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Port Vale vs Rochdale prediction

Port Vale vs Rochdale prediction for the League Two on 31 Oct 2026: Port Vale or draw (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
League Two · Regular Season - 14
Port ValeRochdale
4 - 2Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 3-0
Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent

Match events

Port ValeRochdale
  1. Goal: Onel HernándezAssist: Kyle Dempsey2'
  2. Penalty goal: George Byers (pen)11'
  3. 15'Yellow card: Harvey GilmourFoul
  4. Goal: Jordan Gabriel22'
  5. 33'Yellow card: Glenn MiddletonFoul
  6. 38'Yellow card: Cian HayesFoul
  7. 45'Substitution: Zain Silcott-DuberryOff: Edward Francis
  8. 45'Substitution: Cian HayesOff: Luke Hannant
  9. 45'Substitution: Glenn MiddletonOff: Ian Henderson

HT 3-0

  1. Yellow card: Cameron HumphreysFoul48'
  2. Substitution: Max WattersOff: Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales53'
  3. Substitution: Onel HernándezOff: Oliver Lynch54'
  4. Yellow card: George ByersFoul62'
  5. Substitution: George ByersOff: Rhys Walters70'
  6. 72'Substitution: sam beckwithOff: Kaiden Wilson
  7. 72'Substitution: Babajide Ezekiel AdeekoOff: Jamie Paterson
  8. 82'Goal: Ian HendersonAssist: Luke Hannant
  9. Goal: Keyrol Alexis Figueroa NoralesAssist: George Cardinal Joseph·Hall86'
  10. Substitution: George Cardinal Joseph·HallOff: Maleace asamoah87'
  11. Substitution: Jordan GabrielOff: Kyle John88'
  12. 90+4'Goal: Charlie Tasker

Our verdict

1X ✓

Port Vale or draw

Bet365 1.20

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-2

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Port Vale51%
Fair odds 1.96
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Rochdale22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 49%Possession51%
  • 3.16Expected goals (xG)0.77
  • 11Total shots11
  • 6Shots on target5
  • 4Shots off target4
  • 1Blocked shots2
  • 9Shots inside the box9
  • 4Corners4
  • 2Offsides3
  • 11Fouls17
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves2
  • 416Passes429
  • 320Accurate passes324

Line-ups

Port Vale

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 20M. MarošiG
  2. 25C. HumphreysD
  3. 4J. MoonD
  4. 5C. HallD
  5. 6J. Lawrence-GabrielM
  6. 10K. DempseyM
  7. 7G. ByersM
  8. 33G. HallM
  9. 3J. HeadleyM
  10. 36M. WattersF
  11. 11O. HernándezF

Substitutes

  1. 27M. AsamoahF
  2. 2K. JohnD
  3. 12A. McGowanD
  4. 1J. SmithG
  5. 38R. WaltersM
  6. 24K. FigueroaF
  7. 14O. LynchF

Coach: J. Brady

Rochdale

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 20Sam William John WallerG
  2. 26S. SherringD
  3. 44A. FlintD
  4. 3Kaiden WilsonD
  5. 2C. TaskerD
  6. 17B. AdeekoM
  7. 8H. GilmourM
  8. 7C. HayesM
  9. 11Z. Silcott-DuberryM
  10. 45G. MiddletonM
  11. 39D. BrownF

Substitutes

  1. 35J. PatersonF
  2. 40I. HendersonF
  3. 19L. HannantM
  4. 14E. FrancisM
  5. 33S. BeckwithD
  6. 12J. SpavenG
  7. 56Reece LeonardM

Coach: Ian Watson

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.56 – 0.94
0.5 goalsOver91.8%Under8.2%
1.5 goalsOver71.3%Under28.7%
2.5 goalsOver45.6%Under54.4%
3.5 goalsOver24.2%Under75.8%
4.5 goalsOver10.9%Under89.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Port ValeRochdale
80%Form20%
33%Attack67%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
70%Overall30%

Last matches

Newest first
Port Vale1W 1D 0L · last 2
DGillingham vs Port Vale20 Oct 2026 · League Two1-1WPort Vale vs Chesterfield17 Oct 2026 · League Two1-0
Rochdale0W 1D 1L · last 2
DRochdale vs Grimsby20 Oct 2026 · League Two2-2LCrewe vs Rochdale17 Oct 2026 · League Two3-2

League Two table

League Two table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
11Tranmere14+219
12Exeter City14+219
13Swindon Town14-219
14Newport County14+318
15Shrewsbury14-518
16Fleetwood Town14017
17Bristol Rovers14-616
18Port Vale12-415
19Rochdale14-915
20Northampton12014
21Oldham13-512
22Rotherham14-712
23Colchester13-712
24Crawley Town12-89
See full table ›

Top scorers

League Two top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. TshimangaBarnet1310
2C. McCannCheltenham139
3A. PressleyWalsall129
4A. DrinanSwindon Town148
5P. MullinRotherham148

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPort ValeRochdale
Played22
Wins10
Draws11
Losses01
Goals for (avg)12
Goals against (avg)0.52.5
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/22/2
Over 2.50/22/2
Over 3.50/22/2
BTTS – yes1/22/2

Match preview

Port Vale host Rochdale in the League Two (Regular Season - 14) at Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 13:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Port Vale favourites, giving Port Vale a 51% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 22% for Rochdale. Our tip is: Port Vale or draw.

Port Vale have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L). Rochdale have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League Two
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
Venue
Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Port Vale vs Rochdale?

Port Vale vs Rochdale kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 13:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Port Vale vs Rochdale in?

The match is in the England League Two.

Where are Port Vale and Rochdale in the table?

Port Vale are 18th and Rochdale are 19th in the League Two.

Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?

Our prediction is Port Vale or draw. Win probabilities: Port Vale 51%, draw 27%, Rochdale 22%.

Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Rochdale?

We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Port Vale vs Rochdale?

We estimate a 46% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League Two on Sat 31 Oct

FTGrimsby 5-2 YorkOver 1.5 ✓FTOldham 0-1 Crawley Town1 ✗FTShrewsbury 1-2 Gillingham1X ✗FTCrewe 1-1 BarnetX2 ✓FTColchester 1-3 WalsallOver 1.5 ✓FTFleetwood Town 3-1 Bristol RoversOver 1.5 ✓FTTranmere 3-1 CheltenhamOver 1.5 ✓FTSwindon Town 2-1 RotherhamOver 1.5 ✓FTAccrington ST 1-1 Northampton1X ✓FTSalford City 2-1 Exeter CityOver 1.5 ✓

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