J1 League · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Cerezo Osaka- Goal: Katsuhiro NakayamaAssist: Takuya Uchida3'
- 26'Yellow card: Dion CoolsFoul
HT 1-0
- Yellow card: Yota SatoFoul46'
- 49'Yellow card: Shinji KagawaFoul
- Substitution: Tsukasa MorishimaOff: Hidemasa Koda59'
- Substitution: Katsuhiro NakayamaOff: Tomoya Koyamatsu60'
- Substitution: Kensuke NagaiOff: Yuya Yamagishi60'
- 62'Goal: Pablo SabbagAssist: Lucas Fernandes
- 66'Yellow card: Lucas FernandesFoul
- 69'Substitution: Yota KomiOff: Satoki Uejo
- Substitution: Takuya UchidaOff: Masahito Ono70'
- 81'Substitution: Pablo SabbagOff: Solomon Sakuragawa
- 90'Substitution: Reiya SakataOff: Lucas Fernandes
- 90+4'Yellow card: Hayato OkudaFoul
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.20
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 59%Possession41%
- 0.88Expected goals (xG)0.67
- 13Total shots8
- 3Shots on target3
- 7Shots off target3
- 3Blocked shots2
- 8Shots inside the box6
- 2Corners1
- 4Offsides2
- 13Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves2
- 599Passes422
- 516Accurate passes327
Line-ups
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1D. SchmidtG
- 70T. HaraD
- 3Y. SatoD
- 31T. TakamineD
- 7R. IzumiM
- 15S. InagakiM
- 14T. MorishimaM
- 27K. NakayamaM
- 17T. UchidaM
- 22Y. KimuraM
- 18K. NagaiF
Substitutes
- 33T. KikuchiM
- 19H. KodaM
- 58T. KoyamatsuM
- 2Y. NogamiD
- 41M. OnoM
- 35A. PisanoG
- 30S. SugiuraF
- 55S. TokumotoD
- 11Y. YamagishiF
Coach: Michael Petrovic
Cerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23Kosuke NakamuraG
- 27Dion-Johan CoolsD
- 97T. TakahashiD
- 4R. InoueD
- 16H. OkudaM
- 10S. TanakaM
- 8S. KagawaM
- 15Javi HernándezM
- 77Lucas FernandesM
- 41Y. KomiM
- 19P. SabbagF
Substitutes
- 9S. SakuragawaF
- 7S. UejoM
- 14Y. YokoyamaM
- 17R. SakataM
- 28K. OkazawaM
- 6K. NoborizatoD
- 2T. NakamuraD
- 45K. NagasoeF
- 31K. AbeG
Coach: Pablo Machín
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.32Half time / full time result. 1 = Nagoya Grampus, X = draw, 2 = Cerezo Osaka.
Asian handicap applied to Nagoya Grampus.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstNagoya Grampus1W 0D 0L · last 1Cerezo Osaka0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +22 | 29 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 28 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 | WDLWL |
| 6 | Kashima | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 8 | Urawa | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 21 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 16 | LLWLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 14 | LDDWW |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 14 | LLLDW |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 | WDDLL |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Léo CearáKashima | 10 | 12 |
| 2 |  MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 |
| 4 |  M. NagakuraFC Tokyo | 12 | 7 |
| 5 |  Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol | 12 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 0 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 3 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/0 |
Match preview
Nagoya Grampus host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) at Toyota Stadium, Toyota, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Nagoya Grampus slight favourites, giving Nagoya Grampus a 43% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 31% for Cerezo Osaka. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Nagoya Grampus have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Japan J1 League
- Date
- Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
- Venue
- Toyota Stadium, Toyota
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka?
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka in?
The match is in the Japan J1 League.
Where are Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka in the table?
Nagoya Grampus are 11th and Cerezo Osaka are 12th in the J1 League.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Nagoya Grampus 43%, draw 26%, Cerezo Osaka 31%.
Will both teams score in Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka?
We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka?
We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.