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Swindon Town vs Rotherham prediction

Swindon Town vs Rotherham prediction for the League Two on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
League Two · Regular Season - 14
Swindon TownRotherham
2 - 1Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 1-0
County Ground, Swindon

Match events

Swindon TownRotherham
  1. 4'Red card: Jili BuyabuViolent Conduct
  2. Substitution: James BallOff: Joseph Hungbo42'
  3. Goal: Jack ThomsonAssist: Dan Butler45+3'

HT 1-0

  1. 55'Substitution: brandon coverOff: Sonny Aljofree
  2. 55'Substitution: Aaron NemaneOff: George Sebine
  3. 55'Substitution: Joe RaffertyOff: Brandon Williams
  4. Substitution: Tom NicholsOff: Ollie Palmer60'
  5. 72'Yellow card: Kieran NgwenyaFoul
  6. Substitution: Dan ButlerOff: Joel McGregor75'
  7. 76'Substitution: Paul MullinOff: Tom Bradshaw
  8. 76'Substitution: Josh AusterfieldOff: K. Lolas
  9. Substitution: Joe SnowdonOff: James Debayo76'
  10. 79'Red card: Dominic Iorfa
  11. 80'Red card: A. BruceAbusive Language
  12. Goal: Joseph Hungbo81'
  13. 87'Goal: Denzel Hall
  14. 90+5'Yellow card: Denzel HallFoul

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

79%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Swindon Town43%
Fair odds 2.33
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Rotherham31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 74%Possession26%
  • 1.20Expected goals (xG)0.42
  • 15Total shots3
  • 4Shots on target2
  • 10Shots off target1
  • 1Blocked shots0
  • 7Shots inside the box2
  • 7Corners0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 10Fouls10
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards2
  • 1Goalkeeper saves2
  • 562Passes206
  • 450Accurate passes99

Line-ups

Swindon Town

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1C. RipleyG
  2. 6J. BallD
  3. 5S. NegruD
  4. 34B. KirkmanD
  5. 2M. ClarkM
  6. 25J. ThomsonM
  7. 24M. Virtue-ThickM
  8. 26D. ButlerM
  9. 7T. NicholsM
  10. 19J. SnowdonM
  11. 23A. DrinanF

Substitutes

  1. 18J. DebayoD
  2. 15J. HungboF
  3. 33Joel McGregorD
  4. 39L. MillardF
  5. 21K. MajekodunmiD
  6. 28O. PalmerF
  7. 12Lewis Moore WardG

Coach: Ian Holloway

Rotherham

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 13J. EyestoneG
  2. 2J. RaffertyD
  3. 12D. HallD
  4. 27D. IorfaD
  5. 5K. NgwenyaD
  6. 28Brandon Ashley CoverM
  7. 15Jayce FitzgeraldM
  8. 4J. AusterfieldM
  9. 23A. NemaneF
  10. 10P. MullinF
  11. 24J. BuyabuF

Substitutes

  1. 33B. WilliamsD
  2. 19George SebineF
  3. 20K. LolasM
  4. 1T. CannG
  5. 9T. BradshawF
  6. 14Sonny AljofreeD
  7. 18L. AgbaireD

Coach: A. Bruce

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.29
0.5 goalsOver94.3%Under5.7%
1.5 goalsOver77.9%Under22.1%
2.5 goalsOver54.5%Under45.5%
3.5 goalsOver32.1%Under67.9%
4.5 goalsOver16.2%Under83.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Swindon TownRotherham
80%Form20%
67%Attack33%
67%Defence33%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
Swindon Town1W 1D 0L · last 2
WBarnet vs Swindon Town20 Oct 2026 · League Two1-3DSwindon Town vs Walsall17 Oct 2026 · League Two1-1
Rotherham0W 1D 1L · last 2
DRotherham vs Newport County20 Oct 2026 · League Two2-2LFleetwood Town vs Rotherham17 Oct 2026 · League Two2-0

League Two table

League Two table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
11Tranmere14+219
12Exeter City14+219
13Swindon Town14-219
14Newport County14+318
15Shrewsbury14-518
16Fleetwood Town14017
17Bristol Rovers14-616
18Port Vale12-415
19Rochdale14-915
20Northampton12014
21Oldham13-512
22Rotherham14-712
23Colchester13-712
24Crawley Town12-89
See full table ›

Top scorers

League Two top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. TshimangaBarnet1310
2C. McCannCheltenham139
3A. PressleyWalsall129
4A. DrinanSwindon Town148
5P. MullinRotherham148

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSwindon TownRotherham
Played22
Wins10
Draws11
Losses01
Goals for (avg)21
Goals against (avg)12
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.51/21/2
Over 3.51/21/2
BTTS – yes2/21/2

Match preview

Swindon Town host Rotherham in the League Two (Regular Season - 14) at County Ground, Swindon, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Swindon Town slight favourites, giving Swindon Town a 43% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 31% for Rotherham. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Swindon Town have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L). Rotherham have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League Two
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
County Ground, Swindon

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Swindon Town vs Rotherham?

Swindon Town vs Rotherham kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Swindon Town vs Rotherham in?

The match is in the England League Two.

Where are Swindon Town and Rotherham in the table?

Swindon Town are 13th and Rotherham are 22nd in the League Two.

Who will win Swindon Town vs Rotherham?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Swindon Town 43%, draw 26%, Rotherham 31%.

Will both teams score in Swindon Town vs Rotherham?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Swindon Town vs Rotherham?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League Two on Sat 31 Oct

FTPort Vale 4-2 Rochdale1X ✓FTGrimsby 5-2 YorkOver 1.5 ✓FTOldham 0-1 Crawley Town1 ✗FTShrewsbury 1-2 Gillingham1X ✗FTCrewe 1-1 BarnetX2 ✓FTColchester 1-3 WalsallOver 1.5 ✓FTFleetwood Town 3-1 Bristol RoversOver 1.5 ✓FTTranmere 3-1 CheltenhamOver 1.5 ✓FTAccrington ST 1-1 Northampton1X ✓FTSalford City 2-1 Exeter CityOver 1.5 ✓

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