Match events
- 9'Goal: Nicolas BinderAssist: Morgan Costarelli
- 13'Goal: Ilyes HamacheAssist: Morgan Costarelli
- 18'Goal: Ismaël BaoufAssist: Rafik El Arguioui
- 19'VARVAR: Ismaël BaoufGoal confirmed
- Substitution: Tonny VilhenaOff: Anass Zarrouk45'
- Substitution: Maxim DekkerOff: Thomas Verheydt45'
- Substitution: Vito van CrooyOff: Armin Culum45'
- Yellow card: Jaden SloryFoul45+2'
HT 0-3
- Yellow card: Hidde ter AvestFoul53'
- 58'Goal: Nicolas BinderAssist: Ilyes Hamache
- 62'Goal: Rafik El Arguioui
- 65'Substitution: Mathieu MaertensOff: Iwan Henstra
- 65'Substitution: Morgan CostarelliOff: Lucas Jetten
- 65'Substitution: Billy van DuijlOff: Jorn Berkhout
- Substitution: Jaden SloryOff: Mats Lemmens68'
- 72'Substitution: Rik MuldersOff: Wiebe Kooistra
- 77'Substitution: Nicolas BinderOff: Skye Vink
- Goal: Anass ZarroukAssist: Devin Haen82'
- 89'Goal: Jason CekaAssist: Wiebe Kooistra
Our verdict
Cambuur or draw
Bet365 1.50
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-6
Win probability
Match statistics
- 52%Possession48%
- 1.08Expected goals (xG)1.94
- 11Total shots19
- 2Shots on target11
- 5Shots off target5
- 4Blocked shots3
- 8Shots inside the box11
- 13Corners4
- 17Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 5Goalkeeper saves1
- 371Passes371
- 271Accurate passes262
Line-ups
Willem II
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. DidillonG
- 5H. ter AvestD
- 3F. StamD
- 23M. DekkerD
- 24N. Tjoe-A-OnD
- 6C. TwigtM
- 52T. VilhenaM
- 7J. SloryM
- 19Uriel van AalstM
- 32V. van CrooijM
- 9D. HaenF
Substitutes
- 18Anass ZarroukM
- 28T. VerheydtF
- 10J. SchuurmanM
- 17O. MartinF
- 15A. Et-TaïbiD
- 26M. DelangheG
- 11A. CulumF
- 2A. CiranniD
- 8K. BoogaardM
- 50E. GürbüzF
- 83M. LemmensD
- 31K. de LeeuwG
Coach: A. Koster
Cambuur
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. JansenG
- 16R. MuldersD
- 4I. BaoufD
- 14B. van DuijlD
- 28M. CostarelliD
- 33M. MaertensM
- 8N. SourenM
- 30J. ÇekaM
- 10R. El ArguiouiM
- 11I. HamacheM
- 13N. BinderF
Substitutes
- 9S. VinkF
- 18Wiebe van der HeideM
- 17Ethan ApkakouM
- 3J. BerkhoutD
- 7S. BouhoudaneF
- 29Iwan HenstraF
- 23L. JettenD
- 22L. PlogmannG
- 24M. KalisvaartG
- 27W. KooistraF
- 15F. KvamF
- 45B. VogelzangD
Coach: J. Plat
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.66Half time / full time result. 1 = Willem II, X = draw, 2 = Cambuur.
Asian handicap applied to Willem II.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstEredivisie table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +21 | 24 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 20 | DLWLW |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 | WLDWW |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 | LDLWD |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 | DLWWD |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 | DDDDL |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 | LWDLL |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 | LLDLD |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 | LWDDL |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 | LLLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Willem II | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 3 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Willem II host Cambuur in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Cambuur slight favourites, giving Willem II a 36% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 40% for Cambuur. Our tip is: Cambuur or draw.
Willem II have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Cambuur have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 and a 65% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Netherlands Eredivisie
- Date
- Saturday, 24 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
- Venue
- Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Willem II vs Cambuur?
Willem II vs Cambuur kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Willem II vs Cambuur in?
The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.
Where are Willem II and Cambuur in the table?
Willem II are 18th and Cambuur are 10th in the Eredivisie.
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
Our prediction is Cambuur or draw. Win probabilities: Willem II 36%, draw 24%, Cambuur 40%.
Will both teams score in Willem II vs Cambuur?
We estimate a 65% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Willem II vs Cambuur?
We estimate a 63% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

