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Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction for the Süper Lig on 26 Oct 2026: Galatasaray or draw (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday26October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Süper Lig · Regular Season - 9
GalatasarayFenerbahçe
2 - 1Full time · Mon 26 OctHT 2-0
Rams Park, Istanbul

Match events

GalatasarayFenerbahçe
  1. 10'Yellow card: I. KahveciHolding
  2. 11'Yellow card: M. SkriniarRoughing
  3. Yellow card: D. SanchezRoughing19'
  4. Goal: V. OsimhenAssist: B. Yilmaz29'
  5. 31'Yellow card: N. KanteHolding
  6. Goal: V. OsimhenAssist: D. Sanchez44'
  7. Yellow card: O. Buruk45+1'

HT 2-0

  1. 54'Yellow card: N. SemedoHolding
  2. 55'Substitution: M. GreenwoodOff: K. Akturkoglu
  3. 56'Substitution: L. MercanOff: K. Peprah
  4. 62'Goal: I. KahveciAssist: O. Aydin
  5. Substitution: B. YilmazOff: R. Leao64'
  6. 78'Substitution: O. AydinOff: D. Nene
  7. 78'Substitution: I. KahveciOff: M. Yandas
  8. Substitution: Y. AkgunOff: L. Sane80'
  9. Substitution: A. BatrakovOff: Gabriel Sara80'
  10. Substitution: I. JakobsOff: E. Elmali80'
  11. 83'Substitution: N. KanteOff: V. Muriqi
  12. Substitution: V. OsimhenOff: W. Singo88'
  13. Yellow card: R. LeaoTripping89'
  14. 90+1'Yellow card: A. BrownRoughing

Our verdict

1X ✓

Galatasaray or draw

Bet365 1.40

65%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Galatasaray41%
Fair odds 2.44
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Fenerbahçe35%
Fair odds 2.86

Match statistics

  • 63%Possession37%
  • 2.15Expected goals (xG)0.14
  • 22Total shots2
  • 7Shots on target2
  • 12Shots off target0
  • 3Blocked shots0
  • 15Shots inside the box2
  • 9Corners4
  • 4Offsides1
  • 8Fouls17
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 407Passes235
  • 352Accurate passes165
  • 86%Pass accuracy70%

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Uğurcan ÇakırG
  2. 7Roland SallaiD
  3. 6Davinson SánchezD
  4. 42Abdülkerim BardakcıD
  5. 4Ismail JakobsD
  6. 34Lucas TorreiraM
  7. 99Mario LeminaM
  8. 11Yunus AkgünM
  9. 83Aleksey BatrakovM
  10. 53Barış Alper YılmazM
  11. 45Victor OsimhenF

Substitutes

  1. 24Jankat YılmazG
  2. 17Eren ElmalıD
  3. 90Wilfried SingoD
  4. 10Leroy SanéF
  5. 74Renato NhagaM
  6. 20İlkay GündoğanM
  7. 18Lesley UgochukwuM
  8. 8Gabriel SaraM
  9. 21Deniz GülF
  10. 27Rafael LeãoF

Fenerbahçe

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 31EdersonG
  2. 27Nélson SemedoD
  3. 37Milan ŠkriniarD
  4. 3Archie BrownD
  5. 22Levent MercanD
  6. 6Mattéo GuendouziM
  7. 91N'Golo KantéM
  8. 11Mason GreenwoodM
  9. 17İrfan Can KahveciM
  10. 70Oğuz AydınM
  11. 9Romelu LukakuF

Substitutes

  1. 34Mert GünokG
  2. 18Mert MüldürD
  3. 14Yiğit Efe DemirD
  4. 21Kojo Peprah OppongD
  5. 8Mert Hakan YandaşM
  6. 28Bartuğ ElmazM
  7. 5İsmail YüksekM
  8. 19Vedat MuriqiF
  9. 7Kerem AktürkoğluF
  10. 45Dorgeles NeneF

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.70 – 1.54
0.5 goalsOver96.1%Under3.9%
1.5 goalsOver83.4%Under16.6%
2.5 goalsOver62.8%Under37.2%
3.5 goalsOver40.6%Under59.4%
4.5 goalsOver22.7%Under77.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

GalatasarayFenerbahçe
75%Form25%
71%Attack29%
57%Defence43%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
54%Overall46%

Last matches

Newest first
Galatasaray1W 0D 1L · last 2
WLille vs Galatasaray21 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-4LGalatasaray vs Barcelona13 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-4
Fenerbahçe0W 1D 1L · last 2
DFenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha20 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-2LAston Villa vs Fenerbahçe14 Oct 2026 · Champions League6-0

Süper Lig table

Süper Lig table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
11Erzurumspor FK10-614
12Alanyaspor9-212
13Rizespor10-411
14Konyaspor10-78
15Gaziantep FK10-88
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.9-118
17Samsunspor10-164
18Eyüpspor10-253
See full table ›

Top scorers

Süper Lig top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1G. OrbanAmed109
2V. OsimhenGalatasaray89
3Mohamed SalahTrabzonspor108
4E. ShomurodovBaşakşehir108
5V. MuriqiFenerbahçe107

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGalatasarayFenerbahçe
Played22
Wins10
Draws01
Losses11
Goals for (avg)2.51
Goals against (avg)34
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/22/2
Over 3.52/22/2
BTTS – yes2/21/2

Match preview

Galatasaray host Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 9) at Rams Park, Istanbul, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 19:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Galatasaray slight favourites, giving Galatasaray a 41% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 35% for Fenerbahçe. Our tip is: Galatasaray or draw.

Galatasaray have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Fenerbahçe have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 and a 65% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Turkey Süper Lig
Date
Monday, 26 October 2026, 19:30 WAT
Venue
Rams Park, Istanbul

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 19:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe in?

The match is in the Turkey Süper Lig.

Where are Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe in the table?

Galatasaray are 1st and Fenerbahçe are 6th in the Süper Lig.

Who will win Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?

Our prediction is Galatasaray or draw. Win probabilities: Galatasaray 41%, draw 24%, Fenerbahçe 35%.

Will both teams score in Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?

We estimate a 65% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?

We estimate a 63% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Süper Lig on Mon 26 Oct

FTRizespor 3-4 TrabzonsporX2 ✓FTBeşiktaş 2-0 Başakşehir1 ✓

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