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ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction for the Eredivisie on 17 Oct 2026: PSV Eindhoven to win (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9
ADO Den HaagNo recent gamesPSV Eindhoven
2 - 1Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-1
Bingoal Stadion, The Hague

Match events

ADO Den HaagPSV Eindhoven
  1. 21'Goal: Sven MijnansAssist: Guus Til
  2. 38'Yellow card: Sven MijnansFoul
  3. 40'Substitution: Guus TilOff: Mikkel Bro Hansen
  4. Yellow card: Sekou SyllaFoul42'
  5. 43'Red card: Sven Mijnans
  6. Substitution: Jan ZamburekOff: Matěj Šín45'
  7. Substitution: Sekou SyllaOff: Othniël Raterink45'
  8. 45'Substitution: Dennis ManOff: Ryan Flamingo
  9. Substitution: Lasse WilhelmOff: Jalen Hawkins45'

HT 0-1

  1. Goal: Juho KiloAssist: Yannick Fereira Eduardo55'
  2. 58'Substitution: Ayoni SantosOff: Amir Bouhamdi
  3. Substitution: Jesse BalOff: Daryl van Mieghem66'
  4. Yellow card: Othniël RaterinkFoul69'
  5. 69'Substitution: Shuryjano CornecionOff: Mauro Júnior
  6. Substitution: Jonas Jensen-AbbewOff: Alejandro Pozo70'
  7. Yellow card: Pascal MulderFoul73'
  8. Goal: Matěj ŠínAssist: Evan Rottier90+3'

Our verdict

2 ✗

PSV Eindhoven to win

Bet365 1.28

73%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-1

Expected goals4.0

Win probability

1 · ADO Den Haag12%
Fair odds 8.33
X · Draw15%
Fair odds 6.67
2 · PSV Eindhoven73%
Fair odds 1.37

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.43Expected goals (xG)1.02
  • 16Total shots14
  • 5Shots on target3
  • 8Shots off target7
  • 3Blocked shots4
  • 12Shots inside the box10
  • 3Corners2
  • 1Offsides5
  • 20Fouls9
  • 3Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards1
  • 2Goalkeeper saves3
  • 472Passes423
  • 405Accurate passes357

Line-ups

ADO Den Haag

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1K. NikiémaG
  2. 5J. Jensen-AbbewD
  3. 22L. WilhelmD
  4. 3P. MulderD
  5. 4M. WaemD
  6. 18S. SyllaD
  7. 8J. ŽambůrekM
  8. 25J. KiloM
  9. 11E. RottierM
  10. 46Y. EduardoF
  11. 9J. BalF

Substitutes

  1. 16Finn de BruinM
  2. 7D. van MieghemF
  3. 10Illaijh de RuijterD
  4. 17J. HawkinsM
  5. 14M. JiménezM
  6. 20Caleb KramerG
  7. 21C. PeupionF
  8. 24Alejandro PozoM
  9. 2O. RaterinkD
  10. 33M. ŠínM
  11. 23N. ThiedeG
  12. 27N. ThomasF

Coach: R. Peter

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 32M. KovářG
  2. 8S. DestD
  3. 2L. GeertruidaD
  4. 4A. ObispoD
  5. 18F. KostićD
  6. 24K. SanoM
  7. 17Mauro JúniorM
  8. 27D. ManM
  9. 20G. TilM
  10. 35A. SantosM
  11. 21S. MijnansF

Substitutes

  1. 51T. SmolenaarsG
  2. 5I. PerišićF
  3. 1N. OlijG
  4. 3Yarek GasiorowskiD
  5. 6R. FlamingoD
  6. 31N. FernandezM
  7. 42S. CornecionM
  8. 23M. HansenF
  9. 37A. BouhamdiF
  10. 19E. BajraktarevicF

Coach: P. Bosz

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.14 – 2.91
0.5 goalsOver98.2%Under1.8%
1.5 goalsOver91.2%Under8.8%
2.5 goalsOver76.9%Under23.1%
3.5 goalsOver57.6%Under42.4%
4.5 goalsOver38.1%Under61.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ADO Den HaagPSV Eindhoven
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
28%Expected goals72%
14%Overall86%

Last matches

Newest first
ADO Den Haag0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

PSV Eindhoven0W 0D 1L · last 1
LRB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven13 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-0

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
11Sparta Rotterdam11-612
12Utrecht11-1212
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14PEC Zwolle11-1111
15Excelsior11-1211
16Telstar11-79
17ADO Den Haag11-116
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles118
2B. WillumssonGroningen108
3G. TilPSV Eindhoven117
4J. BrandtAjax116
5J. TrenskowHeerenveen116

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatADO Den HaagPSV Eindhoven
Played01
Wins00
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/00/1
Over 2.50/00/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/00/1

Match preview

ADO Den Haag host PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9) at Bingoal Stadion, The Hague, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes PSV Eindhoven clear favourites, giving ADO Den Haag a 12% chance of winning, 15% for the draw and 73% for PSV Eindhoven. Our tip is: PSV Eindhoven to win.

PSV Eindhoven have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 77% chance of over 2.5 and a 65% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Venue
Bingoal Stadion, The Hague

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are ADO Den Haag and PSV Eindhoven in the table?

ADO Den Haag are 17th and PSV Eindhoven are 3rd in the Eredivisie.

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction is PSV Eindhoven to win. Win probabilities: ADO Den Haag 12%, draw 15%, PSV Eindhoven 73%.

Will both teams score in ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

We estimate a 65% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

We estimate a 77% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sat 17 Oct

FTTelstar 3-4 Feyenoord2 ✓FTSparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II1 ✓

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