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TodaysPrediction

Le Havre vs Auxerre prediction

Le Havre vs Auxerre prediction for the Ligue 1 on 18 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
Le HavreNo recent gamesAuxerreNo recent games
1 - 3Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 0-1
Stade Océane, Le Havre

Match events

Le HavreAuxerre
  1. 40'Goal: Danny NamasoAssist: Kevin Danois
  2. 43'Yellow card: Clément AkpaFoul

HT 0-1

  1. 50'Yellow card: Naouirou AhamadaFoul
  2. Yellow card: M. NdiayeFoul54'
  3. 61'Goal: Danny NamasoAssist: Romain Faivre
  4. Substitution: Josh MajaOff: Hakim Dongopandji62'
  5. Substitution: Enzo KoffiOff: M. Ndiaye62'
  6. Substitution: Sota NakamuraOff: Rayan Fofana62'
  7. Goal: Rayan FofanaAssist: Hakim Dongopandji66'
  8. 80'Goal: Romain FaivreAssist: Danny Namaso
  9. 82'Substitution: Naouirou AhamadaOff: Arthur Piedfort
  10. Substitution: Djibril OuziadOff: Kaito Mizuta84'
  11. Substitution: Rassoul NdiayeOff: Guy-Noël Zohouri85'
  12. 89'Substitution: Lamine SyOff: Elikya Legros

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-3

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Le Havre43%
Fair odds 2.33
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Auxerre30%
Fair odds 3.33

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 1.40Expected goals (xG)2.79
  • 14Total shots13
  • 6Shots on target6
  • 4Shots off target5
  • 4Blocked shots2
  • 12Shots inside the box11
  • 7Corners4
  • 1Offsides2
  • 16Fouls22
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves7
  • 413Passes403
  • 337Accurate passes345

Line-ups

Le Havre

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 93G. GallonG
  2. 20D. OuziadD
  3. 6J. MwangaD
  4. 5A. ToubaD
  5. 97M. NdiayeD
  6. 14R. NdiayeM
  7. 26S. EbonogM
  8. 7A. RichardsonM
  9. 30S. NakamuraF
  10. 9J. MajaF
  11. 25M. SamattaF

Substitutes

  1. 24G. ZohouriM
  2. 27E. Koffi VinetteF
  3. 23V. SassoD
  4. 78D. MosengoM
  5. 17K. MizutaM
  6. 38R. FofanaF
  7. 44I. BounebM
  8. 16A. BodartG
  9. 33Hakim DongopandjiF

Coach: D. Digard

Auxerre

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1P. NardiG
  2. 15C. MakossoD
  3. 4A. TuanzebeD
  4. 92C. AkpaD
  5. 27L. SyM
  6. 8N. AhamadaM
  7. 5K. DanoisM
  8. 22F. OppegårdM
  9. 21R. FaivreM
  10. 10D. NamasoM
  11. 9C. ArcherF

Substitutes

  1. 77Aristide ZossouM
  2. 46A. PiedfortM
  3. 35E. LegrosD
  4. 17P. EkwahM
  5. 34L. DioubateM
  6. 23M. DiopG
  7. 20S. DiomandéD
  8. 44Mamoudou CissokhoF
  9. 47Youssef KhouddaF

Coach: W. Still

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.16
0.5 goalsOver92.6%Under7.4%
1.5 goalsOver73.3%Under26.7%
2.5 goalsOver48.2%Under51.8%
3.5 goalsOver26.4%Under73.6%
4.5 goalsOver12.3%Under87.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Le HavreAuxerre
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
59%Overall41%

Last matches

Newest first
Le Havre0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Auxerre0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Ligue 1 table

Ligue 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Lorient8+112
11Toulouse9-110
12Strasbourg9-210
13Auxerre9-1010
14Stade Brestois 298+29
15Angers9-88
16Estac Troyes9-98
17Le Mans9-77
18Le Havre9-112
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. SinayokoParis FC98
2E. LepaulRennes77
3C. ArcherAuxerre76
4A. GouiriMarseille96
5E. WahiNice86

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLe HavreAuxerre
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Le Havre host Auxerre in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) at Stade Océane, Le Havre, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Le Havre slight favourites, giving Le Havre a 43% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 30% for Auxerre. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 1
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
Venue
Stade Océane, Le Havre

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Le Havre vs Auxerre?

Le Havre vs Auxerre kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Le Havre vs Auxerre in?

The match is in the France Ligue 1.

Where are Le Havre and Auxerre in the table?

Le Havre are 18th and Auxerre are 13th in the Ligue 1.

Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Le Havre 43%, draw 27%, Auxerre 30%.

Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Auxerre?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Le Havre vs Auxerre?

We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 1 on Sun 18 Oct

FTAngers 2-5 MarseilleX2 ✓FTLorient 1-0 MonacoX2 ✗FTParis FC 4-3 RennesOver 1.5 ✓FTLyon 2-1 Nice1 ✓

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