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Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce prediction

Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce prediction for the Ekstraklasa on 2 Nov 2026: Over 1.5 (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday2November 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 13
Zaglebie LubinKorona Kielce
1 - 0Full time · Mon 2 NovHT 1-0
Stadion Zagłębia Lubin, Lubin

Match events

Zaglebie LubinKorona Kielce
  1. Own goal: Ariel Mosor (og)4'
  2. Yellow card: Roman YakubaPersistent Infringement30'
  3. Substitution: Michał NalepaOff: Damian Michalski39'
  4. 45'Substitution: Mariusz StępińskiOff: Daniel Bak
  5. Substitution: Roman YakubaOff: Igor Orlikowski45'

HT 1-0

  1. 50'Yellow card: Slobodan RubezicFoul
  2. 59'Substitution: Simon GustafssonOff: Martin Remacle
  3. 59'Substitution: Michael AmeyawOff: Morgan Faßbender
  4. Substitution: Sebastian KerkOff: Jakub·Sypek61'
  5. Substitution: Arkadiusz WozniakOff: Filip Szymczak69'
  6. Substitution: Mateusz DziewiatowskiOff: Jakub Kolan69'
  7. Yellow card: Damian DąbrowskiFoul73'
  8. 80'Substitution: kamil jakubczykOff: Stjepan Davidović
  9. 83'Substitution: Marcel·PieczekOff: Dawid Błanik
  10. Yellow card: Marcel RegulaTime Wasting90+1'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

73%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Zaglebie Lubin39%
Fair odds 2.56
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Korona Kielce34%
Fair odds 2.94

Match statistics

  • 25%Possession75%
  • 1.10Expected goals (xG)0.77
  • 11Total shots17
  • 1Shots on target4
  • 7Shots off target9
  • 3Blocked shots4
  • 6Shots inside the box8
  • 3Corners11
  • 2Offsides0
  • 19Fouls12
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves1
  • 196Passes566
  • 119Accurate passes495

Line-ups

Zaglebie Lubin

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 33Z. AlomerovićG
  2. 39F. KocabaD
  3. 25M. NalepaD
  4. 5A. ŁawniczakD
  5. 3R. YakubaD
  6. 8D. DąbrowskiM
  7. 20M. DziewiatowskiM
  8. 16J. ĆorlukaM
  9. 37S. KerkM
  10. 44M. RegułaM
  11. 11A. WoźniakF

Substitutes

  1. 4D. MichalskiD
  2. 26J. KolanM
  3. 88M. MlinarićF
  4. 31I. OrlikowskiD
  5. 99C. PopielecM
  6. 7J. SypekM
  7. 17L. SzabóF
  8. 18F. SzymczakF
  9. 94M. UrbanskiD
  10. 19S. ŁyczkoM
  11. 30D. HładunG

Coach: L. Ojrzynski

Korona Kielce

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1X. DziekońskiG
  2. 67N. BarczakD
  3. 23S. RubežićD
  4. 2A. MosórD
  5. 6M. PięczekD
  6. 86Simon GustafsonM
  7. 18P. HellebrandM
  8. 35Kamil JakubczykM
  9. 30C. MenaF
  10. 99Daniel BakF
  11. 19M. AmeyawF

Substitutes

  1. 9S. DavidovićM
  2. 22M. FaßbenderF
  3. 10NonoM
  4. 87R. MamlaG
  5. 11K. MatuszewskiD
  6. 20K. MinuczycM
  7. 8M. RemacleM
  8. 24B. SmolarczykD
  9. 14M. StępińskiF
  10. 37Hubert ZwoźnyD
  11. 7D. BłanikM

Coach: R. Kolendowicz

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.23
0.5 goalsOver92.3%Under7.7%
1.5 goalsOver72.7%Under27.3%
2.5 goalsOver47.4%Under52.6%
3.5 goalsOver25.7%Under74.3%
4.5 goalsOver11.8%Under88.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Zaglebie LubinKorona Kielce
57%Form43%
60%Attack40%
75%Defence25%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
53%Overall47%

Last matches

Newest first
Zaglebie Lubin1W 1D 0L · last 2
DMotor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin23 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa2-2WZaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia18 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa1-0
Korona Kielce1W 0D 1L · last 2
WKorona Kielce vs GKS Katowice24 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa1-0LLech Poznan vs Korona Kielce18 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa6-1

Ekstraklasa table

Ekstraklasa table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
11Motor Lublin13-316
12Wisla Plock12-615
13Cracovia Krakow13-612
14Widzew Łódź13-211
15Slask Wroclaw12-69
16Wieczysta Kraków13-98
17Radomiak Radom12-168
18Raków Częstochowa12-126
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ekstraklasa top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Jordi SánchezPogon Szczecin129
2I. ShkurinGKS Katowice138
3B. NowakGKS Katowice137
4Pablo RodríguezLech Poznan126
5P. WålemarkLech Poznan126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatZaglebie LubinKorona Kielce
Played22
Wins11
Draws10
Losses01
Goals for (avg)1.51
Goals against (avg)13
Clean sheets11
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/21/2
Over 2.51/21/2
Over 3.51/21/2
BTTS – yes1/21/2

Match preview

Zaglebie Lubin host Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 13) at Stadion Zagłębia Lubin, Lubin, with kick-off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 18:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Zaglebie Lubin narrow favourites, giving Zaglebie Lubin a 39% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 34% for Korona Kielce. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Zaglebie Lubin have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L). Korona Kielce have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Poland Ekstraklasa
Date
Monday, 2 November 2026, 18:00 WAT
Venue
Stadion Zagłębia Lubin, Lubin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce?

Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce kicks off on Monday, 2 November 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce in?

The match is in the Poland Ekstraklasa.

Where are Zaglebie Lubin and Korona Kielce in the table?

Zaglebie Lubin are 8th and Korona Kielce are 10th in the Ekstraklasa.

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Zaglebie Lubin 39%, draw 27%, Korona Kielce 34%.

Will both teams score in Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce?

We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ekstraklasa on Mon 2 Nov

FTRadomiak Radom 3-1 Slask Wroclaw1X ✓FTRaków Częstochowa 3-1 Pogon Szczecin1X ✓

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