Correct score predictions for Monday

For each match we estimate how many goals each team is expected to score, then work out the chance of every possible scoreline. The score we show is the most likely of them. Even the likeliest score usually has only a 10–15% chance, which is why correct score bets pay such high odds.

Use the predicted score as a guide to how the match should go: a 2-0 says a comfortable home win with a clean sheet, a 1-1 says a close game with goals at both ends.