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AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava prediction

AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava prediction for the Champions League on 20 Oct 2026: Over 2.5 (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday20October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Champions League · League Stage - 3
AS RomaSlovan Bratislava
4 - 0Full time · Tue 20 OctHT 2-0
Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Match events

AS RomaSlovan Bratislava
  1. 20'Yellow card: Tigran·Barseghyan
  2. Goal: Mario HermosoAssist: Daniele Ghilardi21'
  3. Goal: Nahuel Molina39'

HT 2-0

  1. Substitution: Lorenzo PellegriniOff: Matias Soule51'
  2. Goal: Niccolò PisilliAssist: Donyell Malen52'
  3. 55'Substitution: Tigran·BarseghyanOff: Alasana Yirajang
  4. Penalty goal: Donyell Malen (pen)58'
  5. Substitution: Donyell MalenOff: Santiago Thomas Castro59'
  6. Substitution: Wesley Vinícius França LimaOff: Devyne Rensch59'
  7. 65'Yellow card: Suleiman CamaraFoul
  8. 69'Substitution: Rash Rahim IbrahimOff: Alen Mustafić
  9. 69'Substitution: artur gajdosOff: Cristian Martínez
  10. 69'Substitution: Alexej MarošOff: Suleiman Camara
  11. 75'Yellow card: Cristian MartínezDissent
  12. Substitution: Mario HermosoOff: Konstantinos Koulierakis77'
  13. Substitution: Marten de RoonOff: Gianluca Mancini77'
  14. 82'Substitution: Kevin WimmerOff: Sandro Cruz

Our verdict

Over 2.5 ✓

Over 2.5

Bet365 1.30

73%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-0

Expected goals3.8

Win probability

1 · AS Roma83%
Fair odds 1.20
X · Draw11%
Fair odds 9.09
2 · Slovan Bratislava6%
Fair odds 16.67

Match statistics

  • 73%Possession27%
  • 3.62Expected goals (xG)0.04
  • 26Total shots1
  • 10Shots on target0
  • 10Shots off target1
  • 6Blocked shots0
  • 21Shots inside the box1
  • 8Corners1
  • 4Offsides1
  • 10Fouls10
  • 0Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves6
  • 666Passes251
  • 598Accurate passes175

Line-ups

AS Roma

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 95P. GolliniG
  2. 87D. GhilardiD
  3. 26L. BalerdiD
  4. 22HermosoD
  5. 20N. MolinaM
  6. 15M. de RoonM
  7. 61N. PisilliM
  8. 43WesleyM
  9. 86Rodrigo MoraM
  10. 7L. PellegriniM
  11. 14D. MalenF

Substitutes

  1. 5E. NdickaD
  2. 2D. RenschD
  3. 18M. SouléF
  4. 32D. VásquezG
  5. 9S. CastroF
  6. 4B. CristanteM
  7. 70G. De MarziG
  8. 63Alessandro Di NunzioM
  9. 3K. KoulierakisD
  10. 77E. LulliD
  11. 23G. ManciniD

Coach: G. Gasperini

Slovan Bratislava

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 71D. TakáčG
  2. 28C. BlackmanD
  3. 12K. BajričD
  4. 15S. MarkovićD
  5. 57Sandro CruzD
  6. 3P. PokornýM
  7. 11T. BarseghyanM
  8. 5R. IbrahimM
  9. 8A. GajdošM
  10. 21Suleiman CamaraM
  11. 10N. MarcelliF

Substitutes

  1. 7L. HofstadterM
  2. 77D. IgnatenkoM
  3. 2S. KozlovskýD
  4. 70Cristian Jesús MartínezM
  5. 88D. MatsuokaM
  6. 20A. MustafićM
  7. 1A. PopovićG
  8. 26R. TománekD
  9. 6K. WimmerD
  10. 14A. YirajangF
  11. 49S. CamaraD
  12. 29A. MarošF

Coach: Yaya Touré

Betting markets

Expected goals 3.05 – 0.74
0.5 goalsOver97.7%Under2.3%
1.5 goalsOver89.1%Under10.9%
2.5 goalsOver72.9%Under27.1%
3.5 goalsOver52.4%Under47.6%
4.5 goalsOver33.0%Under67.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AS RomaSlovan Bratislava
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
60%Defence40%
50%Head to head50%
80%Expected goals20%
93%Overall7%

Last matches

Newest first
AS Roma1W 0D 1L · last 2
WAS Roma vs Genoa17 Oct 2026 · Serie A2-0LAS Roma vs Real Madrid14 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-4
Slovan Bratislava0W 0D 1L · last 1
LSlovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart14 Oct 2026 · Champions League0-3

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAS RomaSlovan Bratislava
Played21
Wins10
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)2.50
Goals against (avg)23
Clean sheets10
Failed to score01
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/21/1
Over 2.51/21/1
Over 3.51/20/1
BTTS – yes1/20/1

Match preview

AS Roma host Slovan Bratislava in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) at Stadio Olimpico, Rome, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes AS Roma clear favourites, giving AS Roma a 83% chance of winning, 11% for the draw and 6% for Slovan Bratislava. Our tip is: Over 2.5.

AS Roma have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Slovan Bratislava have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 73% chance of over 2.5 and a 50% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Stadio Olimpico, Rome

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are AS Roma and Slovan Bratislava in the table?

AS Roma are 15th and Slovan Bratislava are 36th in the Champions League.

Who will win AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: AS Roma 83%, draw 11%, Slovan Bratislava 6%.

Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

We estimate a 73% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Tue 20 Oct

FTSabah FA 1-2 Borussia Dortmund2 ✓FTFenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia PrahaOver 1.5 ✓FTNapoli 4-3 Bodo/Glimt1 ✓FTParis Saint Germain 4-2 Barcelona12 ✓FTFC Porto 0-1 PSV Eindhoven1 ✗FTVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico MadridX2 ✓FTManchester City 5-1 AEK Athens FCOver 2.5 ✓FTLiverpool 4-3 Villarreal1 ✓

All football predictions for today