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Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa prediction

Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa prediction for the Virsliga on 1 Nov 2026: Over 2.5 (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday1November 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Virsliga · Regular Season - 35
Rīgas FSGrobiņa
3 - 0Full time · Sun 1 NovHT 2-0
Stadions Arkadija, Riga

Match events

Rīgas FSGrobiņa
  1. 17'Substitution: Oladotun Olatunde-MatthewOff: martin jose
  2. 20'Yellow card: Dodo
  3. 21'Yellow card: davids druzinins
  4. Penalty goal: Stefan Panić (pen)22'
  5. Goal: Darko LemajićAssist: Alfa balde27'

HT 2-0

  1. 59'Substitution: Rolandas BaravykasOff: Ivan·Tyshchenko
  2. Substitution: Alfa baldeOff: martins kigurs64'
  3. 71'Substitution: hirotaka yamadaOff: Anton Baydal
  4. Goal: Dmitrijs Zelenkovs73'
  5. 75'Yellow card: Janis krautmanis
  6. Substitution: Dmitrijs ZelenkovsOff: Rostand Ndjiki77'
  7. Substitution: Darko LemajićOff: Roberts Savalnieks77'
  8. 80'Yellow card: Anton Baydal
  9. Substitution: modou saidyOff: duje korac87'
  10. Substitution: lasha odishariaOff: Cedric kouadio87'

Our verdict

Over 2.5 ✓

Over 2.5

Bet365 1.30

72%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-0

Expected goals3.8

Win probability

1 · Rīgas FS85%
Fair odds 1.18
X · Draw10%
Fair odds 10.00
2 · Grobiņa5%
Fair odds 20.00

Match statistics

  • 63%Possession37%
  • 3.08Expected goals (xG)0.09
  • 17Total shots3
  • 7Shots on target1
  • 8Shots off target1
  • 2Blocked shots1
  • 13Shots inside the box0
  • 5Corners2
  • 1Offsides2
  • 8Fouls14
  • 0Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 662Passes209
  • 589Accurate passes128

Line-ups

Rīgas FS

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 16J. ŅerugalsG
  2. 6A. FilipovićD
  3. 23H. PrengaD
  4. 43Ž. LipuščekD
  5. 18D. ZelenkovsF
  6. 26S. PanićM
  7. 66M. SaidyM
  8. 19Alfa BaldéF
  9. 10J. IkaunieksM
  10. 8L. OdishariaM
  11. 22D. LemajićF

Substitutes

  1. 5N. SliedeD
  2. 11R. SavaļnieksD
  3. 49M. ĶigursM
  4. 9Duje KoračF
  5. 17C. KouadioF
  6. 99S. KumaterM
  7. 1R. MatrevicsG
  8. 15R. NdjikiM
  9. 30H. NjieM

Coach: V. Morozs

Grobiņa

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 21R. OzolsG
  2. 7J. KrautmanisD
  3. 3D. DružiņinsD
  4. 5G. LeitansM
  5. 27R. BaravykasD
  6. 77DodôF
  7. 87martin joseM
  8. 32G. KļuškinsM
  9. 14M. SidorovsD
  10. 20H. YamadaM
  11. 99A. PuzirevskisF

Substitutes

  1. 25D. SirbuM
  2. 11O. RaščevskisF
  3. 8O. Olatunde-MatthewD
  4. 1V. KudrjavcevsG
  5. 80A. BaydalF
  6. 88I. TyshchenkoM

Coach: Oskars Klava

Betting markets

Expected goals 3.10 – 0.66
0.5 goalsOver97.6%Under2.4%
1.5 goalsOver88.9%Under11.1%
2.5 goalsOver72.4%Under27.6%
3.5 goalsOver51.8%Under48.2%
4.5 goalsOver32.4%Under67.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Rīgas FSGrobiņa
100%Form0%
60%Attack40%
96%Defence4%
50%Head to head50%
82%Expected goals18%
94%Overall6%

Last matches

Newest first
Rīgas FS3W 0D 0L · last 3
WSuper Nova vs Rīgas FS25 Oct 2026 · Virsliga0-3WRīgas FS vs Tukums19 Oct 2026 · Virsliga2-0WRīgas FS vs Super Nova15 Oct 2026 · Virsliga4-0
Grobiņa0W 0D 1L · last 1
LGrobiņa vs Riga26 Oct 2026 · Virsliga2-5

Virsliga table

Virsliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Rīgas FS4+1212
2BFC Daugavpils3+49
3Auda3+36
4FK Liepaja3+35
5Riga2+34
6Ogre United2-31
7Tukums3-41
8Super Nova3-71
9FS Jelgava3-50
10Grobiņa2-60
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRīgas FSGrobiņa
Played31
Wins30
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)32
Goals against (avg)05
Clean sheets30
Failed to score00
Best win streak30

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.53/31/1
Over 2.52/31/1
Over 3.51/31/1
BTTS – yes0/31/1

Match preview

Rīgas FS host Grobiņa in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 35) at Stadions Arkadija, Riga, with kick-off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 12:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Rīgas FS clear favourites, giving Rīgas FS a 85% chance of winning, 10% for the draw and 5% for Grobiņa. Our tip is: Over 2.5.

Rīgas FS have taken 9 points from their last 3 games (3W 0D 0L). Grobiņa have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 and a 46% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Latvia Virsliga
Date
Sunday, 1 November 2026, 12:00 WAT
Venue
Stadions Arkadija, Riga

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?

Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa kicks off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 12:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa in?

The match is in the Latvia Virsliga.

Where are Rīgas FS and Grobiņa in the table?

Rīgas FS are 1st and Grobiņa are 10th in the Virsliga.

Who will win Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?

Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Rīgas FS 85%, draw 10%, Grobiņa 5%.

Will both teams score in Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?

We estimate a 46% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?

We estimate a 72% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Virsliga on Sun 1 Nov

FTBFC Daugavpils 2-0 Tukums1 ✓FTOgre United 0-0 RigaOver 2.5 ✗FTAuda 4-3 FS Jelgava1 ✓FTFK Liepaja 3-3 Super NovaOver 1.5 ✓

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