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TodaysPrediction

Rīgas FS vs Super Nova prediction

Rīgas FS vs Super Nova prediction for the Virsliga on 15 Oct 2026: Over 2.5 (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Thursday15October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Virsliga · Regular Season - 25
Rīgas FSNo recent gamesSuper NovaNo recent games
4 - 0Full time · Thu 15 OctHT 3-0
LNK Sporta Parks, Riga

Match events

Rīgas FSSuper Nova
  1. Goal: Z. LipuscekAssist: D. Zelenkovs9'
  2. Goal: A. BaldeAssist: J. Ikaunieks12'
  3. Substitution: D. ZelenkovsOff: R. Savalnieks29'
  4. 45+1'Yellow card: R. KirssFoul
  5. Goal: J. IkaunieksAssist: D. Lemajic45+2'

HT 3-0

  1. Substitution: H. PrengaOff: S. Kumater46'
  2. 46'Substitution: J. CirulisOff: A. Glaudans
  3. 46'Substitution: R. KirssOff: R. Iida
  4. Substitution: L. OdishariaOff: M. Kigurs57'
  5. 65'Substitution: BambaOff: K. Augusts
  6. 65'Substitution: I. PatrikejevsOff: E. Emsis
  7. Substitution: A. BaldeOff: D. Korac77'
  8. 77'Substitution: R. SitjakovsOff: A. Baghdasaryan
  9. Substitution: D. LemajicOff: A. Kouadio77'
  10. Yellow card: S. KumaterFoul79'
  11. Penalty goal: D. Korac (pen)86'

Our verdict

Over 2.5 ✓

Over 2.5

Bet365 1.44

65%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-0

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Rīgas FS81%
Fair odds 1.23
X · Draw13%
Fair odds 7.69
2 · Super Nova6%
Fair odds 16.67

Line-ups

Rīgas FS

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 16Jevgēņijs ŅerugalsG
  2. 6Aleksandar FilipovićD
  3. 23Herdi PrengaD
  4. 43Žiga LipuščekD
  5. 18Dmitrijs ZelenkovsM
  6. 66Modou SaidyM
  7. 26Stefan PanićM
  8. 19Alfa BaldéM
  9. 10Jānis IkaunieksM
  10. 8Lasha OdishariaM
  11. 22Darko LemajićF

Substitutes

  1. 1Rihards MatrevicsG
  2. 99Shina KumaterD
  3. 30Haruna NjieD
  4. 5Niks SliedeD
  5. 11Roberts SavaļnieksD
  6. 49Mārtiņš ĶigursM
  7. 17Cedric KouadioF
  8. 9Duje KoračF
  9. 15Rostand NdjikiF

Super Nova

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 90Davis VeisbuksG
  2. 21Milans TihonovicsD
  3. 20Ibrahima DiopD
  4. 16Kristaps RomanovsD
  5. 5Jegors CirulisD
  6. 15Raivis KirssM
  7. 8Ivans PatrikejevsM
  8. 24Ralfs ŠitjakovsM
  9. 9Samate AmadouM
  10. 27Ndiaye PathéF
  11. 22Kristers SkadmanisM

Substitutes

  1. 31Toms PetrovicsG
  2. 3Rikuto IidaD
  3. 2Kristers AugustsD
  4. 18Mikus VasilevskisD
  5. 7Agris GlaudansM
  6. 6Eduards EmsisM
  7. 29Aram BaghdasaryanF

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.73 – 0.61
0.5 goalsOver96.4%Under3.6%
1.5 goalsOver84.6%Under15.4%
2.5 goalsOver64.8%Under35.2%
3.5 goalsOver42.8%Under57.2%
4.5 goalsOver24.5%Under75.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Rīgas FSSuper Nova
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
82%Expected goals18%
93%Overall7%

Last matches

Newest first
Rīgas FS0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Super Nova0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Virsliga table

Virsliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Rīgas FS3+99
2BFC Daugavpils2+26
3FK Liepaja2+34
4Riga1+33
5Auda2+23
6Tukums2-21
7Grobiņa1-30
8Ogre United1-30
9FS Jelgava2-40
10Super Nova2-70
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRīgas FSSuper Nova
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Rīgas FS host Super Nova in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 25) at LNK Sporta Parks, Riga, with kick-off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Rīgas FS clear favourites, giving Rīgas FS a 81% chance of winning, 13% for the draw and 6% for Super Nova. Our tip is: Over 2.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 43% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Latvia Virsliga
Date
Thursday, 15 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
LNK Sporta Parks, Riga

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?

Rīgas FS vs Super Nova kicks off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Rīgas FS vs Super Nova in?

The match is in the Latvia Virsliga.

Where are Rīgas FS and Super Nova in the table?

Rīgas FS are 1st and Super Nova are 10th in the Virsliga.

Who will win Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?

Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Rīgas FS 81%, draw 13%, Super Nova 6%.

Will both teams score in Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?

We estimate a 43% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?

We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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