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PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction for the Eredivisie on 31 Oct 2026: Over 3.5 (67%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
PSV EindhovenWillem II
7 - 0Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 2-0
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

Match events

PSV EindhovenWillem II
  1. Goal: Mauro Júnior20'
  2. 41'Yellow card: Maxim DekkerFoul
  3. Goal: Guus TilAssist: Armando Obispo44'

HT 2-0

  1. Goal: Sven MijnansAssist: Sergiño Dest50'
  2. Goal: Ruben van BommelAssist: Sven Mijnans53'
  3. Substitution: Noah FernandezOff: Mauro Júnior60'
  4. Substitution: Ivan PerišićOff: Ricardo Pepi60'
  5. 62'Substitution: Hidde ter AvestOff: Per van Loon
  6. Substitution: Ruben van BommelOff: Ayoni Santos71'
  7. Substitution: Sergiño DestOff: Esmir Bajraktarević71'
  8. Goal: Ricardo PepiAssist: Esmir Bajraktarević73'
  9. 74'Substitution: kasper boogaardOff: Anass Zarrouk
  10. 75'Substitution: Vito van CrooyOff: Tonny Vilhena
  11. 75'Yellow card: Finn StamFoul
  12. Goal: Kodai SanoAssist: Ricardo Pepi77'
  13. Substitution: Guus TilOff: Shuryjano Cornecion78'
  14. 80'Substitution: Uriël van AalstOff: Alessandro Ciranni
  15. 80'Substitution: Finn StamOff: A. Et-Taibi
  16. Goal: Shuryjano Cornecion81'

Our verdict

Over 3.5 ✓

Over 3.5

Bet365 1.33

67%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 7-0

Expected goals4.6

Win probability

1 · PSV Eindhoven85%
Fair odds 1.18
X · Draw10%
Fair odds 10.00
2 · Willem II5%
Fair odds 20.00

Match statistics

  • 70%Possession30%
  • 2.55Expected goals (xG)1.28
  • 20Total shots4
  • 9Shots on target1
  • 5Shots off target3
  • 6Blocked shots0
  • 15Shots inside the box4
  • 11Corners1
  • 3Offsides1
  • 7Fouls4
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves2
  • 689Passes304
  • 617Accurate passes214

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 32M. KovářG
  2. 2L. GeertruidaD
  3. 4A. ObispoD
  4. 3Yarek GasiorowskiD
  5. 8S. DestM
  6. 24K. SanoM
  7. 17Mauro JúniorM
  8. 20G. TilM
  9. 7R. van BommelM
  10. 5I. PerišićF
  11. 21S. MijnansM

Substitutes

  1. 25K. SildilliaD
  2. 35A. SantosM
  3. 9R. PepiF
  4. 1N. OlijG
  5. 27D. ManF
  6. 18F. KostićM
  7. 6R. FlamingoD
  8. 31N. FernandezM
  9. 42S. CornecionM
  10. 23M. HansenF
  11. 37A. BouhamdiF
  12. 19E. BajraktarevicF

Coach: P. Bosz

Willem II

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

  1. 26M. DelangheG
  2. 3F. StamD
  3. 83M. LemmensD
  4. 23M. DekkerD
  5. 24N. Tjoe-A-OnD
  6. 5H. ter AvestM
  7. 6C. TwigtM
  8. 18Anass ZarroukM
  9. 32V. van CrooijM
  10. 19Uriel van AalstM
  11. 9D. HaenF

Substitutes

  1. 2A. CiranniD
  2. 52T. VilhenaM
  3. 11A. CulumF
  4. 31K. de LeeuwG
  5. 15A. Et-TaïbiD
  6. 50E. GürbüzF
  7. 17O. MartinF
  8. 10J. SchuurmanM
  9. 21W. van der SteenG
  10. 22Per van LoonM
  11. 28T. VerheydtF
  12. 8K. BoogaardM

Coach: A. Koster

Betting markets

Expected goals 3.64 – 0.95
0.5 goalsOver98.8%Under1.2%
1.5 goalsOver94.2%Under5.8%
2.5 goalsOver83.5%Under16.5%
3.5 goalsOver67.1%Under32.9%
4.5 goalsOver48.4%Under51.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

PSV EindhovenWillem II
100%Form0%
35%Attack65%
82%Defence18%
50%Head to head50%
79%Expected goals21%
94%Overall6%

Last matches

Newest first
PSV Eindhoven1W 1D 2L · last 4
DPSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord25 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie1-1WFC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven20 Oct 2026 · Champions League0-1LADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven17 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-1LRB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven13 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-0
Willem II0W 0D 2L · last 2
LWillem II vs Cambuur24 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie1-6LSparta Rotterdam vs Willem II17 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie3-2

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente10+920
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen10+315
9GO Ahead Eagles10014
10Cambuur10-312
11Utrecht10-1012
12Excelsior10-311
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14Sparta Rotterdam10-79
15PEC Zwolle10-128
16Telstar10-96
17ADO Den Haag10-106
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles108
2B. WillumssonGroningen108
3J. BrandtAjax106
4J. TrenskowHeerenveen106
5M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam106

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPSV EindhovenWillem II
Played42
Wins10
Draws10
Losses22
Goals for (avg)0.81.5
Goals against (avg)14.5
Clean sheets10
Failed to score10
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.52/42/2
Over 2.51/42/2
Over 3.50/42/2
BTTS – yes2/42/2

Match preview

PSV Eindhoven host Willem II in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 11) at Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes PSV Eindhoven clear favourites, giving PSV Eindhoven a 85% chance of winning, 10% for the draw and 5% for Willem II. Our tip is: Over 3.5.

PSV Eindhoven have taken 4 points from their last 4 games (1W 1D 2L). Willem II have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 84% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 18:45 WAT
Venue
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are PSV Eindhoven and Willem II in the table?

PSV Eindhoven are 3rd and Willem II are 18th in the Eredivisie.

Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

Our prediction is Over 3.5. Win probabilities: PSV Eindhoven 85%, draw 10%, Willem II 5%.

Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?

We estimate a 84% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sat 31 Oct

FTFeyenoord 1-1 Fortuna SittardOver 2.5 ✗FTHeerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen1X ✓FTCambuur 4-0 GO Ahead EaglesX2 ✗FTAjax 1-0 AZ Alkmaar1X ✓

All football predictions for today