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AS Roma vs Genoa prediction

AS Roma vs Genoa prediction for the Serie A on 17 Oct 2026: AS Roma to win (62%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie A · Regular Season - 7
AS RomaGenoaNo recent games
2 - 0Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-0
Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Match events

AS RomaGenoa
  1. Yellow card: Matias SouleFoul43'

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Santiago Thomas Castro50'
  2. 51'Yellow card: Johan VásquezDissent
  3. Substitution: Lorenzo PellegriniOff: Rodrigo Mora63'
  4. Substitution: Konstantinos KoulierakisOff: Mario Hermoso63'
  5. 65'Substitution: Stephan El ShaarawyOff: Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
  6. 65'Yellow card: Leo ØstigårdArgument
  7. Goal: Emanuele Lulli68'
  8. Yellow card: Niccolò PisilliFoul76'
  9. Substitution: Emanuele LulliOff: Wesley Vinícius França Lima78'
  10. 81'Yellow card: Mikael EllertssonFoul
  11. 83'Substitution: Robinho JuniorOff: Junior Messias
  12. 83'Substitution: Morten FrendrupOff: Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
  13. Substitution: Devyne RenschOff: Daniele Ghilardi88'
  14. Substitution: Niccolò PisilliOff: Alessandro Di Nunzio88'

Our verdict

1 ✓

AS Roma to win

Bet365 1.55

62%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · AS Roma62%
Fair odds 1.61
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Genoa16%
Fair odds 6.25

Match statistics

  • 66%Possession34%
  • 1.33Expected goals (xG)0.49
  • 14Total shots9
  • 5Shots on target1
  • 4Shots off target5
  • 5Blocked shots3
  • 11Shots inside the box7
  • 5Corners3
  • 3Offsides2
  • 10Fouls7
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 620Passes320
  • 499Accurate passes219

Line-ups

AS Roma

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 95P. GolliniG
  2. 26L. BalerdiD
  3. 5E. NdickaD
  4. 3K. KoulierakisD
  5. 77E. LulliM
  6. 15M. de RoonM
  7. 61N. PisilliM
  8. 2D. RenschM
  9. 18M. SouléM
  10. 86Rodrigo MoraM
  11. 9S. CastroF

Substitutes

  1. 78Mandjou CamaraF
  2. 68A. ArenaF
  3. 70G. De MarziG
  4. 87D. GhilardiD
  5. 22HermosoD
  6. 23G. ManciniD
  7. 20N. MolinaD
  8. 7L. PellegriniM
  9. 32D. VásquezG
  10. 43WesleyD
  11. 63Alessandro Di NunzioM
  12. 72L. ParaticiF

Coach: G. Gasperini

Genoa

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. BijlowG
  2. 27A. MarcandalliD
  3. 5L. ØstigårdD
  4. 22J. VásquezD
  5. 77M. EllertssonM
  6. 71S. WiafeM
  7. 32M. FrendrupM
  8. 31D. PuczkaM
  9. 10Junior MessiasM
  10. 92S. El ShaarawyM
  11. 18M. OsmajićF

Substitutes

  1. 8T. BaldanziM
  2. 16C. DramehD
  3. 2M. MitajD
  4. 20S. SabelliD
  5. 39D. SommarivaG
  6. 99F. StolzG
  7. 25H. TraorèM
  8. 85M. VazD
  9. 9VítinhaF
  10. 4Alexsandro AmorimM
  11. 21Nikita SolodchenkoF
  12. 14Lukas KlišysD
  13. 34S. OtoaD

Coach: D. De Rossi

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.94 – 0.87
0.5 goalsOver94.0%Under6.0%
1.5 goalsOver77.1%Under22.9%
2.5 goalsOver53.3%Under46.7%
3.5 goalsOver31.0%Under69.0%
4.5 goalsOver15.4%Under84.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AS RomaGenoa
50%Form50%
100%Attack0%
5%Defence95%
50%Head to head50%
69%Expected goals31%
79%Overall21%

Last matches

Newest first
AS Roma0W 0D 1L · last 1
LAS Roma vs Real Madrid14 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-4
Genoa0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
11Genoa10-413
12Cagliari10-613
13Atalanta9-111
14Lecce10-109
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza10-77
17Fiorentina9-105
18Parma9-105
19Udinese10-125
20Venezia10-143
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Gustavo VarelaMonza99
2D. MalenAS Roma98
3A. RaimondoFrosinone98
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5A. RabiotAC Milan85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAS RomaGenoa
Played10
Wins00
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)30
Goals against (avg)40
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.51/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

AS Roma host Genoa in the Serie A (Regular Season - 7) at Stadio Olimpico, Rome, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes AS Roma favourites, giving AS Roma a 62% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 16% for Genoa. Our tip is: AS Roma to win.

AS Roma have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 50% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Stadio Olimpico, Rome

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is AS Roma vs Genoa?

AS Roma vs Genoa kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is AS Roma vs Genoa in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are AS Roma and Genoa in the table?

AS Roma are 3rd and Genoa are 11th in the Serie A.

Who will win AS Roma vs Genoa?

Our prediction is AS Roma to win. Win probabilities: AS Roma 62%, draw 22%, Genoa 16%.

Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Genoa?

We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AS Roma vs Genoa?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie A on Sat 17 Oct

FTVenezia 1-0 Napoli2 ✗FTBologna 1-3 Inter2 ✓

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