Our verdict
Defensa Y Justicia or draw
Bet365 1.28
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.30 – 0.98Half time / full time result. 1 = Defensa Y Justicia, X = draw, 2 = Independiente.
Asian handicap applied to Defensa Y Justicia.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstLiga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 | DLLDW |
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +14 | 34 | LDLDW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 | WWWDW |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 29 | LWWDW |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 | DWWLD |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 | WLLDL |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 28 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 | LDDLW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 | DLLWW |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 | DDWWD |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 26 | WWWDD |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 | DDWWL |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 22 | LLLLW |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 21 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 | DWWDW |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 | DWDWW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 | WLWWD |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +3 | 20 | WLDLL |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 19 | LLDDW |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 | WLDDL |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 | 18 | DLWDD |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 | LLDDD |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 14 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 | DDWLD |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -13 | 8 | LWLLL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 | LLWLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 15 | |
| 2 | 27 | 14 | |
| 3 | 31 | 14 | |
| 4 | 28 | 14 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Defensa Y Justicia | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 0.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/2 | 0/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/2 | 0/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Match preview
Defensa Y Justicia host Independiente in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 15) at Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Julio Costa, with kick-off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 23:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Defensa Y Justicia slight favourites, giving Defensa Y Justicia a 43% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 27% for Independiente. Our tip is: Defensa Y Justicia or draw.
Defensa Y Justicia have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Independiente have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
- Date
- Monday, 2 November 2026, 23:00 WAT
- Venue
- Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Julio Costa
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente kicks off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 23:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente in?
The match is in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina.
Where are Defensa Y Justicia and Independiente in the table?
Defensa Y Justicia are 10th and Independiente are 5th in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
Our prediction is Defensa Y Justicia or draw. Win probabilities: Defensa Y Justicia 43%, draw 30%, Independiente 27%.
Will both teams score in Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
We estimate a 46% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
We estimate a 40% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

