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Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II prediction

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II prediction for the Eredivisie on 17 Oct 2026: Sparta Rotterdam to win (57%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9
Sparta RotterdamNo recent gamesWillem IINo recent games
3 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-1
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

Match events

Sparta RotterdamWillem II
  1. 17'Goal: Tonny Vilhena
  2. Goal: Jens Toornstra39'
  3. 41'Yellow card: Finn StamFoul

HT 1-1

  1. Goal: Lushendry Martes50'
  2. Goal: Milan ZonneveldAssist: Jens Toornstra57'
  3. Yellow card: Rogier MeijerDissent59'
  4. 66'Substitution: Tonny VilhenaOff: Mats Lemmens
  5. 66'Substitution: Thomas VerheydtOff: Anass Zarrouk
  6. 68'Goal: Uriël van AalstAssist: Vito van Crooy
  7. Yellow card: Lushendry MartesArgument70'
  8. 70'Yellow card: Vito van CrooyArgument
  9. Substitution: Jens ToornstraOff: Alwande Benedict Roaldsøy74'
  10. 75'Yellow card: Thomas VerheydtFoul
  11. Yellow card: Alwande Benedict RoaldsøyFoul78'
  12. 81'Substitution: Jaden SloryOff: Chido Obi
  13. 81'Substitution: Uriël van AalstOff: Jari Schuurman
  14. Substitution: Mitchell Van BergenOff: Robin van Cruijsen83'
  15. Substitution: Teo Quintero LeónOff: Cedric Hatenboer83'
  16. Yellow card: Milan ZonneveldTime Wasting85'
  17. 88'Substitution: Maxim DekkerOff: Eser Gürbüz
  18. Yellow card: Bas KuipersTime Wasting88'
  19. 90+3'Yellow card: Chido ObiFoul

Our verdict

1 ✓

Sparta Rotterdam to win

Bet365 1.62

57%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Sparta Rotterdam57%
Fair odds 1.75
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · Willem II22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 3.45Expected goals (xG)1.24
  • 22Total shots13
  • 8Shots on target4
  • 11Shots off target6
  • 3Blocked shots3
  • 18Shots inside the box7
  • 3Corners4
  • 12Fouls12
  • 4Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 383Passes395
  • 300Accurate passes294

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. BrouwerG
  2. 2L. MartesD
  3. 3M. YoungD
  4. 6N. VerschurenD
  5. 4B. Martins IndiD
  6. 5B. KuipersD
  7. 7Robin van CruijsenM
  8. 8J. ToornstraM
  9. 10Cedric HatenboerM
  10. 11I. BabadiM
  11. 9M. ZonneveldF

Substitutes

  1. 16J. BaasM
  2. 20F. BednarekG
  3. 22Joel IdehoF
  4. 19Andrej KostićF
  5. 30P. KuiperG
  6. 14Teo QuinteroD
  7. 12B. ReithD
  8. 18A. RoaldsøyM
  9. 21C. TerhoF
  10. 17M. van BergenF
  11. 15G. VianelloD

Coach: R. Meijer

Willem II

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 26M. DelangheG
  2. 5H. ter AvestD
  3. 3F. StamD
  4. 23M. DekkerD
  5. 24N. Tjoe-A-OnD
  6. 18Anass ZarroukM
  7. 52T. VilhenaM
  8. 7J. SloryM
  9. 19Uriel van AalstM
  10. 32V. van CrooijM
  11. 9D. HaenF

Substitutes

  1. 2A. CiranniD
  2. 28T. VerheydtF
  3. 22Per van LoonM
  4. 10J. SchuurmanM
  5. 17O. MartinF
  6. 14Jens MathijsenD
  7. 83M. LemmensD
  8. 50E. GürbüzF
  9. 15A. Et-TaïbiD
  10. 31K. de LeeuwG
  11. 8K. BoogaardM
  12. 41Tygo KotteG
  13. 44L. MaalF

Coach: J. Stegeman

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.10 – 1.24
0.5 goalsOver96.5%Under3.5%
1.5 goalsOver84.6%Under15.4%
2.5 goalsOver64.9%Under35.1%
3.5 goalsOver42.8%Under57.2%
4.5 goalsOver24.5%Under75.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Sparta RotterdamWillem II
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
63%Expected goals37%
72%Overall28%

Last matches

Newest first
Sparta Rotterdam0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Willem II0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
11Sparta Rotterdam11-612
12Utrecht11-1212
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14PEC Zwolle11-1111
15Excelsior11-1211
16Telstar11-79
17ADO Den Haag11-116
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles118
2B. WillumssonGroningen108
3G. TilPSV Eindhoven117
4J. BrandtAjax116
5J. TrenskowHeerenveen116

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSparta RotterdamWillem II
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Sparta Rotterdam host Willem II in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9) at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Sparta Rotterdam favourites, giving Sparta Rotterdam a 57% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 22% for Willem II. Our tip is: Sparta Rotterdam to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II in the table?

Sparta Rotterdam are 11th and Willem II are 18th in the Eredivisie.

Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

Our prediction is Sparta Rotterdam to win. Win probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam 57%, draw 21%, Willem II 22%.

Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sat 17 Oct

FTADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV Eindhoven2 ✗FTTelstar 3-4 Feyenoord2 ✓

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