Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Rīgas FS vs Tukums prediction

Rīgas FS vs Tukums prediction for the Virsliga on 19 Oct 2026: Over 2.5 (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Monday19October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Virsliga · Regular Season - 33
Rīgas FSTukumsNo recent games
2 - 0Full time · Mon 19 OctHT 0-0
Stadions Arkadija, Riga

Match events

Rīgas FSTukums

    HT 0-0

    1. Substitution: Alfa baldeOff: Darko Lemajić46'
    2. Substitution: Rostand NdjikiOff: martins kigurs61'
    3. Yellow card: Darko Lemajić65'
    4. 70'Substitution: Daniels radzenieksOff: rudolfs melkis
    5. Goal: martins kigursAssist: lasha odisharia76'
    6. 80'Substitution: Koyo ShigemaOff: Shun Shibata
    7. Goal: martins kigursAssist: modou saidy88'
    8. Substitution: lasha odishariaOff: Cedric kouadio90+2'
    9. Substitution: Roberts SavalnieksOff: niks dusaliejvs90+2'
    10. Substitution: modou saidyOff: Harona Njie90+2'

    Our verdict

    Over 2.5 ✗

    Over 2.5

    Bet365 1.30

    72%

    ✗ This tip lost · final score 2-0

    Expected goals3.8

    Win probability

    1 · Rīgas FS86%
    Fair odds 1.16
    X · Draw10%
    Fair odds 10.00
    2 · Tukums4%
    Fair odds 25.00

    Match statistics

    • 73%Possession27%
    • 2.58Expected goals (xG)0.22
    • 26Total shots3
    • 7Shots on target1
    • 11Shots off target1
    • 8Blocked shots1
    • 18Shots inside the box1
    • 11Corners0
    • 3Offsides1
    • 10Fouls8
    • 1Yellow cards0
    • 0Red cards0
    • 0Goalkeeper saves5
    • 641Passes278
    • 560Accurate passes175

    Line-ups

    Rīgas FS

    4-2-3-1

    Starting XI

    1. 16J. ŅerugalsG
    2. 11R. SavaļnieksD
    3. 23H. PrengaD
    4. 43Ž. LipuščekD
    5. 6A. FilipovićD
    6. 26S. PanićM
    7. 66M. SaidyM
    8. 19Alfa BaldéF
    9. 10J. IkaunieksM
    10. 8L. OdishariaM
    11. 15R. NdjikiM

    Substitutes

    1. 5N. SliedeD
    2. 21N. DusalijevsD
    3. 49M. ĶigursM
    4. 9Duje KoračF
    5. 17C. KouadioF
    6. 99S. KumaterM
    7. 22D. LemajićF
    8. 1R. MatrevicsG
    9. 30H. NjieM

    Coach: V. Morozs

    Tukums

    5-3-2

    Starting XI

    1. 12A. KuprinsG
    2. 16Kristaps KlavinsM
    3. 6K. VolkovsM
    4. 25H. JokstsM
    5. 88M. ŠtālsD
    6. 8R. ReingolcsD
    7. 29K. ShigemaM
    8. 5J. TobaM
    9. 4K. AnmanisM
    10. 10B. SamoilovsM
    11. 19D. RadzenieksF

    Substitutes

    1. 35martins velikaG
    2. 30M. ŠustsD
    3. 22E. SpruktsF
    4. 7S. ShibataM
    5. 28R. MeļķisD
    6. 27R. DeružinskisF
    7. 18D. CalbergsD

    Coach: K. Dišlers

    Betting markets

    Expected goals 3.14 – 0.62
    0.5 goalsOver97.6%Under2.4%
    1.5 goalsOver88.9%Under11.1%
    2.5 goalsOver72.4%Under27.6%
    3.5 goalsOver51.8%Under48.2%
    4.5 goalsOver32.4%Under67.6%

    Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

    Model comparison

    Rīgas FSTukums
    100%Form0%
    100%Attack0%
    50%Defence50%
    50%Head to head50%
    84%Expected goals16%
    96%Overall4%

    Last matches

    Newest first
    Rīgas FS1W 0D 0L · last 1
    WRīgas FS vs Super Nova15 Oct 2026 · Virsliga4-0
    Tukums0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Virsliga table

    Virsliga table
    #TeamP+/-Pts
    1Rīgas FS3+99
    2BFC Daugavpils2+26
    3FK Liepaja2+34
    4Riga1+33
    5Auda2+23
    6Tukums2-21
    7Grobiņa1-30
    8Ogre United1-30
    9FS Jelgava2-40
    10Super Nova2-70
    See full table ›

    Season statistics

    This season, all competitions we cover
    StatRīgas FSTukums
    Played10
    Wins10
    Draws00
    Losses00
    Goals for (avg)40
    Goals against (avg)00
    Clean sheets10
    Failed to score00
    Best win streak10

    Recent goal lines

    How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

    Over 1.51/10/0
    Over 2.51/10/0
    Over 3.51/10/0
    BTTS – yes0/10/0

    Match preview

    Rīgas FS host Tukums in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 33) at Stadions Arkadija, Riga, with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

    Our prediction model makes Rīgas FS clear favourites, giving Rīgas FS a 86% chance of winning, 10% for the draw and 4% for Tukums. Our tip is: Over 2.5.

    Rīgas FS have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

    On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 and a 44% chance that both teams score.

    Competition
    Latvia Virsliga
    Date
    Monday, 19 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
    Venue
    Stadions Arkadija, Riga

    TodaysPrediction analysis team

    Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

    Quick answers

    When is Rīgas FS vs Tukums?

    Rīgas FS vs Tukums kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

    Which competition is Rīgas FS vs Tukums in?

    The match is in the Latvia Virsliga.

    Where are Rīgas FS and Tukums in the table?

    Rīgas FS are 1st and Tukums are 6th in the Virsliga.

    Who will win Rīgas FS vs Tukums?

    Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Rīgas FS 86%, draw 10%, Tukums 4%.

    Will both teams score in Rīgas FS vs Tukums?

    We estimate a 44% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rīgas FS vs Tukums?

    We estimate a 72% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

    More Virsliga on Mon 19 Oct

    FTBFC Daugavpils 2-1 AudaX2 ✗

    All football predictions for today