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Casa Pia vs Sporting CP prediction

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP prediction for the Liga Portugal on 30 Oct 2026: Sporting CP to win (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 10
Casa PiaNo recent gamesSporting CP
0 - 2Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 0-1
Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Mayor

Match events

Casa PiaSporting CP
  1. Yellow card: David SousaFoul9'
  2. 13'Goal: Pedro Lima BarrosAssist: Iván Fresneda
  3. Yellow card: Domingos José Gabriel BandeiraFoul20'
  4. 29'Yellow card: Silas AndersenFoul
  5. Substitution: Mohamed Salah El BoukammiriOff: Jérémy Livolant45'

HT 0-1

  1. 62'Substitution: Luís GuilhermeOff: Geny Catamo
  2. 62'Substitution: Nestory IrankundaOff: Flávio Gonçalves
  3. 62'Substitution: Silas AndersenOff: Issa Doumbia
  4. Substitution: Lawrence OforiOff: Márcio Gabriel Ferreira Pereira64'
  5. Substitution: Benjamin PauwelsOff: Abdu Dafe74'
  6. 76'Substitution: Pedro Lima BarrosOff: João Simões
  7. Substitution: Alassana JattaOff: Henrique Araújo85'
  8. Substitution: CassianoOff: David Sousa85'
  9. 86'Substitution: Luis SuárezOff: Fotis Ioannidis
  10. 90+3'Yellow card: Maximiliano AraujoFoul
  11. 90+4'Goal: Geny CatamoAssist: Iván Fresneda

Our verdict

2 ✓

Sporting CP to win

Bet365 1.27

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-2

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Casa Pia9%
Fair odds 11.11
X · Draw17%
Fair odds 5.88
2 · Sporting CP74%
Fair odds 1.35

Match statistics

  • 45%Possession55%
  • 0.39Expected goals (xG)2.51
  • 12Total shots23
  • 2Shots on target11
  • 3Shots off target6
  • 7Blocked shots6
  • 7Shots inside the box11
  • 3Corners4
  • 0Offsides2
  • 11Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 9Goalkeeper saves2
  • 384Passes480
  • 330Accurate passes422

Line-ups

Casa Pia

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1P. SequeiraG
  2. 18GeraldesD
  3. 3KalyD
  4. 43David SousaD
  5. 75Pedro RosasD
  6. 24S. PérezM
  7. 80L. OforiM
  8. 11M. El BoukammiriM
  9. 70João Pedro Seno Luís RêgoM
  10. 77B. PauwelsM
  11. 9Henrique AraújoF

Substitutes

  1. 19K. PrietoF
  2. 90CassianoF
  3. 16SilviM
  4. 59Abdu DafeM
  5. 44Felipe SilvaD
  6. 8Gabi PereiraM
  7. 4João GoulartD
  8. 20A. JattaF
  9. 98JPM
  10. 29J. LivolantF
  11. 95Ivan MandićG
  12. 17E. MaurinF

Coach: Filipe Coelho

Sporting CP

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 30KaiqueG
  2. 22Iván FresnedaD
  3. 72Eduardo QuaresmaD
  4. 25Gonçalo InácioD
  5. 20M. AraújoD
  6. 5Sergi AltimiraM
  7. 4S. AndersenM
  8. 31Luis GuilhermeM
  9. 21Pedro LimaM
  10. 19N. IrankundaM
  11. 97L. SuárezF

Substitutes

  1. 8João SimõesM
  2. 1Rui SilvaG
  3. 9Rafael Ferreira NelF
  4. 7F. IoannidisF
  5. 58Flávio GonçalvesF
  6. 73Eduardo FelicíssimoM
  7. 77I. DoumbiaM
  8. 28J. DerryF
  9. 10Geny CatamoM
  10. 55Ibrahima BaD
  11. 13G. VagiannidisD
  12. 18M. ZekriD

Coach: Rui Borges

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.74 – 2.42
0.5 goalsOver95.8%Under4.2%
1.5 goalsOver82.3%Under17.7%
2.5 goalsOver61.2%Under38.8%
3.5 goalsOver38.9%Under61.1%
4.5 goalsOver21.2%Under78.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Casa PiaSporting CP
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
89%Defence11%
50%Head to head50%
23%Expected goals77%
11%Overall89%

Last matches

Newest first
Casa Pia0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Sporting CP1W 0D 2L · last 3
LSporting CP vs Academico Viseu25 Oct 2026 · Liga Portugal1-2LSporting CP vs Lask Linz21 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-3WLens vs Sporting CP13 Oct 2026 · Champions League0-2

Liga Portugal table

Liga Portugal table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1FC Porto10+2130
2Benfica9+1822
3Sporting CP10+1221
4Santa Clara9+718
5Arouca9+517
6Academico Viseu9+217
7GIL Vicente9+114
8Moreirense10-414
9Alverca9011
10SC Braga9-211
11Famalicao9+310
12Estrela10-410
13Vitória SC908
14Maritimo9-108
15Nacional9-87
16Rio Ave9-137
17Casa Pia10-147
18Estoril10-142
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Portugal top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1V. PavlidisBenfica99
2L. SuárezSporting CP108
3G. PrestianniBenfica96
4BarberoArouca95
5Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCasa PiaSporting CP
Played03
Wins01
Draws00
Losses02
Goals for (avg)01.7
Goals against (avg)01.7
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.50/03/3
Over 2.50/02/3
Over 3.50/01/3
BTTS – yes0/02/3

Match preview

Casa Pia host Sporting CP in the Liga Portugal (Regular Season - 10) at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Mayor, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 21:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sporting CP clear favourites, giving Casa Pia a 9% chance of winning, 17% for the draw and 74% for Sporting CP. Our tip is: Sporting CP to win.

Sporting CP have taken 3 points from their last 3 games (1W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 48% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Portugal Liga Portugal
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 21:15 WAT
Venue
Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Mayor

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 21:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Casa Pia vs Sporting CP in?

The match is in the Portugal Liga Portugal.

Where are Casa Pia and Sporting CP in the table?

Casa Pia are 17th and Sporting CP are 3rd in the Liga Portugal.

Who will win Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

Our prediction is Sporting CP to win. Win probabilities: Casa Pia 9%, draw 17%, Sporting CP 74%.

Will both teams score in Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

We estimate a 48% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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