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NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction

NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction for the Eredivisie on 25 Oct 2026: NEC Nijmegen or draw (63%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10
NEC NijmegenGroningen
2 - 2Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-2
Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen

Match events

NEC NijmegenGroningen
  1. 11'Goal: Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonAssist: Marco Rente
  2. 34'Goal: Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonAssist: Thom Van Bergen
  3. 42'Yellow card: Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonFoul
  4. Substitution: Perr SchuursOff: Tobias Storm45'

HT 0-2

  1. Substitution: Ahmetcan KaplanOff: Kaj Sierhuis56'
  2. Substitution: Mitchel BakkerOff: Deveron Fonville56'
  3. 56'Yellow card: David van der WerffTime Wasting
  4. Goal: Clement BischoffAssist: Darko Nejašmić57'
  5. VAR: Clement BischoffGoal confirmedVAR58'
  6. Substitution: Adam TahauiOff: Kevin Kers68'
  7. Goal: Noe Lebreton71'
  8. 72'Substitution: Mark CsingerOff: Wouter Prins
  9. 73'Substitution: Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonOff: Nils Eggens
  10. 73'Substitution: Tika de JongeOff: Tygo Land
  11. 77'Substitution: David van der WerffOff: Travis Hernes
  12. 79'Yellow card: Hans HateboerFoul

Our verdict

1X ✓

NEC Nijmegen or draw

Bet365 1.40

63%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-2

Expected goals3.4

Win probability

1 · NEC Nijmegen40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Groningen37%
Fair odds 2.70

Match statistics

  • 59%Possession41%
  • 1.88Expected goals (xG)1.51
  • 22Total shots9
  • 9Shots on target3
  • 7Shots off target5
  • 6Blocked shots1
  • 16Shots inside the box5
  • 11Corners2
  • 2Offsides3
  • 9Fouls13
  • 0Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves6
  • 471Passes338
  • 395Accurate passes259

Line-ups

NEC Nijmegen

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1G. CrettazG
  2. 4P. SchuursD
  3. 22A. KaplanD
  4. 24Deveron FonvilleD
  5. 34Kevin KersM
  6. 6D. NejašmićM
  7. 35Jamiro MonteiroM
  8. 99Clement BischoffM
  9. 9T. CheryM
  10. 20N. LebretonM
  11. 30B. LinssenF

Substitutes

  1. 11W. WillumssonM
  2. 36Freek EntiusG
  3. 73Gabriel BrásD
  4. 5M. BakkerD
  5. 18D. GeigerM
  6. 8I. Hansen-AarøenM
  7. 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
  8. 12N. PolsterG
  9. 14K. SierhuisF
  10. 21T. StormD
  11. 19Adam TahauiF

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Groningen

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1E. VaessenG
  2. 33H. HateboerD
  3. 3T. BlokzijlD
  4. 5M. RenteD
  5. 4M. CsingerD
  6. 8T. de JongeM
  7. 24P. ClementM
  8. 14J. SchreudersM
  9. 26T. van BergenM
  10. 17D. van der WerffM
  11. 9B. WillumssonF

Substitutes

  1. 44Besnik MashukuM
  2. 20Nils EggensF
  3. 7T. HernesM
  4. 18T. LandM
  5. 42J. MosselaarD
  6. 16A. NordinM
  7. 11J. OndrejkaF
  8. 2Wouter PrinsD
  9. 13L. ŠtubljarG
  10. 19O. ZawadaF
  11. 30P. BoevinkG
  12. 12M. BrandisD

Coach: D. Lukkien

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.67
0.5 goalsOver96.7%Under3.3%
1.5 goalsOver85.5%Under14.5%
2.5 goalsOver66.4%Under33.6%
3.5 goalsOver44.6%Under55.4%
4.5 goalsOver26.0%Under74.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

NEC NijmegenGroningen
100%Form0%
53%Attack47%
75%Defence25%
50%Head to head50%
51%Expected goals49%
52%Overall48%

Last matches

Newest first
NEC Nijmegen1W 2D 0L · last 3
WDinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen22 Oct 2026 · Europa League2-4DNEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard18 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-2DNEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia15 Oct 2026 · Europa League1-1
Groningen0W 0D 1L · last 1
LGroningen vs Ajax18 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-5

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
11Sparta Rotterdam11-612
12Utrecht11-1212
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14PEC Zwolle11-1111
15Excelsior11-1211
16Telstar11-79
17ADO Den Haag11-116
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles118
2B. WillumssonGroningen118
3W. WeghorstTwente118
4M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam117
5G. TilPSV Eindhoven117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNEC NijmegenGroningen
Played31
Wins10
Draws20
Losses01
Goals for (avg)2.32
Goals against (avg)1.75
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.53/31/1
Over 2.52/31/1
Over 3.52/31/1
BTTS – yes3/31/1

Match preview

NEC Nijmegen host Groningen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) at Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes NEC Nijmegen slight favourites, giving NEC Nijmegen a 40% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 37% for Groningen. Our tip is: NEC Nijmegen or draw.

NEC Nijmegen have taken 5 points from their last 3 games (1W 2D 0L). Groningen have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 and a 68% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 14:30 WAT
Venue
Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?

NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are NEC Nijmegen and Groningen in the table?

NEC Nijmegen are 13th and Groningen are 8th in the Eredivisie.

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?

Our prediction is NEC Nijmegen or draw. Win probabilities: NEC Nijmegen 40%, draw 23%, Groningen 37%.

Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?

We estimate a 68% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?

We estimate a 66% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sun 25 Oct

FTFortuna Sittard 1-0 Excelsior1X ✓FTPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Feyenoord1X ✓FTSparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax2 ✓FTAZ Alkmaar 0-2 Twente1X ✗

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