J1 League · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Machida Zelvia- Yellow card: Yuki HondaFoul17'
- Yellow card: Kai MatsuzakiFoul31'
- 35'Goal: Neta Lavi
HT 0-1
- 50'Goal: Koki OgawaAssist: Takahiro Akimoto
- Substitution: Kei KoizumiOff: Kenta Inoue57'
- Substitution: Tomoya FujiiOff: Capixaba57'
- 62'Goal: Takuma NishimuraAssist: Yuki Soma
- Red card: Kai Matsuzaki63'
- Substitution: Oh Se-hunOff: Ryo Germain69'
- 73'Substitution: Neta LaviOff: Ryohei Shirasaki
- 73'Substitution: Yuki SomaOff: Mitchell Duke
- 73'Substitution: Henry Heroki MochizukiOff: Hotaka Nakamura
- 77'Goal: Takuma NishimuraAssist: Gen Shoji
- Substitution: Hidehiro SugaiOff: Yutaka Yoshida79'
- Substitution: Masaki YumibaOff: Kazuki Kozuka79'
- 79'Substitution: Hiroyuki MaeOff: Hokuto Shimoda
- 82'Goal: Takuma Nishimura
- 86'Substitution: Takuma NishimuraOff: Futa Tokumura
Our verdict
Machida Zelvia or draw
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-5
Win probability
Match statistics
- 33%Possession67%
- 0.21Expected goals (xG)3.47
- 6Total shots24
- 2Shots on target12
- 3Shots off target8
- 1Blocked shots4
- 1Shots inside the box16
- 4Corners5
- 2Offsides1
- 18Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards0
- 1Red cards0
- 7Goalkeeper saves2
- 273Passes545
- 195Accurate passes482
Line-ups
Shimizu S-pulse
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 16T. UmedaG
- 24H. SugaiD
- 4S. HasukawaD
- 15Y. HondaD
- 25Mateus BrunettiD
- 17M. YumibaM
- 21K. MatsuzakiM
- 37K. KoizumiM
- 47Y. ShimamotoM
- 7CapixabaM
- 9Oh Se-HunF
Substitutes
- 13R. GermainF
- 50T. FujiiM
- 8K. InoueM
- 19K. KinoshitaF
- 81K. KozukaM
- 18T. HiratoM
- 1Y. OkiG
- 14Park Seung-WookD
- 28Y. YoshidaD
Coach: T. Yoshida
Machida Zelvia
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1K. TaniG
- 3G. ShōjiD
- 50D. OkamuraD
- 2T. OuwejanD
- 6H. MochizukiM
- 16H. MaeM
- 31N. LaviM
- 33T. AkimotoM
- 20T. NishimuraM
- 7Y. SomaM
- 9Koki OgawaF
Substitutes
- 5I. DreševićD
- 15M. DukeF
- 13T. MoritaG
- 88H. NakamuraD
- 8K. SentoM
- 18H. ShimodaM
- 23R. ShirasakiM
- 34Futa TokumuraF
Coach: G. Kuroda
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.00 – 1.44Half time / full time result. 1 = Shimizu S-pulse, X = draw, 2 = Machida Zelvia.
Asian handicap applied to Shimizu S-pulse.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstShimizu S-pulse0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Machida Zelvia1W 0D 0L · last 1J1 League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Léo CearáKashima | 10 | 12 |
| 2 |  MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 |
| 4 |  M. NagakuraFC Tokyo | 12 | 7 |
| 5 |  Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol | 12 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Shimizu S-pulse | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/0 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/0 | 0/1 |
Match preview
Shimizu S-pulse host Machida Zelvia in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Machida Zelvia slight favourites, giving Shimizu S-pulse a 26% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 47% for Machida Zelvia. Our tip is: Machida Zelvia or draw.
Machida Zelvia have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Japan J1 League
- Date
- Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
- Venue
- IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia in?
The match is in the Japan J1 League.
Where are Shimizu S-pulse and Machida Zelvia in the table?
Shimizu S-pulse are 13th and Machida Zelvia are 1st in the J1 League.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Our prediction is Machida Zelvia or draw. Win probabilities: Shimizu S-pulse 26%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 47%.
Will both teams score in Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.