Virsliga · Regular Season - 34
Match events
Rīgas FSHT 0-0
- 46'Substitution: Roberts SavalnieksOff: Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
- 46'Substitution: Cedric kouadioOff: martins kigurs
- 50'Goal: Ziga LipuscekAssist: Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
- 57'Yellow card: Stefan Panić
- 59'Goal: Darko LemajićAssist: lasha odisharia
- Substitution: Valerijs lizunovsOff: agris glaudans60'
- Substitution: raivis kirssOff: Ndiaye Pathé60'
- Substitution: ivans patrikejevsOff: Ralfs Šitjakovs65'
- 65'Substitution: Darko LemajićOff: Rostand Ndjiki
- Substitution: Aram baghdasaryanOff: Bamba76'
- 88'Goal: Ziga LipuscekAssist: Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
- 90'Substitution: Stefan PanićOff: duje korac
- 90'Substitution: Ziga LipuscekOff: shina kumater
Our verdict
Over 2.5
Bet365 1.44
✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-3
Win probability
Match statistics
- 42%Possession58%
- 0.33Expected goals (xG)1.81
- 4Total shots14
- 1Shots on target6
- 3Shots off target4
- 0Blocked shots4
- 3Shots inside the box13
- 5Corners8
- 2Offsides6
- 10Fouls11
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves1
- 389Passes462
- 305Accurate passes396
Line-ups
Super Nova
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 90D. VeisbuksG
- 21M. TihonovičsM
- 5J. CīrulisD
- 2K. AugustsD
- 3R. IidaD
- 22Kristers SkadmanisM
- 15R. ĶiršsF
- 8I. PatrikejevsM
- 6E. EmsisM
- 9Bamba
- 10V. LizunovsF
Substitutes
- 24R. ŠitjakovsM
- 7A. GlaudānsF
- 13Kristaps SecisG
- 31T. PetrovicsG
- 27N. PatheD
- 29A. BaghdasaryanF
- 4L. BerzinsD
Coach: M. Rafalskis
Rīgas FS
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16J. ŅerugalsG
- 11R. SavaļnieksD
- 23H. PrengaD
- 43Ž. LipuščekD
- 6A. FilipovićD
- 66M. SaidyM
- 26S. PanićM
- 8L. OdishariaM
- 10J. IkaunieksM
- 17C. KouadioF
- 22D. LemajićF
Substitutes
- 99S. KumaterM
- 1R. MatrevicsG
- 15R. NdjikiM
- 30H. NjieM
- 5N. SliedeD
- 18D. ZelenkovsF
- 9Duje KoračF
- 49M. ĶigursM
- 19Alfa BaldéF
Coach: V. Morozs
Betting markets
Expected goals 0.60 – 2.73Half time / full time result. 1 = Super Nova, X = draw, 2 = Rīgas FS.
Asian handicap applied to Super Nova.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstHead to head
Virsliga table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 12 | |
| 2 | BFC Daugavpils | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 9 | |
| 3 | Auda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 5 | |
| 5 | Riga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | |
| 6 | Ogre United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | |
| 7 | Tukums | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | |
| 8 | Super Nova | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 | |
| 9 | FS Jelgava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 | |
| 10 | Grobiņa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Super Nova | Rīgas FS |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 4 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 2 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 2/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 1/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 0/2 |
Match preview
Super Nova host Rīgas FS in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 34) at Olaines Pilsetas Stadions, Olaine, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Rīgas FS clear favourites, giving Super Nova a 5% chance of winning, 13% for the draw and 82% for Rīgas FS. Our tip is: Over 2.5.
Super Nova have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Rīgas FS have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).
In the last 1 meeting between the sides, Super Nova won 0, Rīgas FS won 1 and 0 ended level.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 42% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Latvia Virsliga
- Date
- Sunday, 25 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
- Venue
- Olaines Pilsetas Stadions, Olaine
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
Super Nova vs Rīgas FS kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Super Nova vs Rīgas FS in?
The match is in the Latvia Virsliga.
Where are Super Nova and Rīgas FS in the table?
Super Nova are 8th and Rīgas FS are 1st in the Virsliga.
Who will win Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Super Nova 5%, draw 13%, Rīgas FS 82%.
Will both teams score in Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
We estimate a 42% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.