First League · Regular Season - 14
Match events
Septemvri Sofia- Goal: Svetoslav Kovachev6'
- 23'Missed penalty: Missed penalty
- 23'Goal: Andre Liberal
- Goal: Preslav·Bachev26'
- 30'Yellow card: Andre Liberal
- 31'Yellow card: Valentine Ozornwafor
- VAR: Stanislav IvanovVAR41'
- 45'Yellow card: nicolas fontaine
- Yellow card: Antonio Vutov45'
HT 2-1
- 46'Substitution: Sergeev petar gospodinovOff: Kubrat Onasci
- 63'Substitution: nicolas fontaineOff: Pedro Igor
- Substitution: Antonio VutovOff: Dominik Yankov65'
- 71'Yellow card: Yoan Baurenski
- Substitution: Stanislav IvanovOff: Birsent Karagaren73'
- Substitution: Preslav·BachevOff: Nabil Makni73'
- 79'Substitution: borislav stoichkovOff: pedrinho
- 79'Substitution: Andre LiberalOff: aleksandar dzhamov
- 79'Substitution: Nikola LlievOff: viktor dobrev
- Substitution: Svetoslav KovachevOff: Atanas Kabov83'
- Yellow card: Martin Paskalev84'
- 90'Red card: viktor dobrev
Our verdict
Arda Kardzhali to win
Bet365 1.57
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 58%Possession42%
- 15Total shots7
- 5Shots on target4
- 10Shots off target3
- 0Blocked shots0
- 8Corners1
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards1
Line-ups
Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. GospodinovG
- 6V. PopovD
- 24M. PaskalevD
- 5V. LyubenovD
- 35D. VelkovskiD
- 80L. KotevM
- 21V. VelevD
- 10S. KovachevF
- 39A. VutovM
- 91S. IvanovF
- 16P. BachevF
Substitutes
- 2Derick Fernando da SilvaD
- 26B. AkandzhaM
- 99B. KaragarenF
- 22Y. GeorgievG
- 4David Akintola IdowuD
- 11A. KabovF
- 70Nabil MakniF
- 44Adama Ardile TraoréD
- 18S. VasilevD
- 8D. YankovM
Coach: A. Tunchev
Septemvri Sofia
3-5-2Starting XI
- 12V. IvanovG
- 25S. VulikićD
- 4M. HristovD
- 26V. OzornwaforD
- 23pedrinhoD
- 17N. FontaineF
- 5Y. BaurenskiM
- 10N. IlievM
- 3P. GospodinovD
- 29F. HerardF
- 27André Filipe Rio LiberalF
Substitutes
- 21Viktor DobrevM
- 9V. MihaylovM
- 7E. RibeiroF
- 28S. StoichkovF
- 24Z. AtanasovM
- 19Pedro IgorF
- 11A. DzhamovF
- 13K. ÖnaşçıM
- 1A. RadkovG
- 2B. StoichkovF
Coach: M. Kašćelan
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.68 – 0.76Half time / full time result. 1 = Arda Kardzhali, X = draw, 2 = Septemvri Sofia.
Asian handicap applied to Arda Kardzhali.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstFirst League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cherno More Varna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | |
| 2 | Arda Kardzhali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 | |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 5 | Dunav Ruse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 6 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 11 | Ludogorets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 12 | Spartak Varna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | |
| 14 | Botev Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Arda Kardzhali | Septemvri Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/1 |
Match preview
Arda Kardzhali host Septemvri Sofia in the First League (Regular Season - 14) at Arena Arda, Kerdjali, with kick-off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 18:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Arda Kardzhali favourites, giving Arda Kardzhali a 59% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 16% for Septemvri Sofia. Our tip is: Arda Kardzhali to win.
Arda Kardzhali have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Septemvri Sofia have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Bulgaria First League
- Date
- Monday, 2 November 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Venue
- Arena Arda, Kerdjali
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia kicks off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 18:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia in?
The match is in the Bulgaria First League.
Where are Arda Kardzhali and Septemvri Sofia in the table?
Arda Kardzhali are 2nd and Septemvri Sofia are 13th in the First League.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our prediction is Arda Kardzhali to win. Win probabilities: Arda Kardzhali 59%, draw 25%, Septemvri Sofia 16%.
Will both teams score in Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
We estimate a 44% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.