J1 League · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Mito HollyhockHT 0-0
- Goal: Ataru EsakaAssist: Lucas Marcos Meireles52'
- 57'Substitution: Jin OkumuraOff: Hayata Yamamoto
- 57'Substitution: Ryo NemotoOff: Keisuke Tada
- Yellow card: Haruka MotoyamaFoul59'
- Goal: Ataru Esaka65'
- Substitution: Ataru EsakaOff: Kamiya Yuta66'
- Substitution: Masaya MatsumotoOff: Kosuke Shirai66'
- 68'Substitution: Chihiro KatoOff: Patryck Ferreira
- 68'Substitution: Kaito TaniguchiOff: Motoki Nishihara
- Substitution: Yota FujiiOff: Na Sang-Ho78'
- Substitution: Towa YamaneOff: Soichiro Mori78'
- 82'Substitution: Yu FunabashiOff: Rei Ieizumi
- Substitution: Lucas Marcos MeirelesOff: Kota Kawano90'
Our verdict
Under 3.5
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 42%Possession58%
- 1.11Expected goals (xG)0.31
- 13Total shots7
- 5Shots on target3
- 5Shots off target2
- 3Blocked shots2
- 8Shots inside the box3
- 4Corners2
- 5Offsides1
- 10Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves4
- 362Passes521
- 267Accurate passes410
Line-ups
Fagiano Okayama
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1L. MoserG
- 26H. MotoyamaD
- 48Y. TatsutaD
- 43Y. SuzukiD
- 28M. MatsumotoM
- 41E. MiyamotoM
- 80OberdanM
- 88T. YamaneM
- 10Na Sang-HoM
- 8A. EsakaM
- 99LucãoF
Substitutes
- 55Y. FujiiD
- 52T. HamadaG
- 33Y. KamiyaM
- 20K. KawanoF
- 9Léo GaúchoF
- 44S. MoriD
- 19R. SatoF
- 51K. ShiraiD
- 7R. TakeuchiM
Coach: T. Kiyama
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2Starting XI
- 27J. SłowikG
- 25T. MaseD
- 15Y. KimotoD
- 17K. ItakuraD
- 16Y. TamuraD
- 30J. OkumuraM
- 38Leonardo HugoM
- 20Y. FunabashiM
- 22K. TaniguchiM
- 9R. NemotoF
- 8C. KatoF
Substitutes
- 2M. FofanaD
- 50R. IeizumiD
- 44M. NishiharaM
- 34K. NishikawaG
- 3K. OsakiM
- 33Patryck FerreiraF
- 29K. TadaF
- 39H. YamamotoM
- 24K. YamazakiM
Coach: D. Kimori
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.56 – 0.96Half time / full time result. 1 = Fagiano Okayama, X = draw, 2 = Mito Hollyhock.
Asian handicap applied to Fagiano Okayama.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstFagiano Okayama0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Mito Hollyhock0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Léo CearáKashima | 10 | 12 |
| 2 |  MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 |
| 4 |  M. NagakuraFC Tokyo | 12 | 7 |
| 5 |  Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol | 12 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Fagiano Okayama | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Fagiano Okayama host Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) at JFE Harenokuni Stadium, Okayama, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Fagiano Okayama favourites, giving Fagiano Okayama a 51% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 22% for Mito Hollyhock. Our tip is: Under 3.5.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Japan J1 League
- Date
- Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
- Venue
- JFE Harenokuni Stadium, Okayama
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock in?
The match is in the Japan J1 League.
Where are Fagiano Okayama and Mito Hollyhock in the table?
Fagiano Okayama are 10th and Mito Hollyhock are 17th in the J1 League.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Fagiano Okayama 51%, draw 27%, Mito Hollyhock 22%.
Will both teams score in Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
We estimate a 46% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.