Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
Match events
Rennes- Penalty goal: Sepe Elye Wahi (pen)12'
- 15'Goal: Sebastian SzymańskiAssist: Mahamadou Nagida
- Penalty goal: Sepe Elye Wahi (pen)34'
- 45'Substitution: Przemysław FrankowskiOff: Bryan Reynolds
- 45'Substitution: Adrien ThomassonOff: Mahdi Camara
- Goal: Jonathan ClaussAssist: Sepe Elye Wahi45+2'
HT 3-1
- Goal: Mohamed AmouraAssist: Sofiane Diop52'
- 58'Penalty goal: Boulaye Dia (pen)
- 61'Yellow card: Anthony RouaultFoul
- Yellow card: Sepe Elye WahiArgument62'
- 68'Substitution: Valentin RongierOff: Djaoui Cissé
- 68'Substitution: Boulaye DiaOff: Issa Soumaré
- Substitution: Sofiane DiopOff: Gauthier Hein68'
- Goal: Sepe Elye WahiAssist: Gauthier Hein73'
- 74'Substitution: Mousa Al-TamariOff: Eliezer Mayenda
- Substitution: Djibril CoulibalyOff: Morgan Sanson74'
- 84'Yellow card: Charlie CresswellArgument
- Yellow card: Mohamed AbdelmoneimArgument84'
- 84'Yellow card: Mahdi CamaraArgument
- Yellow card: Youssouf NdayishimiyeArgument84'
- Substitution: Jonathan ClaussOff: Hamza Koutoune85'
- Substitution: Sepe Elye WahiOff: Nathan Ngoumou85'
- Yellow card: Mohamed AmouraNot Retreating88'
Our verdict
Rennes or draw
Bet365 1.44
✗ This tip lost · final score 5-2
Win probability
Match statistics
- 47%Possession53%
- 3.47Expected goals (xG)2.66
- 17Total shots18
- 8Shots on target9
- 6Shots off target7
- 3Blocked shots2
- 10Shots inside the box14
- 4Corners7
- 2Offsides3
- 8Fouls10
- 4Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 7Goalkeeper saves3
- 419Passes467
- 351Accurate passes397
Line-ups
Nice
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23Y. DioufG
- 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
- 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
- 35X. Mandza TsiendiD
- 92J. ClaussM
- 39D. CoulibalyM
- 6H. BoudaouiM
- 27N. NkounkouM
- 10S. DiopM
- 9M. AmouraM
- 11E. WahiF
Substitutes
- 8M. SansonM
- 22I. CamaraM
- 77T. BoulhendiG
- 7G. HeinM
- 21I. JanssonF
- 84H. KoutouneD
- 41D. MoranaF
- 29N. NgoumouF
- 87E. PereiraM
Coach: O. Pantaloni
Rennes
3-5-2Starting XI
- 16N. LemaîtreG
- 48A. Ait BoudlalD
- 4C. CresswellD
- 24A. RouaultD
- 95P. FrankowskiM
- 17S. SzymańskiM
- 21V. RongierM
- 28A. ThomassonM
- 18M. NagidaM
- 22B. DiaF
- 11Mousa TamariF
Substitutes
- 60Kilian BelazzougG
- 5Gonçalo OliveiraD
- 45M. CamaraM
- 6D. CisséM
- 12Eliezer MayendaF
- 26Q. MerlinD
- 14B. ReynoldsD
- 10L. BlasF
- 90I. SoumaréF
Coach: F. Haise
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.61Half time / full time result. 1 = Nice, X = draw, 2 = Rennes.
Asian handicap applied to Nice.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstNice1W 0D 1L · last 2Rennes2W 1D 1L · last 4Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 3 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 | DLDWD |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 | LWLWD |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 | LWLWD |
| 7 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 8 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +5 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 | DWLWW |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 | LDWLL |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 15 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 | LLLLD |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 | LLLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  E. LepaulRennes | 7 | 7 |
| 2 |  E. WahiNice | 8 | 6 |
| 3 |  L. SinayokoParis FC | 8 | 6 |
| 4 |  C. ArcherAuxerre | 6 | 5 |
| 5 |  A. GouiriMarseille | 8 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Nice | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/2 | 4/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/2 | 4/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/2 | 2/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/2 | 3/4 |
Match preview
Nice host Rennes in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) at Allianz Riviera, Nice, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Rennes narrow favourites, giving Nice a 37% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 39% for Rennes. Our tip is: Rennes or draw.
Nice have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Rennes have taken 7 points from their last 4 games (2W 1D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 64% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- France Ligue 1
- Date
- Friday, 30 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Venue
- Allianz Riviera, Nice
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Nice vs Rennes?
Nice vs Rennes kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Nice vs Rennes in?
The match is in the France Ligue 1.
Where are Nice and Rennes in the table?
Nice are 7th and Rennes are 3rd in the Ligue 1.
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
Our prediction is Rennes or draw. Win probabilities: Nice 37%, draw 24%, Rennes 39%.
Will both teams score in Nice vs Rennes?
We estimate a 64% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nice vs Rennes?
We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.