J1 League · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- Substitution: Takuma OminamiOff: Yusei Egawa23'
- Yellow card: Hijiri OnagaFoul27'
- Goal: Hijiri OnagaAssist: Jonathan Junior36'
- 45'Substitution: Takuma AsanoOff: Mutsuki Kato
- 45'Substitution: Daiki SugaOff: Kim Ju-sung
- Goal: Matheus JesusAssist: Takashi Sawada45'
HT 2-0
- Substitution: Takashi SawadaOff: Kenshin Yasuda53'
- Yellow card: Jonathan JuniorFoul60'
- 62'Substitution: Yotaro NakajimaOff: Shun Ayukawa
- 65'VARVAR: Sébastien HallerCard upgrade confirmed
- 66'Red card: Sébastien HallerViolent Conduct
- 71'Substitution: Naoto AraiOff: Taishi Matsumoto
- Goal: Kenshin YasudaAssist: Matheus Jesus73'
- 76'Substitution: Akito SuzukiOff: Takumu Kawamura
- Substitution: Hijiri OnagaOff: Ryosuke Shindo76'
- Substitution: Jonathan JuniorOff: Ryogo Yamasaki76'
- Substitution: Shunya YonedaOff: Asahi Masuyama76'
- Goal: Kenshin YasudaAssist: Matheus Jesus90+7'
Our verdict
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Bet365 1.50
✗ This tip lost · final score 4-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 26%Possession74%
- 1.94Expected goals (xG)1.35
- 12Total shots18
- 4Shots on target2
- 6Shots off target8
- 2Blocked shots8
- 10Shots inside the box8
- 0Corners10
- 2Offsides1
- 14Fouls13
- 2Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards1
- 3Goalkeeper saves0
- 257Passes718
- 181Accurate passes635
Line-ups
V-varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1M. GotoG
- 25T. OminamiD
- 29I. AraiD
- 31K. DoiD
- 22H. OnagaM
- 5H. YamaguchiM
- 41M. HasegawaM
- 23S. YonedaM
- 10Matheus JesusM
- 19T. SawadaM
- 99JonathanF
Substitutes
- 6Y. EgawaD
- 21Diego PitucaM
- 13G. HatanoG
- 88A. MasuyamaM
- 50R. ShindoD
- 24R. YamadaM
- 18R. YamasakiF
- 7K. YasudaM
- 34T. MatsumotoM
Coach: T. Takagi
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1K. OsakoG
- 15S. NakanoD
- 4H. ArakiD
- 7S. HigashiD
- 5N. AraiM
- 6H. KawabeM
- 35Y. NakajimaM
- 18D. SugaM
- 29T. AsanoM
- 10A. SuzukiM
- 22S. HallerF
Substitutes
- 23S. AyukawaF
- 99I. OuchiG
- 14T. MatsumotoM
- 32S. KoshimichiM
- 45S. KobayashiM
- 37Kim Ju-SungD
- 8T. KawamuraM
- 11M. KatoF
- 9K. YengiF
Coach: Bartosch Gaul
Betting markets
Expected goals 0.97 – 2.06Half time / full time result. 1 = V-varen Nagasaki, X = draw, 2 = Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Asian handicap applied to V-varen Nagasaki.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstV-varen Nagasaki0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +22 | 29 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 28 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 | WDLWL |
| 6 | Kashima | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 8 | Urawa | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 21 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 16 | LLWLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 14 | LDDWW |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 14 | LLLDW |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 | WDDLL |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Léo CearáKashima | 10 | 12 |
| 2 |  MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 |
| 4 |  M. NagakuraFC Tokyo | 12 | 7 |
| 5 |  Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol | 12 | 7 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | V-varen Nagasaki | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
V-varen Nagasaki host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima favourites, giving V-varen Nagasaki a 16% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 62% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Our tip is: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Japan J1 League
- Date
- Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
- Venue
- Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima in?
The match is in the Japan J1 League.
Where are V-varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the table?
V-varen Nagasaki are 15th and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2nd in the J1 League.
Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our prediction is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win. Win probabilities: V-varen Nagasaki 16%, draw 22%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62%.
Will both teams score in V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.