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Penafiel vs Feirense prediction

Penafiel vs Feirense prediction for the Segunda Liga on 2 Nov 2026: Penafiel or draw (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday2November 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 9
PenafielNo recent gamesFeirenseNo recent games
1 - 0Full time · Mon 2 NovHT 0-0
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel

Match events

PenafielFeirense
  1. 9'Yellow card: Jair Monteiro
  2. 19'Substitution: Jair MonteiroOff: Alexandre Guedes
  3. 28'Yellow card: Antonio Leal Mateos
  4. Yellow card: Max Svensson29'
  5. Yellow card: Iano Simão45+2'

HT 0-0

  1. Yellow card: Jaime Sánchez48'
  2. Goal: João Pinto54'
  3. 59'Substitution: Antonio Leal MateosOff: Tiago Castro
  4. Substitution: francisco varelaOff: Ricardo Schutte59'
  5. Yellow card: Claudio Silva61'
  6. 68'Yellow card: Diogo Mendes
  7. 71'Substitution: Luís Teixeira PintoOff: Peter Adejimi
  8. 71'Substitution: diego morenoOff: André Lopes
  9. Substitution: Juanda FuentesOff: Duarte Oliveira71'
  10. Substitution: Claudio SilvaOff: Antonio David Álvarez Rey71'
  11. 78'Yellow card: Tiago Castro
  12. Substitution: Claudio MendesOff: Max Svensson90+1'
  13. Substitution: Konrad SinyamOff: João Pinto90+1'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Penafiel or draw

Bet365 1.22

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · Penafiel48%
Fair odds 2.08
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · Feirense24%
Fair odds 4.17

Match statistics

  • 54%Possession46%
  • 10Total shots6
  • 5Shots on target1
  • 5Shots off target5
  • 0Blocked shots0
  • 3Corners3
  • 4Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0

Line-ups

Penafiel

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Miguel OliveiraG
  2. 5Jaime SánchezD
  3. 6Adrián PicaD
  4. 3Cláudio SilvaD
  5. 7Douglas BorelD
  6. 17João PintoF
  7. 21Pedro SáM
  8. 2Iano ImbeneD
  9. 11J. FuentesF
  10. 9Max SvenssonF
  11. 33Ricardo SchutteF

Substitutes

  1. 50Francisco VarelaM
  2. 38M. RamonM
  3. 14Jorge MeréD
  4. 4João MiguelD
  5. 12Alexei Rojas FedorushchenkoG
  6. 10DavoF
  7. 18Konrad SinyamM
  8. 99ClaudioF
  9. 13Eric PuertoG
  10. 23Duarte OliveiraD
  11. 22Martim AlbertoD
  12. 79Tomás Teixeira

Coach: José Manuel Aira

Feirense

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 26Diego AltubeG
  2. 20João OliveiraD
  3. 4Antonio LealD
  4. 14Pedro PintoD
  5. 40João QueirósD
  6. 15Diego MorenoD
  7. 23Pedro HenriqueF
  8. 6Diogo MendesM
  9. 90LuisinhoM
  10. 25Henrique PereiraF
  11. 9J. MonteiroF

Substitutes

  1. 19Alexandre GuedesF
  2. 30Peter Adejimi
  3. 1Francisco MeixedoG
  4. 16André LopesD
  5. 8Gui SantosM
  6. 24M. DiabyM
  7. 47PiriF
  8. 27Tiago CastroM
  9. 3KaiquyD

Coach: Rui Ferreira

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.46 – 0.96
0.5 goalsOver91.1%Under8.9%
1.5 goalsOver69.6%Under30.4%
2.5 goalsOver43.6%Under56.4%
3.5 goalsOver22.5%Under77.5%
4.5 goalsOver9.8%Under90.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

PenafielFeirense
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
60%Expected goals40%
67%Overall33%

Last matches

Newest first
Penafiel0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Feirense0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Segunda Liga table

Segunda Liga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Chaves1+13
2Penafiel1+13
3Torreense1+13
4Vizela1-10
5Amarante1-10
6Feirense1-10
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPenafielFeirense
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Penafiel host Feirense in the Segunda Liga (Regular Season - 9) at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel, with kick-off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Penafiel slight favourites, giving Penafiel a 48% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 24% for Feirense. Our tip is: Penafiel or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Portugal Segunda Liga
Date
Monday, 2 November 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Penafiel vs Feirense?

Penafiel vs Feirense kicks off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Penafiel vs Feirense in?

The match is in the Portugal Segunda Liga.

Where are Penafiel and Feirense in the table?

Penafiel are 2nd and Feirense are 6th in the Segunda Liga.

Who will win Penafiel vs Feirense?

Our prediction is Penafiel or draw. Win probabilities: Penafiel 48%, draw 28%, Feirense 24%.

Will both teams score in Penafiel vs Feirense?

We estimate a 48% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Penafiel vs Feirense?

We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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