J1 League · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Gamba Osaka- Yellow card: Yuma TsujiokaFoul27'
- Yellow card: Kokoro MaedaFoul44'
HT 0-0
- Yellow card: Masato YuzawaFoul46'
- 50'Goal: WeltonAssist: Ryoya Yamashita
- Substitution: Yuji KitajimaOff: Shohei Takemoto63'
- Substitution: Masato YuzawaOff: Yu Hashimoto63'
- 72'Substitution: Yusei ToshidaOff: Issam Jebali
- Goal: Yu Hashimoto75'
- Substitution: Masato ShigemiOff: Werik Popo75'
- 77'Goal: Takashi UsamiAssist: Issam Jebali
- 79'Substitution: WeltonOff: Takeru Kishimoto
- 84'Substitution: Takashi UsamiOff: Shogo Sasaki
- 84'Substitution: Soya FujiwaraOff: Ryotaro Meshino
- 87'Yellow card: Rin MitoFoul
- Substitution: Yuma TsujiokaOff: Daiki Miya90+1'
- Substitution: Yota MaejimaOff: Shintaro Nago90+2'
Our verdict
Under 3.5
Bet365 1.30
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2
Win probability
Match statistics
- 49%Possession51%
- 0.75Expected goals (xG)0.60
- 14Total shots7
- 3Shots on target3
- 5Shots off target4
- 6Blocked shots0
- 6Shots inside the box4
- 3Corners6
- 0Offsides3
- 12Fouls14
- 3Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves2
- 413Passes435
- 334Accurate passes351
Line-ups
Avispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 24Y. ObataG
- 16T. OkaD
- 5T. KamijimaD
- 15Y. TsujiokaD
- 2M. YuzawaM
- 55K. MaedaM
- 11T. MikiM
- 29Y. MaejimaM
- 6M. ShigemiM
- 25Y. KitajimaM
- 13S. MorookaF
Substitutes
- 47Y. HashimotoD
- 38D. MiyaD
- 1T. NagaishiG
- 14S. NagoM
- 34K. ShiihashiM
- 52Shohei TakemotoM
- 37M. TashiroD
- 9Werik PopóF
- 33K. YamawakiD
Coach: S. Tsukahara
Gamba Osaka
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22J. IchimoriG
- 28S. FujiwaraD
- 4S. NakataniD
- 2S. FukuokaD
- 21R. HatsuseD
- 27R. MitoM
- 13S. AbeM
- 17R. YamashitaM
- 7T. UsamiM
- 97Welton FelipeM
- 41Y. ToshidaF
Substitutes
- 16T. SuzukiM
- 67S. SasakiD
- 24T. OgashiwaF
- 47S. NakanoD
- 8R. MeshinoF
- 15T. KishimotoD
- 11I. JebaliF
- 1M. HigashiguchiG
- 20E. AdamsM
Coach: Tomokazu Myojin
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.24Half time / full time result. 1 = Avispa Fukuoka, X = draw, 2 = Gamba Osaka.
Asian handicap applied to Avispa Fukuoka.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstAvispa Fukuoka0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Gamba Osaka0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Léo CearáKashima | 10 | 12 |
| 2 |  MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 |
| 4 |  M. NagakuraFC Tokyo | 12 | 7 |
| 5 |  Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol | 12 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Avispa Fukuoka | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Avispa Fukuoka host Gamba Osaka in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) at Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Avispa Fukuoka narrow favourites, giving Avispa Fukuoka a 38% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 34% for Gamba Osaka. Our tip is: Under 3.5.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Japan J1 League
- Date
- Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
- Venue
- Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka in?
The match is in the Japan J1 League.
Where are Avispa Fukuoka and Gamba Osaka in the table?
Avispa Fukuoka are 19th and Gamba Osaka are 15th in the J1 League.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
Our prediction is Under 3.5. Win probabilities: Avispa Fukuoka 38%, draw 28%, Gamba Osaka 34%.
Will both teams score in Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.