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Benfica vs Alverca prediction

Benfica vs Alverca prediction for the Liga Portugal on 2 Nov 2026: Over 2.5 (66%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday2November 2026
Yesterday: 64/74 correct(86%)
Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 10
BenficaAlvercaNo recent games
1 - 0Full time · Mon 2 NovHT 0-0
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Match events

BenficaAlverca
  1. 15'Yellow card: Yaya BojangFoul
  2. 25'VARVAR: Yaya BojangGoal cancelled
  3. Substitution: Andreas SchjelderupOff: Claudio Echeverri45'

HT 0-0

  1. Penalty goal: Vangelis Pavlidis (pen)51'
  2. 58'Yellow card: Francisco ChiquinhoFoul
  3. 59'Substitution: Lucas Figueiredo dos SantosOff: Matheus Franca
  4. 59'Substitution: Diogo SpencerOff: Francisco Chissumba
  5. 63'Yellow card: Ian LuccasFoul
  6. Yellow card: Clément LengletFoul65'
  7. Substitution: Dodi LukebakioOff: Rafa Silva69'
  8. 75'Substitution: Dawda Camara SankharéOff: Vivaldo Semedo
  9. 75'Substitution: Zé RafaelOff: Ian Luccas
  10. 86'Substitution: Isaac JamesOff: Cedric Nuozzi
  11. Substitution: Manuel SilvaOff: João Palhinha90+2'
  12. Substitution: Vangelis PavlidisOff: Jhon Durán90+2'
  13. Substitution: Gianluca PrestianniOff: Jakub Kamiński90+3'

Our verdict

Over 2.5 ✗

Over 2.5

Bet365 1.40

66%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals3.4

Win probability

1 · Benfica79%
Fair odds 1.27
X · Draw14%
Fair odds 7.14
2 · Alverca7%
Fair odds 14.29

Match statistics

  • 65%Possession35%
  • 1.68Expected goals (xG)0.62
  • 13Total shots8
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 6Shots off target3
  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 9Shots inside the box4
  • 8Corners5
  • 3Offsides2
  • 11Fouls15
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves3
  • 582Passes303
  • 501Accurate passes221

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 24Samuel SoaresG
  2. 6A. BahD
  3. 44Tomás AraújoD
  4. 2C. LengletD
  5. 26S. DahlD
  6. 8F. AursnesM
  7. 36João PalhinhaM
  8. 11D. LukebakioM
  9. 25G. PrestianniM
  10. 21A. SchjelderupM
  11. 14V. PavlidisF

Substitutes

  1. 10H. SudakovM
  2. 1A. TrubinG
  3. 16ManuM
  4. 13J. KamińskiF
  5. 88Tiago FreitasM
  6. 34S. El KarouaniD
  7. 30C. EcheverriM
  8. 22J. DuránF
  9. 3A. CircatiD
  10. 58Daniel BanjaquiD
  11. 72A. CabralF
  12. 27RafaM

Coach: Marco Silva

Alverca

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 31Matheus MendesG
  2. 4Y. BojangD
  3. 21Sergi GómezD
  4. 12I. JamesD
  5. 2ZoubdiM
  6. 25Ian LuccasM
  7. 6D. GuiM
  8. 55Francisco ChissumbaM
  9. 10ChiquinhoF
  10. 19D. CamaraF
  11. 22FigueiredoF

Substitutes

  1. 18Z. KassaryM
  2. 93Zé RafaelM
  3. 3J. MartínezD
  4. 26Matheus FrançaF
  5. 8Vasco MoreiraM
  6. 11C. NuozziF
  7. 23André PauloG
  8. 9Vivaldo SemedoF
  9. 20Diogo Filipe Spencer MarquesD
  10. 27Toni TamaritF
  11. 24E. JemideD
  12. 17S. MerhegF

Coach: Sérgio Ferreira

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.72 – 0.70
0.5 goalsOver96.7%Under3.3%
1.5 goalsOver85.5%Under14.5%
2.5 goalsOver66.4%Under33.6%
3.5 goalsOver44.6%Under55.4%
4.5 goalsOver25.9%Under74.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BenficaAlverca
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
80%Expected goals20%
92%Overall8%

Last matches

Newest first
Benfica3W 0D 0L · last 3
WSanta Clara vs Benfica26 Oct 2026 · Liga Portugal1-2WOmonia Nicosia vs Benfica22 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-4WBenfica vs Celtic15 Oct 2026 · Europa League4-1
Alverca0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Liga Portugal table

Liga Portugal table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1FC Porto10+2130
2Benfica10+1925
3Sporting CP10+1221
4Santa Clara10+921
5Arouca10+620
6Academico Viseu10+320
7GIL Vicente10+115
8SC Braga10+114
9Moreirense10-414
10Alverca10-111
11Famalicao10010
12Estrela10-410
13Vitória SC1009
14Maritimo10-128
15Nacional10-97
16Rio Ave10-147
17Casa Pia10-147
18Estoril10-142
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Portugal top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1V. PavlidisBenfica1010
2L. SuárezSporting CP108
3G. PrestianniBenfica106
4Borja SainzFC Porto105
5Pau VictorSC Braga105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBenficaAlverca
Played30
Wins30
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)3.30
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak30

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.53/30/0
Over 2.53/30/0
Over 3.52/30/0
BTTS – yes3/30/0

Match preview

Benfica host Alverca in the Liga Portugal (Regular Season - 10) at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, with kick-off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 21:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Benfica clear favourites, giving Benfica a 79% chance of winning, 14% for the draw and 7% for Alverca. Our tip is: Over 2.5.

Benfica have taken 9 points from their last 3 games (3W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 and a 47% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Portugal Liga Portugal
Date
Monday, 2 November 2026, 21:15 WAT
Venue
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Benfica vs Alverca?

Benfica vs Alverca kicks off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 21:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Benfica vs Alverca in?

The match is in the Portugal Liga Portugal.

Where are Benfica and Alverca in the table?

Benfica are 2nd and Alverca are 10th in the Liga Portugal.

Who will win Benfica vs Alverca?

Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Benfica 79%, draw 14%, Alverca 7%.

Will both teams score in Benfica vs Alverca?

We estimate a 47% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Benfica vs Alverca?

We estimate a 66% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Liga Portugal on Mon 2 Nov

FTGIL Vicente 0-0 Vitória SCX2 ✓

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