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Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction for the Eredivisie on 31 Oct 2026: Heerenveen or draw (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
1 - 0Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 0-0
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

Match events

HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
  1. 32'Yellow card: Clement BischoffArgument
  2. Yellow card: Oliver Johansen BraudeArgument32'
  3. 34'Yellow card: Bryan LinssenDissent
  4. Yellow card: Vasilios ZagaritisFoul43'

HT 0-0

  1. Yellow card: marcus lindayFoul61'
  2. Substitution: Maxence RiveraOff: Ringo Meerveld62'
  3. Goal: Dylan VenteAssist: Levi Smans66'
  4. 73'Substitution: Ayodele ThomasOff: Clement Bischoff
  5. 73'Substitution: Perr SchuursOff: Kaj Sierhuis
  6. Substitution: Nolhan courtensOff: Dirk Proper78'
  7. Substitution: Levi SmansOff: Luca Oyen78'
  8. 79'Substitution: Tobias StormOff: Gabriel·Bras
  9. 85'Yellow card: Ayodele ThomasFoul
  10. 85'Substitution: Adam TahauiOff: Kevin Kers
  11. 86'Substitution: Willum Thor WillumssonOff: Jamiro Monteiro
  12. Substitution: Jacob TrenskowOff: Marko Farji90+2'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Heerenveen or draw

Bet365 1.36

68%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals3.5

Win probability

1 · Heerenveen45%
Fair odds 2.22
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · NEC Nijmegen32%
Fair odds 3.13

Match statistics

  • 38%Possession62%
  • 1.46Expected goals (xG)1.33
  • 8Total shots21
  • 2Shots on target2
  • 3Shots off target15
  • 3Blocked shots4
  • 7Shots inside the box15
  • 5Corners7
  • 0Offsides1
  • 7Fouls7
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves1
  • 343Passes547
  • 266Accurate passes471

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1B. KlaverboerG
  2. 45O. BraudeD
  3. 4S. KerstenD
  4. 3M. WillemsenD
  5. 19V. ZagaritisD
  6. 16M. LindayM
  7. 8N. CourtensM
  8. 20J. TrenskowM
  9. 14L. SmansM
  10. 7M. RiveraM
  11. 9D. VenteF

Substitutes

  1. 28H. PetrovD
  2. 6D. ProperM
  3. 17R. UldriķisF
  4. 44A. NoppertG
  5. 11L. OyenF
  6. 23D. BladiD
  7. 15M. EgbringD
  8. 21M. FarjiF
  9. 2M. HilgersD
  10. 29L. MachineF
  11. 10R. MeerveldM
  12. 30T. SchreuderG

Coach: R. Veldeman

NEC Nijmegen

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1G. CrettazG
  2. 21T. StormD
  3. 4P. SchuursD
  4. 22A. KaplanD
  5. 6D. NejašmićM
  6. 34Kevin KersM
  7. 20N. LebretonM
  8. 35Jamiro MonteiroM
  9. 99Clement BischoffM
  10. 9T. CheryF
  11. 30B. LinssenF

Substitutes

  1. 73Gabriel BrásD
  2. 36Freek EntiusG
  3. 8I. Hansen-AarøenM
  4. 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
  5. 42Y. MoslihD
  6. 12N. PolsterG
  7. 14K. SierhuisF
  8. 19Adam TahauiF
  9. 77A. ThomasF
  10. 11W. WillumssonM

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.90 – 1.59
0.5 goalsOver96.9%Under3.1%
1.5 goalsOver86.3%Under13.7%
2.5 goalsOver67.7%Under32.3%
3.5 goalsOver46.1%Under53.9%
4.5 goalsOver27.3%Under72.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
50%Form50%
60%Attack40%
64%Defence36%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
Heerenveen2W 0D 0L · last 2
WADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen24 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-3WHeerenveen vs Excelsior16 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie4-0
NEC Nijmegen1W 3D 0L · last 4
DNEC Nijmegen vs Groningen25 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-2WDinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen22 Oct 2026 · Europa League2-4DNEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard18 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-2DNEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia15 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-1

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente10+920
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen10+315
9GO Ahead Eagles10014
10Cambuur10-312
11Utrecht10-1012
12Excelsior10-311
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14Sparta Rotterdam10-79
15PEC Zwolle10-128
16Telstar10-96
17ADO Den Haag10-106
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles108
2B. WillumssonGroningen108
3J. BrandtAjax106
4J. TrenskowHeerenveen106
5M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam106

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatHeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
Played24
Wins21
Draws03
Losses00
Goals for (avg)3.52.3
Goals against (avg)11.8
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak21

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.52/24/4
Over 2.52/23/4
Over 3.52/23/4
BTTS – yes1/24/4

Match preview

Heerenveen host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 11) at Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Heerenveen slight favourites, giving Heerenveen a 45% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 32% for NEC Nijmegen. Our tip is: Heerenveen or draw.

Heerenveen have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L). NEC Nijmegen have taken 6 points from their last 4 games (1W 3D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 and a 68% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 18:45 WAT
Venue
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?

Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are Heerenveen and NEC Nijmegen in the table?

Heerenveen are 7th and NEC Nijmegen are 13th in the Eredivisie.

Who will win Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our prediction is Heerenveen or draw. Win probabilities: Heerenveen 45%, draw 23%, NEC Nijmegen 32%.

Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?

We estimate a 68% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?

We estimate a 68% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sat 31 Oct

FTFeyenoord 1-1 Fortuna SittardOver 2.5 ✗FTPSV Eindhoven 7-0 Willem IIOver 3.5 ✓FTCambuur 4-0 GO Ahead EaglesX2 ✗FTAjax 1-0 AZ Alkmaar1X ✓

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