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Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund prediction for the Champions League on 20 Oct 2026: Borussia Dortmund to win (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday20October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Champions League · League Stage - 3
Sabah FABorussia Dortmund
1 - 2Full time · Tue 20 OctHT 1-1
Baku Olympic Stadium, Baku

Match events

Sabah FABorussia Dortmund
  1. 10'Goal: Serhou Guirassy
  2. Yellow card: Steve SolvetFoul22'
  3. Goal: Aden McCarthyAssist: Tymoteusz Puchacz39'

HT 1-1

  1. Yellow card: Ivan LepinjicaFoul49'
  2. 53'Goal: Serhou GuirassyAssist: Joey Veerman
  3. Yellow card: Aden McCarthyFoul57'
  4. Substitution: Aleksey IsaevOff: Du Queiroz65'
  5. Substitution: Kaheem ParrisOff: Patrick Orphe Mbina65'
  6. 71'Substitution: Carney ChukwuemekaOff: Marcel Sabitzer
  7. 71'Substitution: Felix NmechaOff: Jobe Bellingham
  8. 72'Substitution: Ramy BensebainiOff: Kouakou Joane Gadou
  9. 77'Substitution: Daniel SvenssonOff: Maximilian Beier
  10. Substitution: Umarali RakhmonalievOff: Abdulakh khaybulaev81'
  11. Substitution: Joy Lance MickelsOff: Christian Nwachukwu81'
  12. Yellow card: Akim ZedadkaDissent89'
  13. 90+1'Substitution: Ethan NwaneriOff: Fábio Silva

Our verdict

2 ✓

Borussia Dortmund to win

Bet365 1.25

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals3.5

Win probability

1 · Sabah FA9%
Fair odds 11.11
X · Draw15%
Fair odds 6.67
2 · Borussia Dortmund76%
Fair odds 1.32

Match statistics

  • 45%Possession55%
  • 1.50Expected goals (xG)3.73
  • 13Total shots22
  • 4Shots on target9
  • 7Shots off target13
  • 2Blocked shots0
  • 8Shots inside the box16
  • 4Corners9
  • 6Offsides2
  • 8Fouls12
  • 4Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves3
  • 407Passes502
  • 328Accurate passes418

Line-ups

Sabah FA

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 92S. PokatilovG
  2. 80A. ZedadkaD
  3. 3S. SolvetD
  4. 4A. McCarthyD
  5. 27T. PuchaczD
  6. 7U. RahmonaliyevM
  7. 13I. LepinjicaM
  8. 11K. ParrisM
  9. 37Du QueirozM
  10. 21V. SimićM
  11. 20J. MickelsF

Substitutes

  1. 88Rodrigo FernandesM
  2. 10A. IsaevM
  3. 5R. DaşdəmirovD
  4. 33Erivaldo AlmeidaD
  5. 6A. XaybulayevM
  6. 99P. MbinaF
  7. 94R. MirzəmmədovG
  8. 17T. MütəllimovD
  9. 8C. NwachukwuF
  10. 1A. RamazanovG
  11. 34X. SeverinaM
  12. 9K. AliyevM

Coach: V. Dambrauskas

Borussia Dortmund

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1G. KobelG
  2. 3W. AntonD
  3. 4N. SchlotterbeckD
  4. 5R. BensebaïniD
  5. 26J. RyersonM
  6. 8F. NmechaM
  7. 25J. VeermanM
  8. 24D. SvenssonM
  9. 17C. ChukwuemekaM
  10. 21Fábio SilvaM
  11. 9S. GuirassyF

Substitutes

  1. 14M. BeierF
  2. 7J. BellinghamM
  3. 30P. DrewesG
  4. 22Kouakou Joane GadouD
  5. 40S. InacioF
  6. 39F. ManéD
  7. 33A. MeyerG
  8. 18E. NwaneriM
  9. 49L. ReggianiD
  10. 20M. SabitzerM
  11. 41M. AlbertF
  12. 44E. de Pina Duarte dos SantosM

Coach: N. Kovač

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.84 – 2.68
0.5 goalsOver97.0%Under3.0%
1.5 goalsOver86.6%Under13.4%
2.5 goalsOver68.3%Under31.7%
3.5 goalsOver46.8%Under53.2%
4.5 goalsOver27.8%Under72.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Sabah FABorussia Dortmund
75%Form25%
100%Attack0%
71%Defence29%
50%Head to head50%
24%Expected goals76%
11%Overall89%

Last matches

Newest first
Sabah FA1W 0D 0L · last 1
WSabah FA vs Slavia Praha13 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-0
Borussia Dortmund0W 1D 1L · last 2
DUnion Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund17 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga0-0LBodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund14 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-0

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSabah FABorussia Dortmund
Played12
Wins10
Draws01
Losses01
Goals for (avg)20
Goals against (avg)00.5
Clean sheets11
Failed to score02
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/2
Over 2.50/10/2
Over 3.50/10/2
BTTS – yes0/10/2

Match preview

Sabah FA host Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) at Baku Olympic Stadium, Baku, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Borussia Dortmund clear favourites, giving Sabah FA a 9% chance of winning, 15% for the draw and 76% for Borussia Dortmund. Our tip is: Borussia Dortmund to win.

Sabah FA have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Borussia Dortmund have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
Baku Olympic Stadium, Baku

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund?

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are Sabah FA and Borussia Dortmund in the table?

Sabah FA are 25th and Borussia Dortmund are 13th in the Champions League.

Who will win Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our prediction is Borussia Dortmund to win. Win probabilities: Sabah FA 9%, draw 15%, Borussia Dortmund 76%.

Will both teams score in Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund?

We estimate a 68% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Tue 20 Oct

FTFenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia PrahaOver 1.5 ✓FTNapoli 4-3 Bodo/Glimt1 ✓FTParis Saint Germain 4-2 Barcelona12 ✓FTFC Porto 0-1 PSV Eindhoven1 ✗FTVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico MadridX2 ✓FTAS Roma 4-0 Slovan BratislavaOver 2.5 ✓FTManchester City 5-1 AEK Athens FCOver 2.5 ✓FTLiverpool 4-3 Villarreal1 ✓

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