Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Everton vs Chelsea prediction

Everton vs Chelsea prediction for the Premier League on 17 Oct 2026: Chelsea or draw (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Premier League · Regular Season - 7
EvertonNo recent gamesChelseaNo recent games
0 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-0
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

Match events

EvertonChelsea
  1. Yellow card: Harrison ArmstrongFoul23'
  2. 27'Yellow card: Pedro NetoDissent
  3. 32'Yellow card: Josh AcheampongFoul
  4. Yellow card: James TarkowskiArgument34'
  5. 34'Yellow card: Morgan RogersArgument

HT 0-0

  1. 46'Goal: Pedro Neto
  2. Substitution: Ainsley Maitland-NilesOff: Tyrique George55'
  3. 65'Yellow card: Cole PalmerDissent
  4. 75'Substitution: Emiliano MartínezOff: Mike Penders
  5. Substitution: Harrison ArmstrongOff: Christian Nørgaard85'
  6. Substitution: Jack GrealishOff: Brennan Johnson85'
  7. Yellow card: Christian NørgaardFoul89'
  8. 90'Goal: Pedro Neto
  9. 90+2'Substitution: Danny WelbeckOff: João Pedro
  10. 90+2'Substitution: Jorrel HatoOff: Marco Palestra
  11. 90+2'Substitution: Moises CaicedoOff: Romeo Lavia
  12. 90+12'Substitution: Geovany QuendaOff: Pedro Neto

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Chelsea or draw

Bet365 1.36

68%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-2

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Everton32%
Fair odds 3.13
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Chelsea43%
Fair odds 2.33

Match statistics

  • 47%Possession53%
  • 0.53Expected goals (xG)1.55
  • 6Total shots18
  • 5Shots on target7
  • 1Shots off target6
  • 0Blocked shots5
  • 6Shots inside the box10
  • 5Corners7
  • 4Offsides1
  • 8Fouls15
  • 3Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves5
  • 402Passes453
  • 323Accurate passes385

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. PickfordG
  2. 2A. Maitland-NilesD
  3. 6J. TarkowskiD
  4. 4J. BranthwaiteD
  5. 16V. MykolenkoD
  6. 45H. ArmstrongM
  7. 37J. GarnerM
  8. 34M. RöhlM
  9. 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
  10. 10J. GrealishM
  11. 11T. BarryF

Substitutes

  1. 12M. TraversG
  2. 15J. O'BrienD
  3. 20T. DiblingF
  4. 24C. AlcarazM
  5. 23C. NørgaardM
  6. 30H. HackneyM
  7. 58B. GrahamF
  8. 19Tyrique GeorgeF
  9. 22B. JohnsonF

Coach: D. Moyes

Chelsea

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1E. MartínezG
  2. 34Joshua Kofi AcheampongD
  3. 5M. LacroixD
  4. 6L. ColwillD
  5. 21J. HatoD
  6. 25M. CaicedoM
  7. 14J. HendersonM
  8. 7Pedro NetoM
  9. 10C. PalmerM
  10. 17M. RogersM
  11. 9João PedroF

Substitutes

  1. 39M. PendersG
  2. 18D. WelbeckF
  3. 4V. BarcoM
  4. 45R. LaviaM
  5. 32M. Nicoll-JazuliM
  6. 23Geovany Tcherno QuendaM
  7. 41EstêvãoF
  8. 2M. PalestraD
  9. 3W. FofanaD

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.60
0.5 goalsOver94.8%Under5.2%
1.5 goalsOver79.5%Under20.5%
2.5 goalsOver56.8%Under43.2%
3.5 goalsOver34.4%Under65.6%
4.5 goalsOver17.8%Under82.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

EvertonChelsea
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
46%Expected goals54%
43%Overall57%

Last matches

Newest first
Everton0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Chelsea0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Premier League table

Premier League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Bournemouth9+112
8Tottenham9012
9Aston Villa9-312
10Hull City9+111
11Leeds9+111
12Newcastle8-211
13Ipswich9-411
14Everton8-110
15Fulham9-29
16Coventry9-79
17Manchester United9-57
18Crystal Palace9-127
19Nottingham Forest9-66
20Sunderland9-105
See full table ›

Top scorers

Premier League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. HaalandManchester City99
2A. IsakLiverpool76
3João PedroChelsea65
4M. RogersChelsea95
5M. TavernierBournemouth95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatEvertonChelsea
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Everton host Chelsea in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 12:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Chelsea slight favourites, giving Everton a 32% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 43% for Chelsea. Our tip is: Chelsea or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Premier League
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 12:30 WAT
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton vs Chelsea kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 12:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Everton vs Chelsea in?

The match is in the England Premier League.

Where are Everton and Chelsea in the table?

Everton are 14th and Chelsea are 4th in the Premier League.

Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?

Our prediction is Chelsea or draw. Win probabilities: Everton 32%, draw 25%, Chelsea 43%.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Chelsea?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Everton vs Chelsea?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier League on Sat 17 Oct

FTBrentford 1-2 Liverpool1X ✗FTManchester City 3-2 Ipswich1 ✓FTFulham 1-0 Hull CityOver 1.5 ✗FTNewcastle 0-1 Aston Villa1X ✗

All football predictions for today