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Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction for the Eredivisie on 25 Oct 2026: Fortuna Sittard or draw (64%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10
Fortuna SittardExcelsior
1 - 0Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sitard

Match events

Fortuna SittardExcelsior
  1. Yellow card: Sven SimonsFoul41'
  2. 45'Substitution: Noah NaujoksOff: Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
  3. Substitution: Sven SimonsOff: Ole Romeny45'

HT 0-0

  1. 56'Substitution: Nesto groenOff: David Garden
  2. Yellow card: Shiloh 't ZandFoul58'
  3. Substitution: Nick de GrootOff: Jasper Dahlhaus66'
  4. Substitution: Kristoffer PetersonOff: Daley Sinkgraven66'
  5. 68'Yellow card: Irakli YegoianFoul
  6. 76'Substitution: Aymen slitiOff: Alireza Jahanbakhsh
  7. 76'Substitution: Kasey BosOff: Simon Janssen
  8. Substitution: Philip BrittijnOff: Mohammed Ihattaren82'
  9. Substitution: Edouard MichutOff: Iván Márquez86'
  10. Goal: Rodrigo GuthAssist: Mohammed Ihattaren90+1'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Fortuna Sittard or draw

Bet365 1.40

64%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Fortuna Sittard40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Excelsior36%
Fair odds 2.78

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 0.45Expected goals (xG)0.41
  • 7Total shots6
  • 5Shots on target2
  • 2Shots off target3
  • 0Blocked shots1
  • 5Shots inside the box6
  • 7Corners4
  • 2Offsides2
  • 13Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves3
  • 389Passes535
  • 308Accurate passes453

Line-ups

Fortuna Sittard

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 31M. BranderhorstG
  2. 12Ivo PintoD
  3. 3Rodrigo GuthD
  4. 28Justin Quincy HubnerD
  5. 15N. de GrootD
  6. 23P. BrittijnM
  7. 6S. van OtteleM
  8. 20É. MichutM
  9. 7K. PetersonF
  10. 14S. SimonsF
  11. 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t ZandF

Substitutes

  1. 1L. KoopmansG
  2. 52M. IhattarenM
  3. 8J. DahlhausD
  4. 39Ganni BuyukhanM
  5. 4Iván MárquezD
  6. 5Y. OukiliM
  7. 33K. ReitmaierG
  8. 24D. SinkgravenD
  9. 2S. WylinD
  10. 10O. RomenyF

Coach: D. Buijs

Excelsior

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1S. van GasselG
  2. 3R. MeissenD
  3. 4C. WidellD
  4. 14J. PlugD
  5. 12K. BosD
  6. 10N. NaujoksM
  7. 20L. HartjesM
  8. 6D. van VianenM
  9. 7A. SlitiF
  10. 28N. GroenF
  11. 8I. YegoianF

Substitutes

  1. 16Celton BiaiG
  2. 24Giulliano CairoM
  3. 2Eric Emanuel da Silva MoreiraF
  4. 9Mario DomínguezF
  5. 11A. JahanbakhshF
  6. 15S. JanssenD
  7. 21I. Silva TimasF
  8. 18V. SulzbacherM
  9. 30Á. ÞorsteinssonM
  10. 19D. GardenF
  11. 34Quinten KraaivangerM

Coach: R. den Uil

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.52
0.5 goalsOver95.6%Under4.4%
1.5 goalsOver81.9%Under18.1%
2.5 goalsOver60.5%Under39.5%
3.5 goalsOver38.2%Under61.8%
4.5 goalsOver20.7%Under79.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Fortuna SittardExcelsior
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
67%Defence33%
50%Head to head50%
51%Expected goals49%
53%Overall47%

Last matches

Newest first
Fortuna Sittard0W 1D 0L · last 1
DNEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard18 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-2
Excelsior0W 0D 1L · last 1
LHeerenveen vs Excelsior16 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie4-0

Eredivisie table

Eredivisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
11Sparta Rotterdam11-612
12Utrecht11-1212
13NEC Nijmegen11-211
14PEC Zwolle11-1111
15Excelsior11-1211
16Telstar11-79
17ADO Den Haag11-116
18Willem II11-292
See full table ›

Top scorers

Eredivisie top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles118
2B. WillumssonGroningen118
3W. WeghorstTwente118
4M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam117
5G. TilPSV Eindhoven117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatFortuna SittardExcelsior
Played11
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01
Goals for (avg)20
Goals against (avg)24
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.51/11/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

Fortuna Sittard host Excelsior in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sitard, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 12:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Fortuna Sittard slight favourites, giving Fortuna Sittard a 40% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 36% for Excelsior. Our tip is: Fortuna Sittard or draw.

Fortuna Sittard have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Excelsior have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eredivisie
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 12:15 WAT
Venue
Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sitard

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 12:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eredivisie.

Where are Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior in the table?

Fortuna Sittard are 6th and Excelsior are 15th in the Eredivisie.

Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

Our prediction is Fortuna Sittard or draw. Win probabilities: Fortuna Sittard 40%, draw 24%, Excelsior 36%.

Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eredivisie on Sun 25 Oct

FTPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Feyenoord1X ✓FTNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Groningen1X ✓FTSparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax2 ✓FTAZ Alkmaar 0-2 Twente1X ✗

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