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Accrington ST vs Northampton prediction

Accrington ST vs Northampton prediction for the League Two on 31 Oct 2026: Accrington ST or draw (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
League Two · Regular Season - 14
Accrington STNorthampton
1 - 1Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 1-0
The Crown Ground, Accrington

Match events

Accrington STNorthampton
  1. Goal: Charlie WarrenAssist: Tyler Walton5'
  2. 45'Substitution: Sam HoskinsOff: Tyrese Fornah
  3. 45'Substitution: James MaxwellOff: josh powell

HT 1-0

  1. 46'Yellow card: M. WarhurstFoul
  2. 66'Yellow card: Elliott MooreFoul
  3. Substitution: Farrend RawsonOff: Tom William Moore67'
  4. Yellow card: Stefan MolsDissent75'
  5. 75'Substitution: Owen DaleOff: Elliott List
  6. 76'Substitution: Connor Lemonheigh-EvansOff: Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh
  7. Substitution: Charlie WarrenOff: Conor Grant76'
  8. Substitution: Shaun WhalleyOff: Stefan Mols76'
  9. 90+2'Goal: Elliott ListAssist: Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh

Our verdict

1X ✓

Accrington ST or draw

Bet365 1.30

73%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · Accrington ST44%
Fair odds 2.27
X · Draw29%
Fair odds 3.45
2 · Northampton27%
Fair odds 3.70

Match statistics

  • 51%Possession49%
  • 1.16Expected goals (xG)0.47
  • 17Total shots6
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 5Shots off target1
  • 8Blocked shots2
  • 12Shots inside the box5
  • 4Corners6
  • 2Offsides1
  • 14Fouls14
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 326Passes316
  • 198Accurate passes203

Line-ups

Accrington ST

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 1L. MouldenG
  2. 17D. MatthewsD
  3. 5F. RawsonD
  4. 22J. AndersonD
  5. 2D. LoveM
  6. 16Aidan BorlandM
  7. 14Stefan MolsM
  8. 33D. TutondaM
  9. 10Alex HendersonM
  10. 23T. WaltonF
  11. 30C. WarrenF

Substitutes

  1. 20C. BrownF
  2. 8C. GrantM
  3. 21J. RogersonG
  4. 25J. SmithD
  5. 4T. MooreD
  6. 3Oliver SmithD
  7. 7S. WhalleyF

Coach: J. Doolan

Northampton

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Z. JeacockG
  2. 44J. DonacienD
  3. 6E. MooreD
  4. 5J. GuthrieD
  5. 3J. MaxwellD
  6. 16J. WormleightonM
  7. 24C. Lemonheigh-EvansM
  8. 8L. EvansM
  9. 19O. DaleM
  10. 9Matthew WarhurstF
  11. 7S. HoskinsF

Substitutes

  1. 14T. FornahM
  2. 10E. ListF
  3. 4J. O'Brien-WhitmarshM
  4. 22Joshua Alan PowellD
  5. 20L. BriggsM
  6. 31J. DadgeG
  7. 35M. DycheD

Coach: C. Hogg

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.37 – 1.01
0.5 goalsOver90.7%Under9.3%
1.5 goalsOver68.7%Under31.3%
2.5 goalsOver42.5%Under57.5%
3.5 goalsOver21.7%Under78.3%
4.5 goalsOver9.3%Under90.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Accrington STNorthampton
57%Form43%
67%Attack33%
33%Defence67%
50%Head to head50%
58%Expected goals42%
62%Overall38%

Last matches

Newest first
Accrington ST1W 1D 0L · last 2
DYork vs Accrington ST20 Oct 2026 · League Two1-1WAccrington ST vs Gillingham17 Oct 2026 · League Two3-1
Northampton1W 0D 1L · last 2
LNorthampton vs Tranmere20 Oct 2026 · League Two0-1WGrimsby vs Northampton17 Oct 2026 · League Two0-2

League Two table

League Two table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
11Tranmere14+219
12Exeter City14+219
13Swindon Town14-219
14Newport County14+318
15Shrewsbury14-518
16Fleetwood Town14017
17Bristol Rovers14-616
18Port Vale12-415
19Rochdale14-915
20Northampton12014
21Oldham13-512
22Rotherham14-712
23Colchester13-712
24Crawley Town12-89
See full table ›

Top scorers

League Two top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1K. TshimangaBarnet1310
2C. McCannCheltenham139
3A. PressleyWalsall129
4A. DrinanSwindon Town148
5P. MullinRotherham148

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAccrington STNorthampton
Played22
Wins11
Draws10
Losses01
Goals for (avg)21
Goals against (avg)10.5
Clean sheets01
Failed to score01
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/21/2
Over 2.51/20/2
Over 3.51/20/2
BTTS – yes2/20/2

Match preview

Accrington ST host Northampton in the League Two (Regular Season - 14) at The Crown Ground, Accrington, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Accrington ST slight favourites, giving Accrington ST a 44% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 27% for Northampton. Our tip is: Accrington ST or draw.

Accrington ST have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L). Northampton have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League Two
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
The Crown Ground, Accrington

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Accrington ST vs Northampton?

Accrington ST vs Northampton kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Accrington ST vs Northampton in?

The match is in the England League Two.

Where are Accrington ST and Northampton in the table?

Accrington ST are 9th and Northampton are 20th in the League Two.

Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?

Our prediction is Accrington ST or draw. Win probabilities: Accrington ST 44%, draw 29%, Northampton 27%.

Will both teams score in Accrington ST vs Northampton?

We estimate a 48% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Accrington ST vs Northampton?

We estimate a 43% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League Two on Sat 31 Oct

FTPort Vale 4-2 Rochdale1X ✓FTGrimsby 5-2 YorkOver 1.5 ✓FTOldham 0-1 Crawley Town1 ✗FTShrewsbury 1-2 Gillingham1X ✗FTCrewe 1-1 BarnetX2 ✓FTColchester 1-3 WalsallOver 1.5 ✓FTFleetwood Town 3-1 Bristol RoversOver 1.5 ✓FTTranmere 3-1 CheltenhamOver 1.5 ✓FTSwindon Town 2-1 RotherhamOver 1.5 ✓FTSalford City 2-1 Exeter CityOver 1.5 ✓

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