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Shrewsbury vs Gillingham prediction

Shrewsbury vs Gillingham prediction for the League Two on 31 Oct 2026: Shrewsbury or draw (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
League Two · Regular Season - 14
ShrewsburyGillingham
1 - 2Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 0-1
New Meadow, Shrewsbury

Match events

ShrewsburyGillingham
  1. 3'Goal: Harry WaldockAssist: Conor McManus
  2. 22'Yellow card: Ethan·ColemanFoul
  3. Yellow card: G. CowanDissent38'

HT 0-1

  1. Yellow card: William BoyleFoul52'
  2. 57'Yellow card: Logan DobbsFoul
  3. Penalty goal: George Lloyd (pen)59'
  4. Substitution: George LloydOff: Michael Golding63'
  5. 65'Substitution: Lamin SillahOff: Tom Eaves
  6. 73'Substitution: Ethan·ColemanOff: Bradley Dack
  7. 73'Substitution: Ronan Chapman HaleOff: Armani Little
  8. 80'Goal: Andy Smith
  9. 81'Substitution: Nick FreemanOff: Garath McCleary
  10. Yellow card: Luca HooleArgument82'
  11. Substitution: Luca HooleOff: Arkelle Jude-Boyd83'
  12. Substitution: Josh DavisonOff: Joseph Gbode83'
  13. 87'Yellow card: Armani LittleFoul
  14. Substitution: Josh RuffelsOff: Jeval Thompson-Mckenzie90+1'
  15. Substitution: Kevin BerkoeOff: Lino Sousa90+1'

Our verdict

1X ✗

Shrewsbury or draw

Bet365 1.28

73%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Shrewsbury46%
Fair odds 2.17
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Gillingham27%
Fair odds 3.70

Match statistics

  • 56%Possession44%
  • 2.06Expected goals (xG)1.87
  • 15Total shots11
  • 6Shots on target6
  • 5Shots off target3
  • 4Blocked shots2
  • 8Shots inside the box8
  • 7Corners2
  • 0Offsides1
  • 6Fouls18
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves5
  • 391Passes322
  • 282Accurate passes209

Line-ups

Shrewsbury

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 1William Michael BrookG
  2. 6S. StubbsD
  3. 5W. BoyleD
  4. 3J. RuffelsD
  5. 2L. HooleM
  6. 10T. SangM
  7. 21will grayM
  8. 11K. BerkoeM
  9. 18K. M. BrownM
  10. 9G. LloydF
  11. 13J. DavisonF

Substitutes

  1. 30J. Thompson-McKenzieM
  2. 32Cameron GregoryG
  3. 23I. LeeD
  4. 27J. GbodeF
  5. 20M. GoldingM
  6. 17Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-BoydD
  7. 24L. SousaD

Coach: G. Cowan

Gillingham

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1O. WrightG
  2. 5A. SmithD
  3. 19O. BecklesD
  4. 26L. DobbsD
  5. 22N. FreemanM
  6. 16J. BrophyM
  7. 6E. ColemanM
  8. 3Conor McManusM
  9. 24H. WaldockF
  10. 10Ronan HaleF
  11. 11L. SillahF

Substitutes

  1. 12G. McClearyM
  2. 8A. LittleM
  3. 39T. EavesF
  4. 23B. DackM
  5. 18S. KendallM
  6. 20J. DaleyD
  7. 40R. LuthraG

Coach: G. Ainsworth

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.07
0.5 goalsOver92.1%Under7.9%
1.5 goalsOver72.1%Under27.9%
2.5 goalsOver46.6%Under53.4%
3.5 goalsOver25.1%Under74.9%
4.5 goalsOver11.4%Under88.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ShrewsburyGillingham
86%Form14%
67%Attack33%
67%Defence33%
50%Head to head50%
58%Expected goals42%
63%Overall37%

Last matches

Newest first
Shrewsbury2W 0D 0L · last 2
WCrawley Town vs Shrewsbury20 Oct 2026 · League Two2-3WShrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers17 Oct 2026 · League Two1-0
Gillingham0W 1D 1L · last 2
DGillingham vs Port Vale20 Oct 2026 · League Two1-1LAccrington ST vs Gillingham17 Oct 2026 · League Two3-1

League Two table

League Two table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
11Tranmere14+219
12Exeter City14+219
13Swindon Town14-219
14Newport County14+318
15Shrewsbury14-518
16Fleetwood Town14017
17Bristol Rovers14-616
18Port Vale12-415
19Rochdale14-915
20Northampton12014
21Oldham13-512
22Rotherham14-712
23Colchester13-712
24Crawley Town12-89
See full table ›

Top scorers

League Two top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. TshimangaBarnet1210
2A. DrinanSwindon Town138
3C. McCannCheltenham128
4A. PressleyWalsall118
5P. MullinRotherham138

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatShrewsburyGillingham
Played22
Wins20
Draws01
Losses01
Goals for (avg)21
Goals against (avg)12
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak20

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/22/2
Over 2.51/21/2
Over 3.51/21/2
BTTS – yes1/22/2

Match preview

Shrewsbury host Gillingham in the League Two (Regular Season - 14) at New Meadow, Shrewsbury, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Shrewsbury slight favourites, giving Shrewsbury a 46% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 27% for Gillingham. Our tip is: Shrewsbury or draw.

Shrewsbury have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L). Gillingham have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League Two
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
New Meadow, Shrewsbury

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?

Shrewsbury vs Gillingham kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Shrewsbury vs Gillingham in?

The match is in the England League Two.

Where are Shrewsbury and Gillingham in the table?

Shrewsbury are 15th and Gillingham are 8th in the League Two.

Who will win Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?

Our prediction is Shrewsbury or draw. Win probabilities: Shrewsbury 46%, draw 27%, Gillingham 27%.

Will both teams score in Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?

We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?

We estimate a 47% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League Two on Sat 31 Oct

FTPort Vale 4-2 Rochdale1X ✓FTGrimsby 5-2 YorkOver 1.5 ✓FTOldham 0-1 Crawley Town1 ✗FTCrewe 1-1 BarnetX2 ✓FTColchester 1-3 WalsallOver 1.5 ✓FTFleetwood Town 3-1 Bristol RoversOver 1.5 ✓FTTranmere 3-1 CheltenhamOver 1.5 ✓FTSwindon Town 2-1 RotherhamOver 1.5 ✓FTAccrington ST 1-1 Northampton1X ✓FTSalford City 2-1 Exeter CityOver 1.5 ✓

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