changed once placed.
- Double chance on up to 5 games. The cost is 2 to the power of the number of doubles, times KES 15.
- Bonuses for 12, 13 and 14 correct. Amounts depend on the number of winners; nothing is paid below 12.
- Postponed or cancelled matches. Reports disagree on how they're settled (a draw for the result, or a cancelled jackpot if several games are lost), so read the current terms before you play.
- Tax. Kenyan winnings tax is deducted before payout.