Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
Match events
Borussia Dortmund- 1'Yellow card: Ethan NwaneriFoul
- 7'Yellow card: Waldemar AntonFoul
- 14'Yellow card: Serhou GuirassyFoul
- Yellow card: Janik HabererFoul33'
- Yellow card: Tom RotheFoul35'
- Substitution: Kastriot ImeriOff: Emmanuel Latte Lath45'
HT 0-0
- 62'Substitution: Maximilian BeierOff: Konstantinos Karetsas
- 62'Substitution: Ethan NwaneriOff: Fábio Silva
- Yellow card: Tim SkarkeFoul63'
- 70'Substitution: Konstantinos KaretsasOff: Mathis Albert
- Substitution: Tim SkarkeOff: Mekhi Gray70'
- Substitution: András SchäferOff: Aljoscha Kemlein76'
- Substitution: Janik HabererOff: Christopher Trimmel76'
- Substitution: Woo-Yeong JeongOff: Linus Güther90+3'
Our verdict
Borussia Dortmund to win
Bet365 1.60
✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 38%Possession62%
- 0.90Expected goals (xG)1.42
- 11Total shots12
- 0Shots on target2
- 8Shots off target8
- 3Blocked shots2
- 5Shots inside the box10
- 5Corners5
- 0Offsides1
- 13Fouls12
- 3Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves0
- 342Passes570
- 248Accurate passes500
Line-ups
Union Berlin
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1F. RønnowG
- 19J. HabererD
- 4Z. Van Den BoschD
- 2F. UduokhaiD
- 15T. RotheD
- 20M. AebischerM
- 13A. SchäferM
- 8R. KhediraM
- 11Jeong Woo-YeongF
- 30K. ImeriM
- 21T. SkarkeF
Substitutes
- 49Linus GutherF
- 6A. KemleinM
- 17D. KöhnD
- 29E. Latte LathF
- 32M. GrayF
- 27M. LjubiÄiÄF
- 14L. QuerfeldD
- 31M. RaabG
- 28C. TrimmelD
Coach: M. Lustrinelli
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1G. KobelG
- 22Kouakou Joane GadouD
- 3W. AntonD
- 4N. SchlotterbeckD
- 26J. RyersonM
- 7J. BellinghamM
- 8F. NmechaM
- 24D. SvenssonM
- 18E. NwaneriM
- 14M. BeierM
- 9S. GuirassyF
Substitutes
- 41M. AlbertF
- 5R. BensebaïniD
- 17C. ChukwuemekaM
- 19K. KaretsasM
- 33A. MeyerG
- 36Kauã PratesD
- 20M. SabitzerM
- 21Fábio SilvaF
- 25J. VeermanM
Coach: N. Kovač
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.11 – 2.10Half time / full time result. 1 = Union Berlin, X = draw, 2 = Borussia Dortmund.
Asian handicap applied to Union Berlin.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstUnion Berlin0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Borussia Dortmund0W 0D 1L · last 1Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 | WWDDW |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | WLWLD |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 | WLWLD |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 | LDLDL |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 12 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | DWDLW |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 | LLWWW |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 | DDDWL |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 | DWLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  P. SchickBayer Leverkusen | 8 | 7 |
| 3 |  M. OliseBayern München | 8 | 6 |
| 4 |  Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/0 | 0/1 |
Match preview
Union Berlin host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) at An der Alten Försterei, Berlin, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Borussia Dortmund favourites, giving Union Berlin a 19% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 60% for Borussia Dortmund. Our tip is: Borussia Dortmund to win.
Borussia Dortmund have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Germany Bundesliga
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Venue
- An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund in?
The match is in the Germany Bundesliga.
Where are Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund in the table?
Union Berlin are 16th and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the Bundesliga.
Who will win Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction is Borussia Dortmund to win. Win probabilities: Union Berlin 19%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund 60%.
Will both teams score in Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.