J1 League · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Kashiwa Reysol- Yellow card: Hayato InamuraFoul12'
- 44'Yellow card: Yudai KonishiFoul
- 45'Substitution: Koya YurukiOff: Keita Endo
- 45'Substitution: Hinata YamauchiOff: Yoshio Koizumi
- 45'Substitution: Sachiro ToshimaOff: Wataru Harada
HT 0-0
- Substitution: Kashif BangnagandeOff: Kota Tawaratsumida62'
- 65'Substitution: Shota FujioOff: Yusuke Segawa
- Substitution: MarceloOff: Teruhito Nakagawa72'
- Substitution: Kein SatoOff: Fuki Yamada72'
- Yellow card: Hirokazu IshiharaFoul75'
- 78'Substitution: Tojiro KuboOff: Mao Hosoya
- 79'Yellow card: Yoshio KoizumiFoul
- Yellow card: Alexander ScholzFoul80'
- 85'Yellow card: Wataru HaradaFoul
- Substitution: Soma AnzaiOff: Rio Omori86'
- Substitution: Motoki NagakuraOff: Dani Gómez87'
- 90+4'Yellow card: Keita EndoFoul
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.22
✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 55%Possession45%
- 1.66Expected goals (xG)0.94
- 19Total shots11
- 3Shots on target3
- 11Shots off target4
- 5Blocked shots4
- 12Shots inside the box8
- 5Corners5
- 0Offsides1
- 8Fouls8
- 3Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves3
- 582Passes467
- 506Accurate passes392
Line-ups
FC Tokyo
4-4-2Starting XI
- 81Kim Seung-GyuG
- 22H. IshiharaD
- 24A. ScholzD
- 4H. InamuraD
- 6K. BangnagandeD
- 10K. SatoM
- 27Kyota TokiwaM
- 8T. KoM
- 7S. AnzaiM
- 9Marcelo RyanF
- 26M. NagakuraF
Substitutes
- 1H. TanakaG
- 44K. SuzukiD
- 99Dani GómezF
- 71F. YamadaM
- 33K. TawaratsumidaM
- 3M. MorishigeD
- 20S. NaganoD
- 39T. NakagawaF
- 15R. OmoriD
Coach: R. Matsuhashi
Kashiwa Reysol
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 29K. NagaiG
- 28S. ToshimaD
- 4T. KogaD
- 2H. MitsumaruD
- 24T. KuboM
- 21Y. KonishiM
- 39N. NakagawaM
- 44K. YubaM
- 87H. YamauchiM
- 16K. YurukiM
- 15S. FujioF
Substitutes
- 5K. EndoM
- 30Shusuke FuruyaM
- 42W. HaradaD
- 40R. HarakawaM
- 9M. HosoyaF
- 8Y. KoizumiM
- 1H. SarutaG
- 20Y. SegawaM
- 26D. SugiokaD
Coach: Ricardo Rodríguez
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.63 – 1.26Half time / full time result. 1 = FC Tokyo, X = draw, 2 = Kashiwa Reysol.
Asian handicap applied to FC Tokyo.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstFC Tokyo0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Kashiwa Reysol1W 0D 1L · last 2J1 League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +22 | 29 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 28 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 | WDLWL |
| 6 | Kashima | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 8 | Urawa | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 21 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 16 | LLWLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 14 | LDDWW |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 14 | LLLDW |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 | WDDLL |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Léo CearáKashima | 10 | 12 |
| 2 |  MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 |
| 4 |  M. NagakuraFC Tokyo | 12 | 7 |
| 5 |  Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol | 12 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | FC Tokyo | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 2 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/0 | 2/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/0 | 2/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/0 | 2/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/0 | 2/2 |
Match preview
FC Tokyo host Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) at Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes FC Tokyo slight favourites, giving FC Tokyo a 45% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 29% for Kashiwa Reysol. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Kashiwa Reysol have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Japan J1 League
- Date
- Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
- Venue
- Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol in?
The match is in the Japan J1 League.
Where are FC Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol in the table?
FC Tokyo are 1st and Kashiwa Reysol are 3rd in the J1 League.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: FC Tokyo 45%, draw 26%, Kashiwa Reysol 29%.
Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.