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TodaysPrediction

Brentford vs Liverpool prediction

Brentford vs Liverpool prediction for the Premier League on 17 Oct 2026: Brentford or draw (66%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
BrentfordNo recent gamesLiverpool
1 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-0
Gtech Community Stadium, London

Match events

BrentfordLiverpool
  1. 31'Yellow card: Bradley BarcolaFoul
  2. 32'Substitution: Dominik SzoboszlaiOff: Treymaurice Nyoni
  3. 41'VARVAR: Alexis Mac AllisterPenalty cancelled
  4. Goal: Keane Lewis-PotterAssist: Igor Thiago44'
  5. 45'Substitution: Ronald AraujoOff: Jeremie Frimpong
  6. Substitution: Dango OuattaraOff: Kevin Schade45'
  7. Substitution: Mathias JensenOff: Mamadou Sangare45'
  8. VAR: Yehor YarmoliukCard upgrade confirmedVAR45+5'
  9. Red card: Yehor YarmoliukViolent Conduct45+8'

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Igor ThiagoFoul46'
  2. 49'Yellow card: Jérémy JacquetFoul
  3. 52'Substitution: Jeremie FrimpongOff: Rio Ngumoha
  4. 53'Yellow card: Alexis Mac AllisterDissent
  5. Yellow card: Kevin SchadeFoul60'
  6. 62'Goal: Víctor MuñozAssist: Florian Wirtz
  7. Yellow card: Vitaly JaneltDissent63'
  8. 70'Goal: Alexander IsakAssist: Bradley Barcola
  9. Substitution: Sepp van den BergOff: Aaron Hickey71'
  10. Substitution: Keane Lewis-PotterOff: El Hadji Malick Diouf77'
  11. Substitution: Jaidon AnthonyOff: Mikkel Damsgaard77'
  12. 79'Substitution: Alexander IsakOff: Lewis Koumas
  13. 79'Substitution: Joe GomezOff: Víctor Muñoz
  14. Red card: Vitaly Janelt90+2'

Our verdict

1X ✗

Brentford or draw

Bet365 1.44

66%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Brentford41%
Fair odds 2.44
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Liverpool34%
Fair odds 2.94

Match statistics

  • 40%Possession60%
  • 0.90Expected goals (xG)1.54
  • 10Total shots21
  • 2Shots on target5
  • 4Shots off target12
  • 4Blocked shots4
  • 9Shots inside the box10
  • 3Corners9
  • 1Offsides2
  • 7Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 2Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves1
  • 329Passes496
  • 243Accurate passes409

Line-ups

Brentford

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1C. KelleherG
  2. 33M. KayodeD
  3. 20K. AjerD
  4. 4S. van den BergD
  5. 23K. Lewis-PotterD
  6. 6Y. YarmolyukM
  7. 27V. JaneltM
  8. 11D. OuattaraM
  9. 8M. JensenM
  10. 19J. AnthonyM
  11. 9ThiagoF

Substitutes

  1. 14Fábio CarvalhoM
  2. 13C. WilsonF
  3. 24M. DamsgaardM
  4. 18M. SangaréM
  5. 7K. SchadeM
  6. 25E. DioufD
  7. 22N. CollinsD
  8. 2A. HickeyD
  9. 12H. ValdimarssonG

Coach: Keith Andrews

Liverpool

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Alisson BeckerG
  2. 33R. AraújoD
  3. 5J. JacquetD
  4. 4V. van DijkD
  5. 6M. KerkezD
  6. 10A. Mac AllisterM
  7. 8D. SzoboszlaiM
  8. 23Víctor MuñozM
  9. 7F. WirtzM
  10. 29B. BarcolaM
  11. 9A. IsakF

Substitutes

  1. 67L. KoumasF
  2. 73R. NgumohaF
  3. 25G. MamardashviliG
  4. 2J. GomezD
  5. 30J. FrimpongD
  6. 21K. TsimikasD
  7. 3W. EndoM
  8. 42T. NyoniM
  9. 18C. GakpoF

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.46
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.1%Under18.9%
2.5 goalsOver59.2%Under40.8%
3.5 goalsOver36.8%Under63.2%
4.5 goalsOver19.7%Under80.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BrentfordLiverpool
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
94%Defence6%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
55%Overall45%

Last matches

Newest first
Brentford0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Liverpool1W 0D 0L · last 1
WLask Linz vs Liverpool14 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-6

Premier League table

Premier League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Bournemouth9+112
8Tottenham9012
9Aston Villa9-312
10Hull City9+111
11Leeds9+111
12Newcastle8-211
13Ipswich9-411
14Everton8-110
15Fulham9-29
16Coventry9-79
17Manchester United9-57
18Crystal Palace9-127
19Nottingham Forest9-66
20Sunderland9-105
See full table ›

Top scorers

Premier League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. HaalandManchester City99
2A. IsakLiverpool76
3João PedroChelsea65
4M. RogersChelsea95
5M. TavernierBournemouth95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBrentfordLiverpool
Played01
Wins01
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)06
Goals against (avg)03
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/01/1
Over 3.50/01/1
BTTS – yes0/01/1

Match preview

Brentford host Liverpool in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) at Gtech Community Stadium, London, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Brentford slight favourites, giving Brentford a 41% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 34% for Liverpool. Our tip is: Brentford or draw.

Liverpool have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 62% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Premier League
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Gtech Community Stadium, London

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Brentford vs Liverpool?

Brentford vs Liverpool kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Brentford vs Liverpool in?

The match is in the England Premier League.

Where are Brentford and Liverpool in the table?

Brentford are 6th and Liverpool are 5th in the Premier League.

Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?

Our prediction is Brentford or draw. Win probabilities: Brentford 41%, draw 25%, Liverpool 34%.

Will both teams score in Brentford vs Liverpool?

We estimate a 62% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brentford vs Liverpool?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier League on Sat 17 Oct

FTEverton 0-2 ChelseaX2 ✓FTManchester City 3-2 Ipswich1 ✓FTFulham 1-0 Hull CityOver 1.5 ✗FTNewcastle 0-1 Aston Villa1X ✗

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