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Lille vs Lens prediction

Lille vs Lens prediction for the Ligue 1 on 30 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
LilleLens
1 - 0Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 0-0
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Match events

LilleLens
  1. 10'Yellow card: Saud AbdulhamidFoul
  2. Yellow card: Davide AncelottiDissent45'

HT 0-0

  1. 62'Substitution: Florian SotocaOff: Junior Kadile
  2. 62'Substitution: Jean-Clair TodiboOff: Kyllian Antonio
  3. 69'Substitution: Thorgan HazardOff: Franjo Ivanovic
  4. 69'Substitution: Michaël CuisanceOff: Yassine Titraoui
  5. Substitution: Ethan MbappeOff: Olivier Giroud73'
  6. Substitution: Ngal'ayel MukauOff: Dilane Bakwa73'
  7. Substitution: Romain PerraudOff: Calvin Verdonk78'
  8. 80'Substitution: Amadou HaidaraOff: Andrija Bulatović
  9. Goal: Olivier Giroud86'
  10. Substitution: Hákon Arnar HaraldssonOff: Gaëtan Perrin90+1'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

80%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Lille41%
Fair odds 2.44
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Lens33%
Fair odds 3.03

Match statistics

  • 62%Possession38%
  • 1.79Expected goals (xG)0.25
  • 16Total shots5
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 4Shots off target1
  • 5Blocked shots1
  • 12Shots inside the box4
  • 10Corners2
  • 1Offsides0
  • 7Fouls14
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves6
  • 584Passes356
  • 508Accurate passes265

Line-ups

Lille

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1B. ÖzerG
  2. 38M. GoffiD
  3. 3N. NgoyD
  4. 4Alexsandro RibeiroD
  5. 15R. PerraudD
  6. 17N. MukauM
  7. 6N. BentalebM
  8. 21B. AndréM
  9. 8E. MbappéF
  10. 10H. HaraldssonF
  11. 35S. DiaouneF

Substitutes

  1. 9O. GiroudF
  2. 12O. GillG
  3. 26I. CossierD
  4. 14M. KjærgaardM
  5. 28G. PerrinF
  6. 7D. BakwaF
  7. 11O. SahraouiF
  8. 24C. VerdonkD
  9. 19B. ÖnalF

Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Lens

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 40R. RisserG
  2. 2R. AguilarD
  3. 6S. BaidooD
  4. 20J. TodiboD
  5. 23Saud AbdulhamidM
  6. 21A. HaidaraM
  7. 27M. CuisanceM
  8. 14M. UdolM
  9. 10F. ThauvinM
  10. 7F. SotocaM
  11. 9T. HazardF

Substitutes

  1. 32K. AntonioD
  2. 5A. BulatovićM
  3. 16M. GorgelinG
  4. 24J. GraditD
  5. 29F. IvanovićF
  6. 28J. KadileF
  7. 38M. SoaresM
  8. 22M. SkóraśF
  9. 8Y. TitraouiM

Coach: Yannick Cahuzac

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.37
0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
1.5 goalsOver79.0%Under21.0%
2.5 goalsOver56.1%Under43.9%
3.5 goalsOver33.7%Under66.3%
4.5 goalsOver17.3%Under82.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LilleLens
25%Form75%
43%Attack57%
44%Defence56%
50%Head to head50%
53%Expected goals47%
55%Overall45%

Last matches

Newest first
Lille0W 2D 2L · last 4
DMonaco vs Lille25 Oct 2026 · Ligue 11-1LLille vs Galatasaray21 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-4DLille vs Stade Brestois 2917 Oct 2026 · Ligue 11-1LArsenal vs Lille13 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-0
Lens2W 0D 2L · last 4
WLens vs Paris FC24 Oct 2026 · Ligue 12-1LClub Brugge KV vs Lens21 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-0WEstac Troyes vs Lens17 Oct 2026 · Ligue 11-3LLens vs Sporting CP13 Oct 2026 · Champions League0-2

Ligue 1 table

Ligue 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Lorient8+112
11Toulouse9-110
12Strasbourg9-210
13Auxerre9-1010
14Stade Brestois 298+29
15Angers9-88
16Estac Troyes9-98
17Le Mans9-77
18Le Havre9-112
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. SinayokoParis FC98
2E. LepaulRennes77
3C. ArcherAuxerre76
4A. GouiriMarseille96
5E. WahiNice86

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLilleLens
Played44
Wins02
Draws20
Losses22
Goals for (avg)11.3
Goals against (avg)2.31.8
Clean sheets00
Failed to score12
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.54/44/4
Over 2.52/43/4
Over 3.51/41/4
BTTS – yes3/42/4

Match preview

Lille host Lens in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 21:05 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Lille slight favourites, giving Lille a 41% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 33% for Lens. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Lille have taken 2 points from their last 4 games (0W 2D 2L). Lens have taken 6 points from their last 4 games (2W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 1
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 21:05 WAT
Venue
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Lille vs Lens?

Lille vs Lens kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 21:05 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Lille vs Lens in?

The match is in the France Ligue 1.

Where are Lille and Lens in the table?

Lille are 2nd and Lens are 9th in the Ligue 1.

Who will win Lille vs Lens?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Lille 41%, draw 26%, Lens 33%.

Will both teams score in Lille vs Lens?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lille vs Lens?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 1 on Fri 30 Oct

FTNice 5-2 RennesX2 ✗FTLe Havre 1-5 Paris Saint Germain2 ✓

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